Wednesday

I was short of time yesterday and looking at the results I was pretty happy I ended up swerving sedgfield as the horses I was considering did not really feature.With jumps racing untill monday now and a few intresting horses entered up things should pick up over the weekend but for now its back over to ireland.

Paddy o dee is going to find this race a little easy than the one he contested last time and with the return to a right handed course a big benefit I can easily see him getting involved against a few suspect market leaders.He is likely to try and make all and with a few of these likely to let him get on with things whilst looking after themselves in the early parts he may just get away.

Ardglen has to be respected seeking the fourtimer but there is good reason to think island peak can get a little closer this time.He showed more last time up that being his second  run after a break and im hopeful that will have brought him on a bit more again.His form in points and hunter chases last season give him a decent chance at these weights now.


Advised Selections

5.05 sligo paddy o dee 1pt each way 12/1 365 bog

6.05 sligo island peak 1pt each way 7/1 365/pp bog

Running balnace -13.95pts

Monday

In the end the money came for tico and it looked for a while that he  might just have picked the winner up yesterday but it was not to be.Im sure he will win a race over 3mile on slighlty better ground but his hand has been shown now.
Dashing ruby ran a solid enough race to finish third he needs a little help with his mark.
Again no jumps in england so its off over to ireland for one today.
Tinakellyland comes back from nearly a year off but having gone well enough first time after a break before im not to concerned about this.The stable have not had to many winners over the summer but they never tend to in recent years and thats not really a worry.There are a couple here who have done well recently but they will certainly find this race tougher off higher marks whilst this is the selections easiest race for some time and im hopeful he can take advantage today.


Advised Selections

5.35 roscommon Tinakellylad 1pt win 8/1 gen bog

Running balance -12.95pts

Sunday

Ive not had chance to watch yesterdays racing yet  but only the one 2nd place meaning a fairly dissapointing day big enough prices not to worry to much but I probably did make a mistake with ostland.No english jumps racing today but I have a couple at clonmel .Tico is a horse ive had noted for a while and despite me thinking there would probably be a bit more confidence in the market for him I dont want to let him run over this trip unsupported ,the jockey booking is no negative either.Dashing ruby is certainly worth a bet later on as the 2 market leaders both look plenty short enough for what they have achieved and the selction may have a bit more to come over fences.I dont know much about his jockey but he seems to have a fair bit of experience and has rode a chase winner under rules.

4.00 clonmel Tico 1pt win 10/1 gen bog

5.05 clonmel dashing ruby 1/2pt each way 10/1 gen bog

Running balance -12.7pts

Saturday

I'm short on time today so no write up but despite Market rasen being pretty low on my list of courses to have a bet at there is a few that i think represent a bit of value today and I don't really want to be letting them run unsupported

Advised selections

150 crazy bold  3/4pt each way 20/1 gen bog
220 tarkari 3/4pt each way 33/1 vc lad bog
250 ostland 2pt win 8/1gen bog buck mulligan 1/2pt each way 20/1 gen bog
325 Marc aurele 7/1 1pt win gen bog

Thursday

Soubriquet lost the battle for the lead early on and never really looked comfortable after that,the winner did it well but id be surprised if he can win again for a while now.No real strong views on the perth card today the novice chase obviously looks a pretty decent race with champion court making his chase debut after reportedly schooled well.No doubt he will end being the best of these longterm but I just get the impression he may struggle a little today against 2 horses that may just be a little more forward than him.

Advised Selections

5.00 fairyhouse first beauty 3/4pt each way 16/1 gen bog

I have to say this does not look the easiest race to solve but there are a couple here who have been hit pretty hard for recent wins where things have gone there way and at single figure prices they look worth taking on.

The selection finished behind black rock lake lto round Downpatrick but the winner that day looked a lot happier round the tricky course there and also arguably stole the race under a decent paul townend ride.Back on a more conventional track and with a decent enough weight turn around im hopeful first beauty can reverse that form.There is a case that she may need a little further but as long as they go a decent enough pace early and shes prominent when the pace quickens its should be no issue.

Running balance  -8.7pts

Wednesday

Little bit frustrated with things yesterday,transvestite was held up for some reason which I just cant understand when the horse was being dropped in trip,no way am I saying would have won but the way was stying on you would expect at least a place.combustibale lady ran a decent race to finish 3rd she seemed a little more keen though and that probably told in the end.nearby surely needs to go back hurdling before he completly loses his way.The lay on bobs law never looked in danger maybe thats the way forward.wait no more ran his race but was just not good enough on the day whilst another katy dissapointed again after making a couple of mistakes early on and is in danger of becoming a hereford specialist.

Not to much thats appealing today for me spent a while on downpatrick but cant find anything solid there so just the one small bet at perth today.

4.45 perth soubriquet 1pt win 7/1 gen bog

Pretty unoriginal selection goes well here winning this race last year mark is fair enough should not have to much competition for the lead and whilst a couple could be better treated on the pick of there form they lack in consitency and for that reason I would have had the selection a couple of points shorter today.

Tuesday - Newton Abbott

Well Sunday did not really go to plan in the end despite finding one winner from the 4 selections.It was a similar story to the the blog selections last seasons with price changes on one selection meaning I wanted to get the blog posted up quickly and then non runners confusing matters further. Lets hope for an improvement today.

Advised Selections

2.10 newton abbott combustable lady 1pt each way 12/1 gen bog
4.10 newton abbott transvestite 3/4pt each way 10/1 gen bog
4.40 newton abbott wait no more 2pt win 11/2 gen bog
5.10 newton abbott another katie 2pt win 5/1 vc pp bog

2.10
Dream function looks the obvious place to start and id have preference for her over the ones with penalties who all look beatable.Combustible lady showed enough promise lto staying on through beaten horses from a long way back despite not having a hard time of things.That will have probably been a good experience for the mare and this slightly longer trip looks in her favour, she looks like she can out run her odds here.
2.40
Im sure there will be plenty happy to oppose nearby today as he obviously has not ran upto expectations yet over fences however his 2 runs so far are easily better than what his opposistion today have achieved and at evens+ id rather be with than against.
3.10
Bobs law is likely to have plenty use made of him but I can still see him getting caught out here back in trip round a course like this and with him now trading around the 5/4 mark id certainly be against. Of the Tim Vaughan pair I prefer the big freeze who managed to win a bumper round here lto despite looking in need of further,a nice enough type he should take to hurdling well.Run along boy is the other obvious one who is having his first run in this country he looks just the type dougie Costello does well on I think he potentially has a little more speed than a few of these and im sure he will come the travelling well and trade shorter in running,what he finds under pressure is open to question but he would be my choice in a tighter race than the market suggests.
3.40
I was keen on qhilimar last night but after halving in odds early today the race looks best left alone now
4.10
0-19 over hurdles and plenty of seconds is not really the obvious winner finding profile but so many of these have doubts about them for whatever reason and I just think at the prices Transvestite looks worth a small investment.
4.40
Wait no more has been running pretty consistently recently and should again be able to dictyate matters here.3 of his main opponents are all coming back from a breaks and id be happy to ta take gunner rose on looking for the hat trick.nesnaas has been a little out of sorts recently but may just able to travel better over this trip now and could be involved at decent odds.
5.10
4 recent winners here and 2 round this course but if the same Another kate turns up here today im sure she is going to take some beating,she looked last time to have plenty more progression in her and I don’t think the 8lb rise looks to unfair.caddie master is the other who is likely to be open to improvement but looks priced around connections.

Sunday

The blog has taken a break recently due to the lack of jumps racing, The flat racing just seems harder and harder to keep up with each summer and I think most full time followers seem to be ready for the quieter days now and slowly the jump racing will creep into full flow.
The racing today looks pretty interesting and I’m hopeful to get things off to a decent start. I had planned to combine 3 horses at plumpton who all looked to have solid claims but are a little short to be backing as 3 singles however the one is now a non runner.
Todays Selections
2.50 uttox khorun 1pt win 6/1 gen
5.20 uttox edgevine 1pt each way 16/1 genbog 20`s available

3.30 plum Mr hamoosh 11/2
4.30 plum just beware 6/1

1/2pt each way double

2.50 uttox
I’d be happy opposing American art despite winning his last 2 races he does have his quirks and I don’t think he is one to be taking too short a price about, Similar can be said about the foxs decree who he beat lto and comes here with a win record of 0-23 over hurdles despite having plenty of similar chances. So brilliant looks the obvious one to oppose them with on official ratings but they can never be trusted in these types of races, his recent form in Ireland is solid enough and the way races over here are ran will probably suit a little better he’s respected but looks a little short.Khorun is the one to be with I think though dropping down into selling company for the first time hes ran 2 ok races in novice chases recently to suggest he can be competitive at this level,the switch back to a left handed track is no negative and the stable do well switching horses between hurdles and fences.micheal byrne is good enough to do the job and the extra 7lbs is sure to help.

3.50 uttox
I thought I’d find a selection here as I’m pretty keen to oppose taratata sivola in a competitive handicap but the prices of the likely dangers all look about right. If pushed I would be with alasandro Mantegna who showed a little more promise lto and if getting anywhere near his form of a couple of seasons ago would be too good for these.

4.20 uttox
you can’t really be too confident here I don’t think with 2 or 3 that look open to improvement. Im sure giant o murchu is capable of winning a race like this from his current mark but first time up after a recent break when he bled is concerning. He settled better than he has on other runs 2 starts back at Folkestone and that will be the key to him again today so maybe one to get involved with it into a nice rhythm after 1 or 2 hurdles.

5.20 uttox
Edgevine is still a maiden but she has shown enough to suggest she can win a poor contest. She ran well enough lto and the step up to 3 mile today could possibly help, in a poor race at a decent price I think she’s worth a small bet. Pride of mine may come on a little for lto and looks a danger.

3.30 plum Mr hamoosh seems to be getting his act together now over hurdles a better run again lto and stable still doing well with her runners.

4.00 plum walls way has put 2 runs together over fences that give him decent claims here against what I think looks a risky favourite.

4.30 plum probably not much value here but you know what you get around here with just beware and with plenty of risks about a few here it’s hard to see not being involved.

Saturday

Market rasen is not my favourite jumps course from a punting side of things but its nice to have some better quality horses turning up for there annual big summer day.
Risaala has some decent course form and showed up well, not exposed at all especially over this trip.Dont really back to many nicolls horses due to prices but think classic swain looks fair value worried about kangaroo court if he finally puts it all together.Viable is back on a fair mark won this last season and should go close again.


Advised Selections

3.15 mr risaala 3/4pt each way 14/1 gen bog
3.45 mr classic swain 3/4pt each way 9/1 gen bog
5.30 mr viable 1/2pt each way 7/1 gen bog

Wednesday Evening

Couple of seelctions tonight both look a fair price against a few that are far to short in the market and worth taking on.Its easy to work out how good most are in the killarney race and im hopeful battling boru may have a bit more to come especially over this trip which looks ideal at this stage,double figure price far to big.
Bon spiel looks the most solid here for me ran a solid enough race last time round here and a reproduction of taht effort should see him go close tonight.you can easily make a decenet case for taking on the likes of sagredo etc.A couple of these could bounce back but have not shown form for a good while and the main danger comes in the shape of the good guy I think despite him probably not being the easiest ride.


Advised Selections

8.25 kill battling boru 1/2pt each way 12/1 365 fred bog

9.10 worc bon spiel 1/2pt each way 7/1 gen

Wednesday

One selection today with the possible of another later tonight at Worcester.Ely brown steps into handicap company today in what looks a pretty weak race.I can't give many chances as there are doubts about trip and recent well being for a few here.the fav frosted grape has to be taken on at the price and the selection has been running well enough really to suggest he can go close despite not being thrown in at the same time.


Advised selection 

340uttox Ely brown 1/2pt each way 7/1 gen bog

Tuesday

Once again things have been pretty quite for me recently with little jumps action.A couple of noted horses running tonight at uttoxeter which has drawn me into the card a little and some decnet field sizes in a few of the handicaps.
Yeoman spirit was a selection last time and whilst I think this is a little tougher he does run his better races here and id have this priced a couple points shorter than available balladeer looks the main danger.
Taking a little bit of a chance with pickworth as she needs to bounce back to form and I would not want to much rain as im putting last time down to the softer ground.She no doubt has more races in her though of around this mark and the price looks fair.
I think the handicapper has been pretty fair dropping king of the castle down to this mark now and the return to this trip is very much in his favour today,not the most straightforward but again this is factored into the price I think.


Advised Selections

6.00 uttox yeoman spirit 1/2pt each way 9/1 365

8.50 uttox pickworth 1/2pt each way 16/1 gen

9.20 uttox king of the castle 1/2pt each way 10/1 gen

Tuesday

Easy selection for me today rampant ronnie was a choice last time for the blog and despite being a couple of points shorter today I still the price is ok considering the 2 horses that are at the head of the market both have question marks to answer and for that reason offer little value.I dont think there is much depth to the race despite the large field and im also happy that the selection tends to have one way off racing from the front these days.More exposed than a few but has conditions today again and comes in here in good heart.


Advised Selection

8.10 rampant ronnie 3/4pt each way 6/1 gen bog

Thursday

No luck with yesterdays selections and whilst I was dissapointed with a couple of them im sure the likes of kangaroo court and gold award will have there day pretty soon.

Onto today and its 1 over the sticks and one on the flat for me.Im concerned about the amount of pace likely for the jigsaw man and to most he may be a little more exposed than a couple of the potential improvers here however he looks to have ideal conditions and I think the course should suit him very well if running to his best he should be involved at the finish and could outclass a few here especially as there are plenty of question marks about a few of the market leaders here.

I thought Guinee seeker was eyecatching enough first time up this season.Todays race wont take a great deal of winning and I actually like the step up in trip today, I dont think id want much more rain as it could make it too much of a test but I did expect the price to be a little shorter this morning and he looks worth the risk.

Advised Selection

3.45 ffos las the jigsaw man 1/2pt each way 12/1 gen bog 14/1 in places

Flat Selection

5.05 newc guinea seeker 1/2pt each way 7/1 gen bog

Wednesday

Last nights selections was not on one of his better days and made very little impact.Some nice field sizes today and a fair bit of intrest for me.

Advised Selctions

1.50 worc kings equity 3/4pt each way 13/2 365 bog

4.00 worc kangaroo court 3/4pt each way 6/1 gen bog

4.30 worc el era 16/1 1/2pt win gen bog

Flat selections

3.35 carl spas dancer 1/2pt each way 20/1 vc betfred bog

4.10 carl gold rules 1/2pt each way 25/1 vc pp bog

1.50 worcester

I cant give many much of a chance here and only a couple come here in any kind of form.The fav no doubt has his chance if returning to his worcester form but overall its another horse priced up on connections and is far to short for what he has achieved and this looks a pretty straightforward bet with the mare kings equity who is slowly improving over hurdles.A return to this trip should suit her and a reproduction of her run lto should be good enough here.

4.00 worcester

Things have not really worked out the last season or so with kangaroo court hes been given plenty of time to come back to himself though and there was much more promise to be taken from the run last time.The small break should not be an issue and its intresting he is now stepped up to 3mile.The ground should be ideal for him and on his day he has a touch of class about him and he could easily outclass these today.


4.30 worcester

I know plenty about a few of these a couple have even been previous blog winners.A fair few of these are pretty inconsistent though and perfect reward is proabbly the mnost likely winner despite having to improve again he could still have that in him judged on the effort last time.Ele ra looks fair value though on this his 3rd run back from a break now.Showed a bit more again last time and is no doubt on a fair mark now judged on his form a couple of years ago.Tactics could play a part here a few like to be prominent but im ahppy to give ele ra a chance at the price available.

3.35 carl

This is pretty tough and Spas dancer does not have the best win record, but hes running pretty consistently recently and im hopeful the stiff finish here should help bring out a little more today.This ground is proabably ideal and I think a double figure price is to big here.

4.10 carl

Gold Rules looks worth a small bet here at a fair price.Had some decent handicap form in much better races than this last season but has not shown much for new connections this season.Its intresting though that connections are staying at this trip now they have the horse back down in a 0-80.Im sure they are happy with his mark now and it will only be a matter of time I think now before this one goes in.

Tuesday

Nice couple of winners of on sunday and was also nice that the 2 other selections both rewarding the ew side of things.
Just brief tonight firstly I think al qedaaf and taroum will be hard to beat in there races and I may pair them up,I dont think they scream to much value at the same time despite liking there chances of winning.

The horse im intrested in though tonight does have his quirks and I think hes only ever won a couple of races from plenty of efforts however I think theres good reason to suggest the dukes speech can put up a good show tonight against opposisition that have plenty of doubts about them.He shown enough from higher marks to and the run last time after a lay off was ok in the context of this race. I think the drying ground and step back in trip both are on his side tonight and at a double figure price he looks worth a small intrest.

8.10 newton abbot the dukes speech 1/2pt win 12/1 gen bog

Sunday

Nothing has made much appeal recently from a punting side of things only a couple of jumps meetings last week and not much of intrest.Today looks a much more promising day with the racing despite being low grade a few races have a nice shape about them,I had a pretty decent size shortlist this morning so hopefully ive made the right choices with the selections.

Advised Selections

2.50 hereford osmosia 1/2pt each way 8/1 gen bog

3.50 hereford laureate des loges 1pt each way 4/1 gen bog

4.50 hereford rampant ronnie 3/4pt each way 10/1 betfred 9/1 gen bog

4.00 hexham maska pony 3/4pt each way 11/2 gen bog


2.50
I was intrested in a couple here but hawk gold has now came out of the race which is a little suprising considering there has been little rain.Osmosia is not the most straight forward but that can be said a bout a few of these and the race he ran in lto is working out pretty well,this course should be more suitable and hopefully he will be a little more handy today the price either way looks fair compared to a caouple of these with similar claims.


3.20 legends lad should be go well but is priced accordingly simply strong will be better going this way and its between these 2,market agrees so probably best left at the moment.

3.50 laurette de lagenes is a strong fancy for me today,has been running more consistenly recenlty and this looks an easier race than his last race as well.I think he has beeter claims than the current price suggests and he looks rock solid to be involved.

4.20 earth planet is a big no for me,Im not convinced with the top horse either so I expect Nicene creed to take this and I dont actually the 7/4 currently available is to bad a price.

4.50 Rampant Ronnie is just preffered here over sweet world,the latter horse is more likely to run his race but rr looks on a fair mark now and if running to the same form of lto he should go close here.The market leaders all dont appeal at the prices and again im hopefull of a decent run here.


Hexham

4.00 maska pony brings solid handicap form to this against a couple of potential improvers I was expecting around 4/1 this morning so im happy enough with the price,the trip looks more suitable these days and intresting with graham lee back on board today.

Saturday

Profitable day yesterday thanks to sunday city battling on well to just about gain victory the other horse ran a solid race considering how fast he went early and would have been better with a little more restraint.The pipe horse also was well beaten and its nice to be reading things well at the moment.Nothing appealing at hexham today and Im not upto speed with most of the flat form so it just the one selection a noted horse who has not done much wrong this season.

Flat Selection

2.40 york charlie cool 1/2pt each way 10/1 gen available bog 11/1 in places

2.40 york

Straightforward slection really this well suited to the long straight and the faster they go early the better for me and despite running consistenly recently the mark looks a fair one still.

Friday

2nd and a place from yesterdays selections so a little more damage done than the previous day but nice to see the selections running genrally well at the moment.Not a bad card at aintree tonight pretty keen on one and another who ive proably gave enough chances before but does have a bit in his favour tonight.Another point on ther last race which has now unfortunatly cut up a little but Id still be ok to take on the pipe horse who has to improve a fair bit again tonight and looks poor value.


635 ain snake charmer 1pt each way 9/1 hills bog
705 ain sunday city 1/2pt each way 8/1 gen bog

635 ain

snake charmer ran a decent race last time out over a trip shorter than ideal back over this extra distance he looks a fair bet,Id also give a squek to dr livingstone who may just be suited to this test around a sharp course but the selction seems more likely to run his race.

705 ain sunday city

I put sunday city up previously when he has ran poorly but I think hes worth one more chance at the price tonight back over this trip round a sharp track.The key for me is getting him happy in his races and if he can race from the front without to much hassle I could see him strecthing a few of these.


815 ain laurete des loges loch dhu

Thursday

No harm done with 2 of tuesdays 3 selctions rewarding the place side of things,plenty racing to get your head round again today but fair few races with not many runners at the same time.3 selections for me with the uttoxeter horse no doubt being the most solid and looks an ew bet to nothing in easy enough race,priors glen takes on 2 course horses but despite being a maiden still could be better than these I think whilst st oswold made a mess of things last time and is given another chance to show his form.

Advised selections

840uttox marie de lufon 1pt each way 4/1 gen bog

7.30font priors glen 1pt win 9/2 hills bog

Flat Selection

2.30newb st Oswald 1/2pt each way 18/1 gen bog

Tuesday

Very little activity recently on the blog mainly down to time restrictions for myself and the fact most of the jumps action has seen plenty of small fields.I have still been keeping an eye on things though and hopefully I should be back updated on a more regular bases again now and find a few winners along the way.

Advised Selection

7.00 ffos las conellie 1/2pt each way 12/1 pp

7.35 ffos las fitzgutentyte 1/2pt each way 8/1 365 hills

8.30 sout yeomen spirit 1/2pt each way 12/1 gen

7.00 ffos las
This looks a pretty moderate novice hurdle and I would not be happy taking a short price about anything here.I thought conellie showed enough first time over hurdles last time to suggest he could be intresting once at the right level.If im honest I did not think that day would come quite so soon as but like I say this is pretty moderate stuff for me and at the prices he is worth a small bet with the likely hood that he should improve from his last run.Seems to handle these conditions and looks a fair price at anything double figures.

7.30 ffos las
At first glance this looks pretty tight and with a couple of in form stables having runners it will take a bit of winning.For that reason I cant understand how you can have a couple of horses here priced up so short.Everywhere I have read today is saying that fitzgutynte is going to stuggle over this trip but for me thats nonsense and on what ive seen its something that is a little overdue,ran well in ptp over 3mile plenty stamina in his breeding and on the way he runs on suggest further is needed as well.I sense the course will also suit well and im hopeful of a good run.

8.30 south

I think there are 2 here who look slighlty overpriced in the shape of yeoman spirit and whats occurin,I think yeoman spirit offers more value though especially as whats occurin does have more doubts about the trip and his mark may be a little high still.whats occurin has showed enough in his last 2 runs to suggest hes back to some kind of form,this trip I think will suit more than recently and its of intrest that graham lee is booked again today I think as he seems to get on well with the horse.Should not be a double figure price with the form he has shown recently.

Wednesday

No joy with last nights double the races cut up near the off which resulted in a poor bet before the selection did not run upto there recent runs.
rcam is worth a mention today at fontwell has won round the course and his record 2nd time up is very impresive this however is a much tougher race than ones he has won previously and I dont think there is much value there.

Flat Selection

7.10 rip light the city 1/2pt each way 7/1 gen

7.10 rip

Im pretty sweet on this ones chances today genrally an aw performer I think there was more than enough promise last time out over a trip that is just to far.He travelled well enough that day to suggest there are races to be won with him on turf this season.The drop back in trip will be a big help today and this is a much weaker race than last time out.Any rain will help but is not a must I dont think.

Tuesday

A couple of the handicaps make some appeal tonight at ffos las and im going to have a small ew double on a couple of top weights.Both come here in good form and still look fairly treated with decnet claimers on board

7.15 ffos las praxiteles 11/4 gen
8.20 ffos las argento romano 4/1 gen

1/2pt each way double

Friday

Was good to see dunno win under and excellent phillip robinson ride last night,it does always seem to be same couple of jockeys who are a brave enough to make these decisions and get the reward they deserve.
Couple of decent meetings again today but not hard to put a line through mnay races 1 selections under each code though.

Advised Selection

7.55 strat baddam 1/2pt each way 8/1 hills bog

Flat Selection

4.05 newm galatian 1/2pt each way 14/1 gen bog

7.55 strat
I think baddam is worth a small bet here in a race I dont think is that competetive for the grade,He showed nothing really first time up afet a break last time when having a spin on the flat, but im happy to forgive that effort,Conditions look ideal today and if bouncing back to anything near his best he should be good enough here.

4.05 newm
This is a competetive handicap and I think you are going to need to have more than a few lbs up your sleeeve to be winning here.Galatian is up in grade and weights today and would normally be the type of horse id take on however there was a lot to like about his win from the front here last time and im sure he has more races in him the price is a lot bigger than I expected and although we need a career best again that compensated for in the price I think.

Thursday Evening

Just a quick post on a horse I backed last time and no reason to not support again tonight.

Flat Selection

8.45 sand dunno 1/2pt each way 8/1 gen bog

Ive got a couple here im intrested,I mentioned bronze prince last time and im sure there are races to be won with him,the step up in trip and stiff finish are sure to suit I think but I have to admit I was a little dissapointed that he did not show a bit more last time.Should he be the same price as dunno a solid handicapper with rock solid form around here I dont think so.The fav is a shocking price now no doubt he has a bit more potential but I think we are talking about short margings between him and dunno here and the prices do not reflect that.

Wednesday

Nice win yesterday by dubai dynamo who won pretty comfortably in the end I wont be suprised if he wins again under the right conditions despite a likely big rise now.Just the one place from the jumps selections but hopefully can turn that round today.

445na sir bumble 1pt win 9/2 gen bog

5.15na al amaan 1pt each way 6/1 gen bog

4.00sedg kells castle 1pt win 10/3 hills bog

1/4pt each way treble

4.30sedg prideus 1/2pt each way 25/1 gen bog

8.20southwell tinseltown 1/2pt each way 8/1 gen bog

Flat Selections

3.15 ayr the nifty fox 1/2pt each way 11/2 gen bog

445na
Question marks over a few off these and sir bumble seems to be running back into some kind of form now,the trip is more suitable today and im a little suprised to see the price available.

5.15na
The front 2 in the market are of obvious intrest but im suprised how weak both are currently and the jonjo horse especially has to imporve a lot on what hes done on the course so far.Al amaan showed more spark last time and the drop back in trip around here is going to be much more to his liking,james pollard is not progressing how expected over hurdles and with doubts about the front I think al amaan could be the one.

6.10punch
I was intrested in archie boy here as to much is being made of schelms win in this last season but the price is not what I wanted,aran concerto comes into things as well and I think this course suits him better than last time.


4.00s
This looks a little to good to be true for me here as I had kells castle priced up a lot shorter than the current odds available, showed signs last time up that he was coming back into form and is ceratinly well enough treated now of this mar.Trip ground ideal and confident of a big run.

4.30s
Im taking a chance with one here but prideus showed a little more promise and has now been given a serious chance by the handicapper,I think he will pop in one of little races soon and the fact we have only 5 runners means he should not be to hassled at the front end.25/1 is just far to big here.

8.20southwell
I want to give tinseltown one more go here hes not weighted to reverse form with apache dawn but I think he is a more consistent horse and he may have a little more improvement in him still.Id like to see him race a little closer to the pace today and with the top horse making the market and having doubts he looks a fair price.

3.15 ayr
Im sure you get lost pretty quickly in the amount of collateral form on offer here and a few of these will no doubt be winning in the turn this season but hopefully its The nifty foxs turn today.He has not won for a good while now but his mark takes a while to drop due to his consistency, there was plen ty promise about the run last time and back at ayr,blinkers on, gibbons on baord are all big ticks and should go close.

Tuesday

The blogs taken a little break over the last few days theres not been much jump racing and when there has been very few horses of intrest have been running.Had a good spare bit of time to look at todays racing though and a few hoprses I know plenty about turn up so hopefull of a winning day.

Advised Selections

7.45 hunt good old days 1/2pt each way 7/1 gen bog

8.45 hunt burnthill 1/2pt each way 7/1 365 pp bog

8.00 hex im your man 1/2pt each way 10/1 gen bog

8.30 hex frankie anson 1pt each way 5/1 gen bog


Flat Selections

3.40rip dubai dynamo 1/2pt each way 6/1 gen

7.15 hunt
celtic ballad has his quirks but on his best form you would give him a leading chance the problem is obviously that is not gurantee with him and whilst I could seee him running well in such a poor event and hes probably not a abd price either I just dont feel strong enough that he is likely to run his race to put him up as a selection.
7.45hunt
I think there are plenty here carrying doubts the jonjo horse has to be respected I guess and he may be best caught fresh but hes plenty short enough for one who has basically shown nothing when last seen.Im also happy taking the top horse on after a lay off and similar comments apply to rcam who has not really got the best record despite probably having another arce in him at some point.marc aurele has not taken to fences and looks to be going back wards whilst bennythejets will find this tougher off a slighlty higher mark and has never been the most consitent.This really only leaves me with good old days which im actually please about as despite being in the veteran stage of his career now and most certainly not holding any secrets from the handicapper he looks more liekly to run his race then most,I like the step up in trip the jockey bookings a big plus for me and he swon races this time of year before on decent ground.

8.45hunt
Highland legacy is respected im sure the step up in trip and ap on board are sure to help but its going to need to I think as a couple of these are consistent at this level.couisin maggie is also worth a mention but shes not consistent and I think she will pop up at fontwell soon.Burnthill is a consistent type and im not saying shes thrown in here or anything like that but she only needs to run to her mark to be competetive here and that is something most likely richard johnson taking over is no negative for me as she can respond well to pressure and looks a solid option here.

8.00hex
This is another weak event but im pretty keen on Im your man running a decent race here,fisrtly forget last time as he was help up over a trip he does not stay before that he had been showing more zest and im sure there is another arce in him off this mark,Expect to race more prominent today around a course that suits him well and at the prices hes worth taking a chance on.

8.30hex
Frankie anson is a confident choice here I think he still has scope to improve furtehr and this trip around here should suit him a little better can easily see him stretching these from the front and not seeing many other runners.stagecoach amber would be the danger looks well treated on old form now.

9.00 hex
Inner voice has to many doubts after last time to be completly confident about but im suprised this trip has not been tried previously and this is a much easier race than some of his recent races.

3.40rip
I like the ripon race last time that dubai dynamo ran in,he was left with to much to do that day in the end and the faster they go here agin the more it will suit,is still on afair mark despite another rise and there should be so much of a price difference between the front two here.

Thursday

Todays allready looking like its going to be a difficult day I had at least 3 more selctions planned today and apartman at wetherby was likely to be fairly well staked but in the time of writing up and going through oddschecker once more I see the price has crashed from 16/1 into 9/1 gen now.There have been smaller moves in prices on a couple more this morning and Id rather wait now untill this afternoon and hope a couple maybe drift out if it tipping services that are putting these up then maybe a chance this could happen.Anyway Ive ended up with just the one flat selection on a horse I selected last time out.

Flat Selection
4.00hay charlie cool 1/2pt each way 9/1 gen bog

2.00weth
winter alchemy makes a fair bit of appeal here showed enough over a trip to short for him over hurdles and it was no suprise to see him well supported on chase debut last time when stepped up in distance.Things did not really go to plan that day with him eventually unseating his rider.Back over hurldes now in a easier race I think he should go close little value as a 5/1 shot in a race of this nature though.


4.15weth
Well this is the most frustrating one of day that ive missed apartman has not shown a great deal since winning a juvenile event a couple of seasons he was outclassed after that win and then clearly did not take to fences,back with his old stable he started to show a lot more promise last time out over 1/2mile further leading untill 2 out before finding the trip to much.That was a much more promising effort and I expect him to race handily today and I expect a big run.

4.45weth
I was tempted to put dawn ride up today back round wetherby but having another look at things I think his jumpings getting worse and despite the excellent brian hughes on board again im not totally convinced hes value at his current odds.


1.50hay
I always keep a close on the easterby horses and silvery moon showed enough promise last time to suggest it would be only a matter of time before he would be taking a handicap or 2.It was priced a couple of points bigger this morning and its no suprise to see him being supported.Theres a chance he could be better over further and maybe also want slighlty easier ground and whilst Id have been happy taking the chace at a double figure price im not at his odds now.

4.00hay
No suprise here and charlie cool is an easy selection hes running back into form now and is on a winnable mark,showed more agin lto and its intresting connections have him in at ripon as well in a few days a course that suits well.The faster they go the better today and a good pace looks likely.


6.30sal
Philip makin does with fillies and especially sprint ones and he seems to have sweetend adventure story up looking at her run lto.It will not suprise me to see her go close but she does not look that well treated to warrant support at 5/1.

8.15sal
Im sure I had seen deceptive priced at 6/1 in a place this morning but its no suprise to see that did not last.No doubt he is going to end up better than this mark and also this trip is going to help bring out some more improvement today.9/2 is a little to short for a horse that has plenty to learn still and may find 1 or 2 more streetwise today.

8.45sal
I think there are worse 6/4 shots than experimentalist whilst plenty of these have the potential still to improve I dont think they have shown enough to warrant marks around 70 and the main danger for me has now actually been withdrawn.This looks easier than lto and he should improve on that showing anyway.

Wednesday

No joy yesterday from the 3 selctions tinseltown managed a place so not too much damage done but I have to say I was dissapointed with how both the other selections ran.
Plenty of action again today not so many races or horses of appeal though, I think I have one solid selection and one risky one over the jumps whilst the 2 flat horses im sure will prove better than there current marks especially the latter horse.

Advised Selections

6.10punc kilflora 1/2pt each way 10/1 365 pp bog

8.20worc fire and rain 1/2pt each way 14/1 gen bog

Flat Selections

3.45good cosimo de medici 5/1 hills 365 bog

3.55kemp st oswald 5/2 hills 365 bog

1/2pt each way double

6.10 punch
The thing that made this race most atrractive to start with is the the amount of horses that seem to be out of form or ideally suited by further and you could also proabbly add there are a few coming back from decent lay offs.I have no doubt there are horses in here who are more fairly treated than kilflora but we have a consisitent 2 mile performer who is way over priced.Thats proabbly down to the fact she fell lto thats a small concern but previously jumping has been fine and aslong as the confidence is still there I cant see it being a problem today.

8.20 worc
This ones a bit more risky I have to say but if fire and rain is to bounce back to form the handicapper has certainly gave him a chance now,these sharper courses tend to suit him and id like to see him out the fornt enjoying himself especially as he stays further than this the ground should be ideal now as genuine summer ground is what this horse wants,This is much weaker than races he has been running in and im hopeful of a return to form.

3.45 good
Had this down to 2 dazinski looks like he should be involved after showing promise lto and the booking of fallon is no negative but id have him a similar price to the selction and for that reason ive had to go with cosimo de medici.CDM has not had many chances on turf and I think he showed enough lto to suggest there are races in him of this mark, I dont like comparing aw mark to flat to much as horses no doubt can be much better on one of the other but I think the only reason cdm is lower rated is due to the fact of limited opputunities.The slight concern is handling the course I think and I would like to see him ridden more prominent this time.The tongue strap is back on which suggests there wis improvemnet in lto peformance.

3.55 kemp
I was very tempted to consider a serious bet on st oswald today but then I think I realised im looking at 3yold handcappers here and you never know whta you could be getting involved in.No doubt there are a couple of unexposed types here but none more so than st oswald I cant see roger charlton having to many horses rated this low in his yard and Ive no doubt he is going to be rated a lot higher than that soon,hes also entered at windosr in a few days and I can see him running up a sequence as he steps up in trip.The mile today will bring out more and id be suprised if he is not good enough today.I thought he would be under the 2/1 mark this morning and suprised that you can even get 11/4 in a place.

Tuesday

Well both jumps selections yesterday were none runners in the end and its intresting that sky calling is now to run over hurdles today I like the stable but I think it could be a mistake.
Modest stuff today over the jumps but a few horses im intrested in today and could easily have put a couple of the mentions up as well today if there prices were a little bigger.

advised selections

4.40s tinseltown 1/2pt each way 14/1 gen bog

5.10s junior jack 1/2pt each way 12/1 365 boy bog

8.40t cadeaux cerise 1/2pt each way 8/1 hill fred bog


2.40s
benny the swinger is worth a mention here I sore this horse in the autumn and chasing was always going to be his things he showed very little over hurdles as expected but did show more promise on his first start over fences,this is a pretty poor event and wont take much winning I expect asnd im sure there is races in this horse I just get the impression he may need more time still though at this stage and the stable is hardly in any kind of form still.

4.40s
tinseltown has been ruled out pretty quickly here for me and I think he showed more than enough promise in the mud over the winter to suggest he can find a small handicap of around this mark.He was jumping and travelling well in thoose races untill not seeing things out,has been freshend up since and with conditions more suitable today I think he is worth the risk at current odds.

5.10s
junior jack has showed enough in his novice hurdles to say he can be competetive of this mark the drop back in trip will suit,sam thomas rode a winner for the stable recently and I think we will see him bounce back to the form he showed on his first start over hurdles and anything around that should be good enough here.

7.10t
I was hoping that the fact saddlers blaze is out of the handicap would put a few of this one but its not been the case and hes now a well supported 8/1 shot.Hes showed far more promise recently and comes here in good form which is more than a fair majority of these.Trip and ground look ideal and I think he is only on this mark due to lack of runs in this sphere.Expect him to get on with things from the front and as long as his jumping is sound again I think he will be a hard horse to pass.

8.40t
2 im intrested in here but at the prices its and easy call alformary is respected but cadeaux cerise is a far better price for one that has already showen a liking to this course,now on a lower mark then when she went close here 2 runs ago and a reproduction of that run should be good enough tonight.

Monday

Nice winner yesterday returning at 12/1 I was trading the horse on betfair prior to the race and was a little suprised of some of the prices available and it proved to be a very decent result for myself.Aran concerto ran a solid enough race and managed to get 2nd so no damage done there, the each way double was probably a bad bet as It was case of not wanting to miss out on a couple of horses rather than thinking they were great value.Charlie cool stays on the list and will be winning soon a few more will probably be on him next time though.

Advised Selections

3.20 newton abbot Ghiamaar 1pt win 5/1 gen bog

3.20 newton abbot Ghiamaar 5/1
3.50 newton abbot sky calling 2/1

1/2pt each way double with bet365 bog

Flat Selections

7.30 windsor aurora sky 1/2pt each way 6/1 gen bog

3.20 na

Ghiammar is not my usual type of selection but I think he is potentially much better than an exposed bunch here and far better value than the nichols horse who has to improve a fair bit for me.Stage acclaim and cockney trucker are the 2 exposed types that set the form but neither look like they will be able to cope with the selction if he returns in the same form of last season.Has had plenty of expereince on the flat so first time in a handicap does not concern me to much especially as his jumping seemed to be improving with every run last season.Conditions look fine at this stage and I think he is going to prove a fair bit better than this mark.

3.50na

Sky calling is an easy selction here in what looks a weakish race.I like the stables runners when they try to follow up like this and a similar performance to last time should see him take this.Has the scope to improve further and Id have this one priced up a little shorter.

7.30wind

A couple here that could improve but they dont look much value and I think aurora sky should see this trip out if recent efforts are anything to go by,2 from 2 with richard hughes.

7.40 leic

aspro mavro is worth a mention here Ill be suprised if there is not some money around for him later.Refused to race over hurdles last time and has not really progressed as expected but blinkers look a prositive for me as does the booking of holland,if they can get out in front I think he could be difficult to pass if in the mood.

sunday

Advised Selections

325kill Princeton plains 1/2pt each way 12/1 hills
425kill aran concerto 1pt each way 6/1 pp

2.30 mr maria Antonia 6/1 hills
320strt quito de tresor 10/3 hills
1/2pt each way double

Flat Slections
3.40 rip Charlie cool 1/2pt each way 12/1 hills

325kill
Princeton plains has gone up 6lbs for finishing 2nd in a competitive handicap lto that form looks like it will turn out to be solid form though and with the potential of more to come he looks a fair price in a race where plenty look exposed except maybe the mullins horse who is poor value though.
425kill
aran concerto is intresting on his 3rd start after a big lay off will find this type of race easier than handicaps and overall he is weighted to get closer to the fav who took a heavy fall lto.
2.30 mr
maria Antonia is not really the price I wanted this morning but should be able to dominate here from the front been on the list for a while and seems more confidence around a good performance today.
3.40 rip
Stable back in form coure winner back on a nice mark Winston back on board only matter of time before he is winning again.
320strt
quito de tresor is another coming back to form and despite the chances he may be taken on alittle bit her I think with the 10lb of his back today he should prove to good for these.

saturday

Advised selection

445bangor midnight opera 3/4pt each way 14/1 hills bog

Thursday

Was nice to get of the mark with the flat selections and a nice 7/1 winner on tuesday.Intresting days racing today but im stuggling on the slection front im very keen on key cutter today at ludlow but it seems a few others are as well and I cant really get the price im after for a real decent bet
 
5.55 ludlow general elliot 5/1
6.30 ludlow key cutter 11/2
 
1/2pt each way double prices gen avalable with the bog bookmakers.
 
 
5.55 ludlow general elliot
 
The front 2 look well worth taking on both have had a few chances now in simlar races and  its an easy choice at the odds.I was dissapointed with james pollards effort lto and although he may be better for that experience im happy to take on.The dickin horse is the likley danger for me as he looks the type who could slowly progress however genral elliot has shown enbough in his efforts over hurdles so far to suggest the mark is lenient.Can go well fresh and I dont think the sharp tarck is going to do this ex flat horse no harm today.The price is at the minimum end of what I wnated for a horse first time in a handciap but the risks are less with these ex flat horses.
 

6.30 ludlow key cutter
 
Firstly this is no walkover for key cutter as there are plenty of dangers but im sure we have a horse here who has the potential to be a lot better than his current mark this summer showed glimpses of what he could do in the autumn before then being put away for a summer campaign.Showed wnough promise back form a break first time up recently to suggest he would be better for that effort and im sure we will see a much improved performance today.Like ive said the price is the concern if this was 7/1+ id be more than happy risking a decnet bet here but 5`s is probably the right price.
 
7.40 ludlow prince of denial would be my choice here but im concerned he has had plenty chances in arguably weaker races this trip round here could be idela though. I also expect a decent run from hadron collidier who I think could also appreciate this trip and showed up ok lto.

5.05 perth
cassius could go well ata price here maybe a little flattered lto in a slowly run race but that was more promising and is back down to a fair mark no 20/1 shot for me.
 
3.30 york
Yorks handicaps look tough today and ive swerve the card personally for what it worth though I think world domination is a serious horse and I was very impressed with the debut run.Ill be dissapointed if he does not take this depsite the inexperience and there has to be an arguament he is better value today at 5/2 than 4/1 for the derby.
 
8.00 newm bronze prince is an intrested runner for the gosden team im sure they would not be getting involved with this horse if they dont think he still retains the abilty and promise shown in his maiden victory, should be suited by the course and money for this one early.

Tuesday

Another winner yesterday from 3 selections pretty unlucky not get atleast a place with the last horse weaking dramatically in the final 100yds.Also bit unfortunate with the hefty rule 4 but a profit on the day so cant complain to much.


Flat Selection

4.00 bev just bond 1/2pt each way 6/1 hills bog


3.00 bev
Caranbola has a decent win record for a horse at this level but 5/2 is far to short I think,Clear ice has been running well of late and has similar claims again today the price has gone though and I wanted more the 10/1 predicted than the 6/1 on offer for a horse with such a poor win record.

4.00 bev
Very little between just bond and aquarian spirit here and for that reson just bond has to be selection at current odds.Hail promenade is still fairly treated but has to put up back to back efforts and that would be my concern and I can see a bigger danger being handsome falcon who is on a nice mark now and showed more promise last time up.

3.20 yarm

Im a little suprised to mashatu so weak this morning,showed enough promise lto in a similar handicap to suggest races can be won the drop back in trip looks no issue looking at that race.Theres a couple of horse who have been well supported this morning in here and whilsta re respected they are genrally and exposed bunch and if the drift continues to around the 4/1 mark then Id think thats a more than fair price for the only horse in the race with the potential to be much better than there current mark.

8.45 sedg
im keen on abaragante here thge drop back in trip looks ideal as he has been travelling but not seeing his races out recently.Despite the numbers it looks a weak race.Expect him to win and put nobody of him but id want more than 3/1 in a race of this nature if im honest.

Monday

Just the one jumps meeting today in England and whilst moderate racing the fields are a little bigger than recently I think there a few oppurtunities to be had today on overpriced horses.
The Flat selections are not really going to plan at the moment but like ive said prevously they are all much smaller selections and Im not to concerned at the moment anyway considering the prices I generally get involced at.

Advised Selections

6.00 towcester the strawberryone 3/4pt each way 11/2 pp vc bog

7.00 towcester rooftop rainbow 3/4pt each way 5/1 hills bog

7.30 towcester alfloramoor 3/4pt each way 7/1 gen bog

Flat Selections

no bet

5.30 towcester

I was intrested in goodtimetoby here who showed his first peice of real form lto out and with his trainer now hitting a bit of form he looked to have a fair bit of appeal,howver the price is genrally 5/2 this morning and I dont plan on getting involved off the back of 1 decent run in such a weak race.

6.00 towcester

Hard to split the henderson and king horse here and whilst they are both respected they are no world beaters and I dont expect either to improve to much on what they shown last time. There is not much depth to this and for that reson I think the strawberryone looks sure to be involved here.Has some decent course form in both bumpers and 1 hurdle race but more intresting for me is the step up in trip today is sure to suit I think,jumping has not been foot perfect yet but there is likely to be less pressure on that today than lto recieving weight she should be a 4/1 shot for me.

7.00 towcester

I was suprised rooftop rainbow was weak this morning and Im more than happy to take some of the 5/1 on offer here about a horse that as always going to be suited by the switch to fences.Showed enough ability over hurdles to suggest he can win of this mark.The dangers well if im honest I cant see many as they all come with some risk attached to them and im sure rr will prove to be a well treated horse in time.

7.30 towcester

Dissapointing that valid point has come out of this I think as i was happy to take him on after last times improved performance however turbo shandy now leads the amrket and he has to be taken on for the 5lb rise from his win here last time makes him risky.Peace corps and beech view are not out of things even if the latter maybe flattered by his run lto but alfloramoor claims are a little more solid for me.He finished behind turbo shandy and meridem lto but that was his first run after a decent break and we also get the cheekpieces back on today suggesting more to me that connections had left some improvement in him last time.I genrally dont like backing horses 2nd time up after a break so soon but he has ran well before given this profile and looks a fair price to reverse the form from last time.

8.20 roscommon
Bernabeau is worth a quick look new trainer but has his condiitons today is on a winable mark and has bits of form fresh to suggest he can run well.Not a 25/1 shot for me but a little bit to risky in a tough race to be putting up.

3.50 redcar
Ghost is the kind of horse that can make you look stupid at times he has more than enough ability to win a race of around this mark though and the step up in trip will suit today im sure dandy will find the key to him but this looks a decent race for the grade and they may wont him down a few more lbs yet.

Friday

Well nice to hit the mark again yesterday and hopefully a few managed to grab the early value afetr being backed from 14/1 into a 6/1 shot at the off.

I don't want to make a habit of this but it's just selections today as I'm short of time today for a write up.the flat pair are all about course form while shoreacres has a race i'n him off his mark and culcabook is exposed but overpriced and consistent. 

Advised Selections

4.55 punch shoreacres 1/2pt each way 20-1 365 bog

8.00 aint culcabock 1/2pt each way 11/1 vc bog

Flat Selections

4.40 chester invincible force 1/2pt each way 9/1 gen bog

5.10 chester oriental cavalier 1/2pt each way 5/1 gen bog


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Thursday

Nice winner yesterday with scotsirish my view was that he was always going to get there and the leader at the time looked like a tired fall for me.Credit to ruby who sat of the fast pace and let his horse creep into things.The flat horses did not really show much spark but at the prices im playing at long losing spells will happen with these.

Punchestown is very tricky I think today and similar can probably be said about a fair bit of the racing today I like a few at newton abbot though and 2 are double figure prices so it was an easy choice to go with these pair.


Advised Selections

3.05 newton abbot kylenoe fairy 1/2pt each way 14/1 gen bog

4.10 newton abbot carhue princess 1/2pt each way 14/1 365 bog

Flat Selection

5.10 chester norman opera 1/2pt each way 12/1 365 bog



1.55 newton abbot
getaway driver has a race in him judging by the promise shown so far.Stable going well and I expect a decent showing my concern is the lack of experience.

305 newton abbot
This looks a decent handicap a few come here of the back of decent efforts and I expect we may see a few more winners come out of this.A fast pace looks a gurantee and I think that could just play to my slection here as long as she does not get herself to out of things.kylenoe fairy has showen more than enough promise on teh last 2 occasions to suggest this is a winning mark the newbury run was especially intresting and its a bonus we have a capable jockey taking an extra 5lbs off here.

3.35 newton abbot
master somerville is worth amention here has been a previous blog selection and a horse I know well.With a clear round off this mark ms wins today it that simple I think.This is easier for him as well so If he is going to put it all together I expect today will be the day.At 5/1 I think im happy to let this one go though.

4.10 newton abbot
glen lady will be a tough one to beat here but shes no certainty to repeat that run of lto 2nd time after a break and offers little value.carhue princess Showed a bit more promise lto afetr a break and was not knocked about suggesting that run was always going to be needed she had some ok novice hurdle form in better grades than this and I think she looks to be on a fair mark.

5.10 chester
The front 2 in the betting are obvious ones here and I expect they both will prove to be better than there handicap marks in time my concern with them both though is this is going to be a lot different than maiden company and they could just find this to tough at this stage especially as I think there are plenty other well treated horses in here and its a race I would be looking at for future winners in the coming weeks.I dont want to let norman opera run unsupported though now stepped up in trip should handle the course and as long as the breaks come I think this one should go close.Jockey has had a few winners and plenty experience now so I think the claim will balance that out and again a double figure price makes the risk worthwhile.

Wednesday punchestown day2 and don't forget Chester

Yesterdays selections all ran reasonable races an there was points when it looked like we may get a result but it was not to be.hopefully some took the advise with quato de la roque though.I  think the cards today whilst look good are very tricky at the same time.I think the jump selection is sure to run his race and today may be his day whilst the flat horses are more unlikely sorts but just have to be supported at there prices for me.


Advised Selections

6.40punch scotsirish 3/4pt each way 8/1 hills bog


Flat Selctions

2.55 chester swingkeel 1/2pt each way 33/1 bog 365

3.30 chester green park 1/2pt each way 16/1 hills bog

4.20 punch 

I lime street entertainer here but he has it to prove at the price i'n this grade considering the jumping an issues we sore a glimpse of last time.I think he could be way above these though.

4.55 punch 

Battle group is improving now over right conditions I don't think this is much harder than lto but price not really there.

5.30 punch 
My view here is similar to Quito de la roque yesterday as kauto stat is now becoming a backache price he has plenty i'n his favour against horses who had question marks to answer if he hits 6/4 I think that is more than fair.

6.40 punch
Scotsirish deserves to win a decent race has ruby back on board which will help no doubt consistent type an should be shorter than osana over this trip.

2.55 chester
swingkeel is far to big a price yes has a dreadful draw but surely he can't hit as much trouble as he did i'n this race last year the faster they go the better.

3.30 chester
green park has it to prove a little now of this mark and i'n this grade but he may have a little more left i'n him yet especially as he loves Chester and has a good draw.he should not be the price he is this morning.

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Tuesday - Punchestown Day 1

Well nice to have some high quality jumps action back again today for me punchestown is gaining a little more importance year on year and im sure there will be more than a couple horses who show improved form these next few days after being put away for this meeting.

Advised Selections

4.20 punc il fenomeno 20/1 3/4pt win 365 bog

4.55 punc grey soldier 12/1 1/2pt each way bet fred bog

6.50 exeter beauchamp viking 1/2pt win 5/1 gen bog

5.00 fakenham marie de laufon 3/4pt win 7/1 betfred bog

Flat selections

7.00 catt mandalay king 1/2pt each way 13/2 gen bog



3.40 punch
The front 3 in the betting are all obviously respected here and its not really my type of betting race anyway but I think not to pushed is worth a quick mention as he was not going to badly in this last year has experience over the banks and showed up well lto only a 7yold so may have a bit more scope in him and I dont think hes a 20/1 shot.

4.20 punch
Im willing to be proven wrong here but this is going to prove a weak grade 1 race im sure,Im can easily take on most here at the prices as I think there is little between them all and most have question marks whether being ground hurdling or simply not good enough.For that reason I want to take a chance with il fenemeno who showed up well 8 days ago on his first try over hurdles and I think its intresting connections bring him out again so quickly what adds further intrest is the stables record in this arce and also im sure noel meade would have had another couple of horses he could have ran here.Group 3 winner on the flat and has had plenty of rcaing in that sphere so inexperience will not be so much of an issue for me and at the prices he is worth a small bet I think

4.55 punch

Well the front 2 are very poor value here of the 2 nearest the pin proabbly has less than wee giant to prove and would be my pick of them.Im not saying wee giant cant win this either and at the forcast of 10/1 I was intrested in this horse as im sure he is one of thoose who is going to improve a fair bit but backing horses like this at these prices does not appeal.Grey soldier is the one I want to be with as im sure there is a decent handicap in him when things drop right, the biggest concern today is his jumping but if it does hold up then I think he should go well as there is plenty back in his favour.Cheletenham was anon event for him as he made a bad mistake and was also hampered when beaten the run before was on ground totally unsuitable.Im sure they will go a decent pace here and that on decent ground is exactly what he needs over this trip.

5.30 punch
For what its worth Sizing europe is my likely winner I see no reason to oppose him here but its not a race im going to be getting involed in at the prices.

6.40 punc
Plenty of tehse have doubts about them I think a couple have stamina question marks and plenty have jumping issues and for that reason im starting to think quito de la roque despite not having his ideal ground will be a very tough horse to beat again today his overall record is excellent theres support for a couple here this morning and if its posibble to get some 3/1 latter I expect I will get involved.

6.50 exeter
This is not going to take much winning.misamon does not have a bad win record for a horse of his ability but back from a break without the usual headgear im happy to take.Overall I think this is a match between bushwacker and beachump viking what makes it wasy is the fact they ran against each other just 7 days ago over similar conditions.Beauchump viking is twice the price and has a better chance at teh weights today so its an easy decision to say he is the better value pick today.

5.00 fakenham
Little carmella is the obvious one to beat but is a poor price for a horse that does not win that often.petit fleur has been more consitent recently but looks held overall of this mark.Marie de laufon makes a fair bit of appeal though here, if you look at the 2 uttoxeter runs last season they are more than fair enough runs to suggest she can be competieve of this mark.Shes also proven on 2 occasions she can go well fresh and this trip looks well within here especially over a sharo tarck like this.


7.00 catterick
I had this down to a couple of noted horses here but happily one of thoose has now came out the race and despite mandalay king being a hard horse to win with I think there is plenty about his chances today to suggest he could get his head in front.7f catterick decent ground fast pace stronger jockey are what I have down for this horse and I think we can happily say there is a good chance we are going to get all these today, he will still need a little luck in running being the horse he is but apart from the john quinn and nichols horse I dont see much else in this.


8.30 catt
wicked wilma is worth a mention she may just need this run but I think she can still be involved and im dissapointing the race has cut up now as Expect she will be in the first 3,im sure she has a race like this in her of this mark,the fav will be hard to beat now back to form but I would not want here running unsupported at decent odds,she races prominent and I expect she may trade shorter than here starting odds before I hope just needing the run in the final furlong.

Saturday Evening

Just a quick update to say ive placed a small bet tonight on a horse at doncaster in the sprint handicap.Tabaret is well suited to this course and has won here twice previously back down to a mark of 84 now which is certainly one he can win off,has not shown a great deal so far this season on his 2 runs back but im hopeful a return to these conditions should see him come back to himself and a double figure price is fair I think in a race where a few either find it hard to win with or may just need the outing still.

Flat Selection

1/2pt each way taberet 12/1 365 bog

Thursday

WELL THE PRICE ON MR NOBODY HAS JUST HALVED IN ABOUT 5 MINUTES PERSONALLY I ONLY MANAGED TO GET ON AT 10/1 WIN OR LOSE HE WILL GO DOWN AS A SELECTION AT SP ONLY TO BE FAIR BUT IF YOU WAS STILL THINKING ON GETTING INVOLVED I WOULD LEAVE WELL ALONE NOW AS PRICE IS JUST A JOKE NOW.


Despite not jumping with to much fluency it was not enough to stop shake the barley winning at decent odds frustrating to miss out on another winner but nice to see at the sam etime that have not completly lost the plot with race reading recently.Exotic man is another that probably showed to much when giving the fav plan a a scare in the race before.Invincible lad probbaly stays under the radar a little more though after his effort he confirmed he needs shorter for me here and will be winning a race soon I think,Ive also taken a couple more from that event.Ours did his usual thing and im sure he will pick something up soon at a decent price.

Today is a pretty intresting days racing for me plenty of noted horses and we seem to have slighlty bigger fields as well today which always helps matters.I like everything I mention today and im just hoping ive made the right choices for the blog selections.Ill more than likely update again in afew hours for the evening cards I will do more often when we have days like this.

Advised Selections

2.30 hereford top achiever 3/4pt each way 7/1 gen bog

4.30 hereford fighting chance 1/2pt each way 11/1 hills bog

2.50 perth the paddy premium 1/2pt each way 14/1 365 bog

3.20 perth mr nobody 1/2pt each way 14/1 gen bog

Flat Selction

3.10 bath bateleur 1/2pt each way 11/2 hills bog


2.30 hereford
I can undertsnad why carlton scroop will have his supporters in such a weak race but I dont get why you would want to be getting involved at his current odds.I think this race lacks depth overall and top achiever showed more than enough lto over similar conditions to suggest he could be upto winning more races again.Down a few lbs for that run and more significantly this is a much weaker race jockey is capable enough and seems to get on well with him so not to manay worries there and suprised in the price if im honest.

4.00 hereford
only hope is one of thoose rock solid ew selections for me today I think today could also be the day she gets her head infront after finishing 2nd on the last 3 runs.Im a little concerned she needs to hold her form again today over slightly further and slighlty quicker ground put and Ive just come down with the outcome that there are better value selections today.

4.30 hereford fighting chance

Taking a little bit of a risk with this one bouncing back to his old form but there are good reasons to take a few of these on.Tye up pompey has it to prove again of this mark now.Courella was flattered by how the race turned out lto and whilst who know what the snail will do today.Fighting chance ran up a few wins acouple of seasons ago but has since been stopped by the handicapper dropped back down to a fair mark now and showing more lto over a trip to far theres good reason to suggest he could be on his back.

2.50 perth the paddy premium

Im certain the paddy premium is going to imprve for this step up in trip his new trainer has wasted no time upping him to this distance and thats the key to this one being a selection today.cayo levantado is fav due to connections and columbus secret won a very poor race lto.I dont think this is that strong a race and I think the selction is a fair price.

3.20 perth mr nobody
Tony martin is upto his old tricks I think here price is starting to go a s I write this up.Has a run round perth before on a more than fair mark looking at his promisiung run lto,dont genrally like these types as tehy get over backed but it should not be the double figure odds it currently is.

3.50 perth king edmund

Horse I know well trip is the doubt think he will go well though and Ill be backing to lay off in running personally.

3.10 bath bateleur
Watched his last run a few times now travelled the best emptied out that should bring him on should be a point shorter in betting.

Wednesday

Yesterday was much more promising for myself despite no profit on the day genrally the horses I mentioned ran there races and I felt much more comfortable with things.No selections today for me but do have a few brief thoughts.

4.30 perth
Happy to be against plan a here who has not really gone on for me as some expected and is fairly short today for a horse who only has one solid piece of form,One who should be betetr than his mark although might not be capable at this level is exotic man he showed promise on decent ground in a novice hurdle at doncaster and ill be suprised if he does not win a couple of races.


5.05 perth
This looks tough if im honest Im very respectful of the top horses chances here and there are also a couple that could bounce back to form.Shake the barley has needed this step up in trip for a while now and whilst I expect him to run a decent race and improve on recent form his jumping needs to holds up again and I think this maybe a little to strong for him.


3.30 ponte
Ours is a bit of chracter gets left at the start genrally can drop himslef out then finishes very well the fast pace and stiff finish and step up in trip will all suit here though and I think he should show more today at double figures he would have been a selection but top price 7/1 is just a little to short.

8.10 newc
Im sure a few winners will come out of this race grissom is one of many who is respected and has more races in him but the one I noted lto was invincible lad who ran with plenty of promise in the same race as grissom for his new stable that day.The concerns are he does not win that often and a quick look through the form suggest a stiff 5 is his best trip.

Tuesday

Racing in england today is pretty moderate stuff so deceided to cocentrate my efforts on the fairyhouse card which has a few decent graded events today and a couple of selections.

Advised Selections

4.55 fairy rocky wednesday 3/4pt e/w 6/1 boyle bog

5.30 fairy perfect smile 1/2pt e/w 10/1 gen bog

4.55
Market seems a little out here starting with the fav rigidity who has the ability but now comes with a few question marks after such a poor performance lto he could well bounce back but at the likely odds he looks poor value.Twinlight has to be respected but again others little appeal appeal at the prices.Chaperoned finished ahead of my selection lto but there is good reason to expect a reversal of that form now we see rocky wednesday racing on ground he is going to find much more to his liking.I cant understand why this is not a couple of points shorter this morning.plenty of scope for further improvement still and should go close.

5.30
Im not going to go into to much detail here but basically we have a solid graded performer in the shape of perfect reward running at a double figure price taking on a couple of unexposed maiden winners at poor prices, most notably I think last instalment who is a very poor price.Perfect reward will have conditions more to hus likeing today as he has found the 2mile trip to short for him on both his last 2 runs.

6.00
I like jack cool here from a ratings point of view he looks well in still but he is not straightforward and offers little value.

6.35
Osana is well treated now has his conditions today and if back to form should go well,the price is a couple of points shorter than id like though and I dont think there if much wrong with peak raiders profile either and he should be involved.

Saturday

It really is a case of something for everyone today,with so much racing I think it’s more important than ever that you specialise on your strongest races that you feel most confident of success with.Ive hit a bit of a bad recently and whilst im confident things will come right in the end,Along with that blog viewings have fallen considerably and its made me look at how to continue moving things forward after the initial success with things. To use a racing term im probably best fresh and recently the whole process of taking the night out to look at the next days racing day in day out has affected things the last month or so, the write ups have been smaller as well due to time restraints and basically I think continuing as things are will not helium not going to be making drastic changes to the way I look at things but basically I’m only going to posting now when I’ve really got something to say about the days racing and when I’ve had the quality time to spend on the cards and hopefully this will help in bringing the blog results back into success.
Plenty I like about today racing hopefully I’ve made the right choices with selections id also put nobody off combining the ones ive left as mentions in some small mulitples as they have only been turned down due to prices.

Advised Selections

3.10 sandown meanus dandy fire and rain 1/2pt e/w both 365 5places bog 10/1 – 33/1
4.50 sandown dunno 1/2pt e/w 12/1 365 bog
2.20 haydock domincan monk 1/2pt e/w 10/1 gen bog
4.00 haydock toby jug 3/4pt e/w 7/1 vc bog
5.15 muss amno dancer 1/2pt e/w 5/1 gen bog

Sandown
130
I think the markets slightly out here and that’s probably mainly down to the Nicholls Walsh factor with sancuitaire not much actually puts me off him but it’s the strong credentials of clerks choice that has me thinking he should be the odds on fav here.CC is best on a fast surface and is well suited by small fields he looked a very classy horse in his races last autumn he would be my pick but at the same time I won’t be backing in such a small tactical event. I see market has now corrected overnight.
310
meanus dandy, aimiygale and fire and rain are the shortlist horses here for me. The front pair in baby run and Balthazar king are taken on mainly due to the fact I think they are both plenty short enough.The way things pan out may well suit meanus dandy who I expect will sit behind the decent pace likely and try to be produced when they have all taken each other on.He hits most of the key trends of recent winners and I can see him being the most suited to how things work out here conditions look ideal and as a previous course winner he commands plenty of respect for top connections.Aimygale is as tough as they come and from handicap point of view I think she has a race in her still off this mark however this is going to be a true test of a horses ability to travel at a fast pace and then stay at the end at which point I expect she may just struggle similar comments could also apply to fire and rain as he is another that tends to race prominently however the big difference here is price and I don’t think it wise to let a horse of this ability to be running at his current price unsupported.Desperealty needed the run on his first outing after a lay off if returning now to his best he should go well.
4.50 dunno is the kind of bet that picks itself for he may well find one better handicapped but the fact he has some much in his favour regarding conditions today has to make him worth a selection at a fair price.
Haydock
220
Drill sergant is a horse I know well and I’m sure he is worth taking on here off a trip that I think is not his best. I think there are risks about a few and the one I like most at a fair price is Dominican monk, he not had much racing recently but when he has been seen in a aw bumper race he still showed enough ability not ran over hurdles for a while but looks fairly treated when you look at his overall record. Can go well fresh and 2mile on decent ground will be no issues. Mark has slipped to a fair one and hopeful of a good run.


330 kelashore bay looks like he has a race in him off this mark I also think however that matuhi will find this easier than recently hard to split so no bet at the prices.
400
The big decision here is whether to give toby jug another chance as for me personally vie been with him on his last 2 selections the fact connections are keen to run again so soon suggests to me they think he is fit and well.Im sure he is well treated when he finally gets his act together again and the price looks ok again today.
435 decent little race here plenty of progressive types. It’s probably best to start with haventgotascoobydoo who I have tracked for a long time now he’s still capable of winning from this mark but I’m not convinced todays conditions will play to his strengths and I’m happy to take on. Black phantom would be the next best to my selection but there is a doubt about the ground and I also think there is a better handicapped horse in the shape of a bridge to far the fact his last performance came over the same conditions as today only add to the confidence of another success today. Its top price 4/1 this morning though so I have to leave now in such tricky little race.
510 I’m finding it hard to split 2 here in the shape of yeoman spirit and perfect reward. I think one of these will win but both have strong claims and are similar priced in the market so can’t really find an angle to get involved at the moment.
Kelso
645
althan khan looks to have ideal conditions here and he should find this a more suitable test than his last 2 runs round Stratford and hopefully that will bring out the extra bit of improvement for him to take this. Overall I don’t give many a chance here and rolecarr is probably the main danger.
Muss
5.15
Have a noted horse from the flat last season running here in the shape of amno dance showed up well in a similar event lto on his 2nd run for the shrewd barron team,looks to have plenty going for him today and should be involved.

Thursday

Advised selections

350 lid noble crusader 12/1gen bog 1pt win

420 lud lightning sky 6/1bfred bog 1pt win

450 lud second brook 7/1 gen bog 1/2pt each way

3.50 ludlow

Plenty of these I know well sunday city will mor ethan likely need this run he should have more races in him over the summer though.Slimi has not showed enough recnelty to suggest he is back to form and I also think he is better over further.The snail will turn up one day when he is in the mood but hes had to many chances recnelty.I was kicking myself for not getting involved with tyup pompey lto as he had showed more spark the run before he is dangerous when he comes back to his best but offers little value for me and the one who I think is to big a price today is noble crusader,shaped with plenty of promise in a better race than this at newbury after a break staying on late over a trip to short he then found the trip to far next time and today back around a course he has won on previously over what is his ideal trip on this ground.

4.20

lightning sky will be hard to beat here for me I cant see why connections would bring him here if he was not fit and ready to run his race.The issue  is there are a couple here who potentially could be a little better than there mark but top price 6/1 is better than I expected.

4.50

This is between 2 I think perkin warbeck has shown enough to suggest he is well treated of this mark and has plenty going for him today.The other im intrested in was a selection lto at that is second brook.This is a step up in grade as that was a pretty poor event but everything about that run suggests we are going to see a big imporvement today over this extra distance.

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Wednesday

Short on time today I've just had the one small bet today at Epsom tends to suit course specialists as we know.

345 ramona chase 1/2pt ew 11/1 gen bog

Tuesday

Advised selections

310pont internationaldebut 1/2pt each way 5/1 gen bog


2.20font rossmore lad hard to beat here if improving a little from his first outing stable in good form as well

2.50font all have doubts i would be with american trilogy myself who is better suited to these races and has his conditions today no value though.

3.10pont internationaldebut has plenty going for him today the fav hoof it is progressive and will be better than this mark but first time up over a stiff 6 brings doubts and for me he is no value.internationaldebut showed up well on debut this season is a spring horse and despite the rise is still fairly treated this course suits his style and has plenty i'n his favour today he looks the most likely to give his running i'n an open event.
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Sunday

Well I decided to take yesterday off mainly due to the poor run of things recently and the fact I could not really find the time I wanted to sort through what I thought a first glance a tricky card at Ayr.It proved to be yet another costly mistake.I had a couple of noted horses running in the shape of gilbary and last weeks selection beggars cap,well we all know what happend with both horses winning at decent odds and it just shows you really should stick with your methods.

Advised Selections

2.45 startford job one 3/4pt win 4/1 gen bog

3.50 startford mario antonia 1/2pt each way 16/1 hills bog

5.00 startford james pollard 1pt each way 6/1 gen bog

4.40 wetherby cornish castle 1pt each way 13/2 365 bog

3.40 gowran catch me 4.15 torpichen 3/4pt each way double 11/4 - 6/4

2.45 stratford
Job one is intresting here especially against a favourite who looks over rated and under priced especially on ground this fast.Job one needs a decent trip on fast ground and the fact he fell in a race he would have struggled to win lto is probably not a bad thing as we get a fresh horse really today which when you look at his past record makes him even more appealing here.Officially he is 10lbs lowr rated here but i think that mark is underated at the moment and his proven ability under these conditions is more of positive anyway.


3.50 stratford

Maria Antonia could be intresting now 2nd run after a lay off.Had some decnet form a couple of years ago in slightly better races than this of higher marks showed nothing first time up but back round a course that suits and on dcecnt ground I can see her going well.Id be intrested especially she is prominent early and if possible I would wait to the start to see how it is likely she will race.

5.00 startford
Leopard hills is normally one I jump at taking on but I very much respect in form horses on faster ground over summer jumps as you tend to find it can count for a lot more and the races tend to be that little bit less competetive.Thats sais he looks no value and the one im intrested in here is James pollard.Theres one run at ffos las taht suggests he looks well treated here,that run was the occasion he found himself racing on the least testing ground he has faced over hurdles so far.Today back on a decnet surface round a sharp 2mile we should see an improved performance he gone well recently on the flat,has been well suported this morning but still happy with around 6/1 with the chance he may drift a little latter on.

530 Stratford
This looks pretty poor id be happy taking heargazer hes fav because he will run his race were a couple of these proabbly wont but I think there is a decent chance a couple will come back to there best form today.
the iron giant was back from a break lto over hurdles and will find things more suitable but katalak is off more intrest firstly we can foprget the recent form on soft ground thats only helped with the mark,his form on decnet ground is much better than anything else we have seen in the race and the fact we have felix de giles back on board and blinkers suggests today is the day we can expect him a return to form.Price is the issues for me though in such a poor event.


4.10 wetheby
Checkerboard is a noted horse travelled very well last time out before blowing up when looking like needing that run,conditions look suitable like the jockey stable in good form.7/2 is a bit tight for me in where you can give all some kind of claims.

4.40 wetherby
Weak race which does look that competive for me cornish castle has solid form for the grade and may improve on his run last time as well.I cant understand why this is not priced up around the 4/1 mark this morning.


3.40 gowran
This looks Catch me race to lose for me the mullins horse is a potential improver but it lacks depth overall.

415 gowran
torpichen looks to just hold the other 2 that look his main dangers here

Friday

Advised selections

2.50 ayr lively baron 1/2pt each way 6/1 gen bog

6.55 chep grafite 1/2pt each way 11/1 gen bog

2.50 ayr 
lively baron is going to find this easier than recent races and trip should also bring out more

3.25 ayr
imsingingtheblues is another who is going to find this easier than recently and looks very well treated now he has started to show a bit more form.the trip around here should just about be ok on decent ground expect him to win but no value

6.55 chep 
grafite looks intresting here ideal conditions today well worth a small bet at a double figure price.

455 newb
intresting sprint I like clive cox with his sprinters especially and he seems to have the filly capercaille in good heart looking at her first start for the stable she should go close if in the smae mood again.Sohraab is on a fair mark now if can return to old form and first time out maybe the best time with him.i expected more from five star junior last time but the faster pace likely here should suit more.just to difficult overall though.

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Thursday

Well yesterday happens from time to time plenty of noted horses i'n one day and again I picked the wrong ones and missed a couple of winners at the same time.just need to move on and trust the methods.
Today I have less interest Cheltenham looks tricky overall and just the one selection there.I've also having a small ew double on 2 at Newmarket The first a progressive type last backend and the 2nd looks a typical improver for his stable.

5.05 chelt mam ratagan 3/4pt each way 14/1 gen bog

4.45 newm forte dei marmi 9/2

5.50 newm art history 5/2

1/2pt each way double


505chelt

Mam ratagan comes here a fresh horse has a good record fresh as well and needs to have decent ground looks well treated on best form and well overpriced.

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Wednesday

Totally messed yesterday up in the end going against my obvious 2 selections which both ended up winning and my 2 selections both in the end finishing unplaced I do think both my selections showed enough to suggest they will be winning soon you dont get payed out on thoose.
Decent couple of days action now with cheltenhams end of season meeting and for me when the flat starts to move up a gear a little at newmarkets opening meeting.

Advised Bets

4.30 chelt educated evans 1/2pt each way 16/1 vc fred bog

5.05 chelt adams island 2pt win 11/4 vc bog

5.40 chelt gilded age 1/2pt each way 7/1 fred bog

4.20 catt leaving alone 1/2pt each way 10/1 betfred bog

Previously Advised

2.40 chelt 1pt win toby jug 7/1 hills bog

3.20 chelt 1 1/2pt each way kings legacy 6/1 365 bog

3.55 chelt 1pt win de boitron 8/1 365 vc bog





Cheltenham

2.10
Couple of potential improvers here but im a fan off habbie simpson who shows a nice attitude expect he will be upto winning this now taking a considerable drop in grade before going on to be a decent chaser next season.

2.40

Galaxy rock is worth taking on here I think is probably flattered last time by staying on through beaten horses and I think ap will have to be at his best to get him jumping well enough to be involved here.Id be doubtful if amunition can put 2 decent runs back to back his profile suggests not an im hapy for him to be left out of things as well.Shammy buskins im sure is flattered for winning a weak race for the grade last time and of a much higher mark up in grade is another i think will struggle whilst both
regal approach and notabotheronme dont look in the best of form.
This leaves only toby jug and for me there is plenty in this ones favour today.I was at uttoxeter for there national day and he clearly needed the run taht day but showed up well for a time untill lack of race practice obviously caught up with he did show enough that day though to suggest he still had some ability i think.he is idelaly suited to these extreme distances and looks on a very fair mark now has won off much higher in the past aiden coleman has is 2 from 3 on the horse and the other run was a close 2nd over this course.I expect plenty more will catch on to him and i expect him well supported here.


3.20
Few horses of intrest here haventgotascoobydo has been a horse ive followed on his winning sequence I still thuink there are more races to be won with him but I think this is a different test to what he has had recently and he will need to be a lot more profesional about things i think today and at the price I will take on.Made in time could be well treated if bouncing back to some of his best form todays trip should suit more than last time but I still woukld have liked to have seen more.I think similar can be said about kangaroo court who today has his ideal conditions you think and he is certainly capable of this mark he showed nothing last time though after his break due to injury at his price I dont want him running unsupported to will go with a small saver on him.The one im most keen on though is kings legacy back from a break today after running poorly when making an early mistake and pulling to hard and dissapointing last time but its the run before that makes him look a very well treated horse that form in november has proven to be rock solid well we all klnow the winner that day and he is now rated 169 the 2nd 140 and the 4th hidden keel has ran up a sequence recenetly over fences and is 145 horse over them now.Add into that the fact the 8th 9th and 10th have all won races including russian war and there is more than good reason to think kings legacy is on a very nice mark still.Cant see ground being to much of an issue think chasing has been mentioned after this but this is fair race to have him ready for I expect.

355
I think there is a fair case to take poquelin on here giving plenty of weight away to some decent performers on there day.The one im most intrested in is de boitron who I think looks like he needs this trip now and comes here fresher than most.I dont know much about the jockey but it looks like he can claim the full allowance and he looks worth a small bet I think.

430
2 im intrested in here are paint the clouds and educated evans.Paint the clouds made easy work of things under ap last time to win as her pleased but for me its the run before taht makes him more intresting here on that run he has the best handcap form on offer he the trip should suit and ground is no problem he should go well again today.Educated evans has not looked in need really of this trip so far but on breeding he should need however the key thing for me has been he has had far to much use made of him especially last time when he chased a decent gallop I expect this has been down to the fact connections felt they wanted to make use of his stamina.I think if he is held onto a little more today he should go well of what still looks a fair mark.

505
I was keen on adams island running a big race at the festival when he unseated.I cant understand why he is not favourite today has best form on 2 of his runs ap back on board a plus as is the trip will be shocked if with a clear round he is beaten today.

540
gilded age showed enough last time to suggest he is coming back to some kind of form a reporduction of that effort is not a certainty given his overall profile but he should be fav in my book in a race where all bare a couple look genrally exposed.Paintball was a selection last time out and will probably find this easier he should go well whilst american art is the other unexposed runner to be worried about.

Newmarket

Overall looks a very tricky card and one I dont think is worth getting involved to seriously.

3.35
Looks very tight and little between all the runners I dont tend to get involved in 3yolds especially early part of the season but I remember being impressed with majestric dubawi last season and channons horses tend to be well forward normally he would be my pick at the prices.

4.10
This does not look that strong for me elshabikya will probably not end uop the best of these but I expect he to proabbly be good enough today with a decent run under her belt already this season with that run sure to have taken the freshness shown that day off her now.

Catterick

4.20
Plenty of these turned up against each other last time and whilst teh fav blue nymph is respected the one im intrested in today is leaving alone who shaped with plenty of promise lto should be more suited by the drop in trip and has ran well off hiugher marks in the past,has yet to win a race but price compensates for that I think today.