Thursday 30 September 2010

Off to Ireland

One horse catches my eye on the Sligo card I do like this horses profile a lot just pity the price is a bit on the tight side so stakes reduced.
545 Sligo the burrow vic 1pt win 3/1 gen bog
Geraghty booked improve for 3mile progressive last year showed promise last time 

Sunday 26 September 2010

Promising Start

8.1pts profit on the week and with a bit more luck that could have been more with a couple of placed horses also going close.Reasoning for my selections has been brief upto now but I shall try and give a bit more time to writting up the anaylsis over the next few weeks as the action warms up.

No jumps action on Monday so will be a no bet day
Next update Tuesday for a low grade card at sedgfield.

Sundays Selections

Off to market rasen for 2 today again keeping things brief at the moment

345 ambrose princess 1/2pt e/w 11/1 365 cor bog
bens folly looks most likely winner and have that one clear on my ratings however 4/1 seems a bit tight so preference is for the consistent game mare ambrose princess

455 classic fly 1/2pt e/w 6/1 sj 365 bog
may be flattered by novice chase run last time as never shown form to that level before but at the price I think this one deserve the chance to show lto was no fluke.

will update p/l later just 1 place yesterday

Friday 24 September 2010

Saturdays selections

2 early bets for Saturday both Market rasen
220 oceana gold 1/2pt each way 12/1 365bog
320 five dream 1/2pt each way 10/1 365 bog

Another update in morning

Concerns about the going

2 selections today at worcester but have reduced stakes as im concerned about the ground being patchy and diferent in places.Again keeping things brief untill the real action kicks in.

220 crystal rock 4/1 gen bog 3/4pt e/w
Has top weight but course form last time looks best on offer here,first time in handicap and  good claimer takes 5lbs off.This price would be the minimum Id want but does seem a little weak this morning.
440 saintly lady 10/1 will hill bog 1/2pt e/w
Not much between 4-5 of these on different form lines and was looking to be a no bet race but selection just looks overpriced as has similar claims to favs in this.


Rcam winning at 8/1 making another profitable day of 1.8pt sometimes emma lavelle stable can be difficult to read at times but thankfully got this one right, Pepe simo race was all over at  the first I know some dont like jumping on at short odds but to me value can be found at all range of odds and just a shame the horse made mistakes and lost confidence,jumping really is key.Milesian king also looked to lack fluency at the obstacles and continues to dissapoint.
Running total +4.8pts

Thursday 23 September 2010

Three for fontwell

Bit short on time today still with 3selectoons but no detailed write up.
240 pepe simo 4/6 2pt win 4/6 gen bog
Well clear on hurdles ratings which I know is not always transferred to fences but seemed a nice type last year and would have this a bit shorter.
340f milesian king 1/2pt each way 7/1 gen bog
lawney hill aidan coleman teamed up well over summer goes well at course some decent form last year for this grade.
440f rcam 1/2pt each way 9/1 gen bog
won last year 2nd time round.good ground important and
rain hopefully staying away.needed first run this
year.yard shrewd with these types.


 
20p rule4 on 10/1 winner sp of  9/2 profit of 3pt on day

Wednesday 22 September 2010

Lets get started

2 selections today both at perth

445 nudge and nurdle 1pt e/w 4/1 bog
Have this one clear on my ratings and priced around 3/1 in my book.Attitude has been questioned in past but seems to be running consistenty at the moment has been looking like in need of this trip.

515 bescot spring 1/2pt e/w 10/1 bog
Mad moose looks the likely winner however Im taking a chance with bescot springs returning to the form of his ludlow run last season.Changed stables over summer and just think fresh may be the time to catch this one.