A couple of the handicaps make some appeal tonight at ffos las and im going to have a small ew double on a couple of top weights.Both come here in good form and still look fairly treated with decnet claimers on board
7.15 ffos las praxiteles 11/4 gen
8.20 ffos las argento romano 4/1 gen
1/2pt each way double
Tuesday 31 May 2011
Friday 27 May 2011
Friday
Was good to see dunno win under and excellent phillip robinson ride last night,it does always seem to be same couple of jockeys who are a brave enough to make these decisions and get the reward they deserve.
Couple of decent meetings again today but not hard to put a line through mnay races 1 selections under each code though.
Advised Selection
7.55 strat baddam 1/2pt each way 8/1 hills bog
Flat Selection
4.05 newm galatian 1/2pt each way 14/1 gen bog
7.55 strat
I think baddam is worth a small bet here in a race I dont think is that competetive for the grade,He showed nothing really first time up afet a break last time when having a spin on the flat, but im happy to forgive that effort,Conditions look ideal today and if bouncing back to anything near his best he should be good enough here.
4.05 newm
This is a competetive handicap and I think you are going to need to have more than a few lbs up your sleeeve to be winning here.Galatian is up in grade and weights today and would normally be the type of horse id take on however there was a lot to like about his win from the front here last time and im sure he has more races in him the price is a lot bigger than I expected and although we need a career best again that compensated for in the price I think.
Couple of decent meetings again today but not hard to put a line through mnay races 1 selections under each code though.
Advised Selection
7.55 strat baddam 1/2pt each way 8/1 hills bog
Flat Selection
4.05 newm galatian 1/2pt each way 14/1 gen bog
7.55 strat
I think baddam is worth a small bet here in a race I dont think is that competetive for the grade,He showed nothing really first time up afet a break last time when having a spin on the flat, but im happy to forgive that effort,Conditions look ideal today and if bouncing back to anything near his best he should be good enough here.
4.05 newm
This is a competetive handicap and I think you are going to need to have more than a few lbs up your sleeeve to be winning here.Galatian is up in grade and weights today and would normally be the type of horse id take on however there was a lot to like about his win from the front here last time and im sure he has more races in him the price is a lot bigger than I expected and although we need a career best again that compensated for in the price I think.
Thursday 26 May 2011
Thursday Evening
Just a quick post on a horse I backed last time and no reason to not support again tonight.
Flat Selection
8.45 sand dunno 1/2pt each way 8/1 gen bog
Ive got a couple here im intrested,I mentioned bronze prince last time and im sure there are races to be won with him,the step up in trip and stiff finish are sure to suit I think but I have to admit I was a little dissapointed that he did not show a bit more last time.Should he be the same price as dunno a solid handicapper with rock solid form around here I dont think so.The fav is a shocking price now no doubt he has a bit more potential but I think we are talking about short margings between him and dunno here and the prices do not reflect that.
Flat Selection
8.45 sand dunno 1/2pt each way 8/1 gen bog
Ive got a couple here im intrested,I mentioned bronze prince last time and im sure there are races to be won with him,the step up in trip and stiff finish are sure to suit I think but I have to admit I was a little dissapointed that he did not show a bit more last time.Should he be the same price as dunno a solid handicapper with rock solid form around here I dont think so.The fav is a shocking price now no doubt he has a bit more potential but I think we are talking about short margings between him and dunno here and the prices do not reflect that.
Wednesday 25 May 2011
Wednesday
Nice win yesterday by dubai dynamo who won pretty comfortably in the end I wont be suprised if he wins again under the right conditions despite a likely big rise now.Just the one place from the jumps selections but hopefully can turn that round today.
445na sir bumble 1pt win 9/2 gen bog
5.15na al amaan 1pt each way 6/1 gen bog
4.00sedg kells castle 1pt win 10/3 hills bog
1/4pt each way treble
4.30sedg prideus 1/2pt each way 25/1 gen bog
8.20southwell tinseltown 1/2pt each way 8/1 gen bog
Flat Selections
3.15 ayr the nifty fox 1/2pt each way 11/2 gen bog
445na
Question marks over a few off these and sir bumble seems to be running back into some kind of form now,the trip is more suitable today and im a little suprised to see the price available.
5.15na
The front 2 in the market are of obvious intrest but im suprised how weak both are currently and the jonjo horse especially has to imporve a lot on what hes done on the course so far.Al amaan showed more spark last time and the drop back in trip around here is going to be much more to his liking,james pollard is not progressing how expected over hurdles and with doubts about the front I think al amaan could be the one.
6.10punch
I was intrested in archie boy here as to much is being made of schelms win in this last season but the price is not what I wanted,aran concerto comes into things as well and I think this course suits him better than last time.
4.00s
This looks a little to good to be true for me here as I had kells castle priced up a lot shorter than the current odds available, showed signs last time up that he was coming back into form and is ceratinly well enough treated now of this mar.Trip ground ideal and confident of a big run.
4.30s
Im taking a chance with one here but prideus showed a little more promise and has now been given a serious chance by the handicapper,I think he will pop in one of little races soon and the fact we have only 5 runners means he should not be to hassled at the front end.25/1 is just far to big here.
8.20southwell
I want to give tinseltown one more go here hes not weighted to reverse form with apache dawn but I think he is a more consistent horse and he may have a little more improvement in him still.Id like to see him race a little closer to the pace today and with the top horse making the market and having doubts he looks a fair price.
3.15 ayr
Im sure you get lost pretty quickly in the amount of collateral form on offer here and a few of these will no doubt be winning in the turn this season but hopefully its The nifty foxs turn today.He has not won for a good while now but his mark takes a while to drop due to his consistency, there was plen ty promise about the run last time and back at ayr,blinkers on, gibbons on baord are all big ticks and should go close.
445na sir bumble 1pt win 9/2 gen bog
5.15na al amaan 1pt each way 6/1 gen bog
4.00sedg kells castle 1pt win 10/3 hills bog
1/4pt each way treble
4.30sedg prideus 1/2pt each way 25/1 gen bog
8.20southwell tinseltown 1/2pt each way 8/1 gen bog
Flat Selections
3.15 ayr the nifty fox 1/2pt each way 11/2 gen bog
445na
Question marks over a few off these and sir bumble seems to be running back into some kind of form now,the trip is more suitable today and im a little suprised to see the price available.
5.15na
The front 2 in the market are of obvious intrest but im suprised how weak both are currently and the jonjo horse especially has to imporve a lot on what hes done on the course so far.Al amaan showed more spark last time and the drop back in trip around here is going to be much more to his liking,james pollard is not progressing how expected over hurdles and with doubts about the front I think al amaan could be the one.
6.10punch
I was intrested in archie boy here as to much is being made of schelms win in this last season but the price is not what I wanted,aran concerto comes into things as well and I think this course suits him better than last time.
4.00s
This looks a little to good to be true for me here as I had kells castle priced up a lot shorter than the current odds available, showed signs last time up that he was coming back into form and is ceratinly well enough treated now of this mar.Trip ground ideal and confident of a big run.
4.30s
Im taking a chance with one here but prideus showed a little more promise and has now been given a serious chance by the handicapper,I think he will pop in one of little races soon and the fact we have only 5 runners means he should not be to hassled at the front end.25/1 is just far to big here.
8.20southwell
I want to give tinseltown one more go here hes not weighted to reverse form with apache dawn but I think he is a more consistent horse and he may have a little more improvement in him still.Id like to see him race a little closer to the pace today and with the top horse making the market and having doubts he looks a fair price.
3.15 ayr
Im sure you get lost pretty quickly in the amount of collateral form on offer here and a few of these will no doubt be winning in the turn this season but hopefully its The nifty foxs turn today.He has not won for a good while now but his mark takes a while to drop due to his consistency, there was plen ty promise about the run last time and back at ayr,blinkers on, gibbons on baord are all big ticks and should go close.
Tuesday 24 May 2011
Tuesday
The blogs taken a little break over the last few days theres not been much jump racing and when there has been very few horses of intrest have been running.Had a good spare bit of time to look at todays racing though and a few hoprses I know plenty about turn up so hopefull of a winning day.
Advised Selections
7.45 hunt good old days 1/2pt each way 7/1 gen bog
8.45 hunt burnthill 1/2pt each way 7/1 365 pp bog
8.00 hex im your man 1/2pt each way 10/1 gen bog
8.30 hex frankie anson 1pt each way 5/1 gen bog
Flat Selections
3.40rip dubai dynamo 1/2pt each way 6/1 gen
7.15 hunt
celtic ballad has his quirks but on his best form you would give him a leading chance the problem is obviously that is not gurantee with him and whilst I could seee him running well in such a poor event and hes probably not a abd price either I just dont feel strong enough that he is likely to run his race to put him up as a selection.
7.45hunt
I think there are plenty here carrying doubts the jonjo horse has to be respected I guess and he may be best caught fresh but hes plenty short enough for one who has basically shown nothing when last seen.Im also happy taking the top horse on after a lay off and similar comments apply to rcam who has not really got the best record despite probably having another arce in him at some point.marc aurele has not taken to fences and looks to be going back wards whilst bennythejets will find this tougher off a slighlty higher mark and has never been the most consitent.This really only leaves me with good old days which im actually please about as despite being in the veteran stage of his career now and most certainly not holding any secrets from the handicapper he looks more liekly to run his race then most,I like the step up in trip the jockey bookings a big plus for me and he swon races this time of year before on decent ground.
8.45hunt
Highland legacy is respected im sure the step up in trip and ap on board are sure to help but its going to need to I think as a couple of these are consistent at this level.couisin maggie is also worth a mention but shes not consistent and I think she will pop up at fontwell soon.Burnthill is a consistent type and im not saying shes thrown in here or anything like that but she only needs to run to her mark to be competetive here and that is something most likely richard johnson taking over is no negative for me as she can respond well to pressure and looks a solid option here.
8.00hex
This is another weak event but im pretty keen on Im your man running a decent race here,fisrtly forget last time as he was help up over a trip he does not stay before that he had been showing more zest and im sure there is another arce in him off this mark,Expect to race more prominent today around a course that suits him well and at the prices hes worth taking a chance on.
8.30hex
Frankie anson is a confident choice here I think he still has scope to improve furtehr and this trip around here should suit him a little better can easily see him stretching these from the front and not seeing many other runners.stagecoach amber would be the danger looks well treated on old form now.
9.00 hex
Inner voice has to many doubts after last time to be completly confident about but im suprised this trip has not been tried previously and this is a much easier race than some of his recent races.
3.40rip
I like the ripon race last time that dubai dynamo ran in,he was left with to much to do that day in the end and the faster they go here agin the more it will suit,is still on afair mark despite another rise and there should be so much of a price difference between the front two here.
Advised Selections
7.45 hunt good old days 1/2pt each way 7/1 gen bog
8.45 hunt burnthill 1/2pt each way 7/1 365 pp bog
8.00 hex im your man 1/2pt each way 10/1 gen bog
8.30 hex frankie anson 1pt each way 5/1 gen bog
Flat Selections
3.40rip dubai dynamo 1/2pt each way 6/1 gen
7.15 hunt
celtic ballad has his quirks but on his best form you would give him a leading chance the problem is obviously that is not gurantee with him and whilst I could seee him running well in such a poor event and hes probably not a abd price either I just dont feel strong enough that he is likely to run his race to put him up as a selection.
7.45hunt
I think there are plenty here carrying doubts the jonjo horse has to be respected I guess and he may be best caught fresh but hes plenty short enough for one who has basically shown nothing when last seen.Im also happy taking the top horse on after a lay off and similar comments apply to rcam who has not really got the best record despite probably having another arce in him at some point.marc aurele has not taken to fences and looks to be going back wards whilst bennythejets will find this tougher off a slighlty higher mark and has never been the most consitent.This really only leaves me with good old days which im actually please about as despite being in the veteran stage of his career now and most certainly not holding any secrets from the handicapper he looks more liekly to run his race then most,I like the step up in trip the jockey bookings a big plus for me and he swon races this time of year before on decent ground.
8.45hunt
Highland legacy is respected im sure the step up in trip and ap on board are sure to help but its going to need to I think as a couple of these are consistent at this level.couisin maggie is also worth a mention but shes not consistent and I think she will pop up at fontwell soon.Burnthill is a consistent type and im not saying shes thrown in here or anything like that but she only needs to run to her mark to be competetive here and that is something most likely richard johnson taking over is no negative for me as she can respond well to pressure and looks a solid option here.
8.00hex
This is another weak event but im pretty keen on Im your man running a decent race here,fisrtly forget last time as he was help up over a trip he does not stay before that he had been showing more zest and im sure there is another arce in him off this mark,Expect to race more prominent today around a course that suits him well and at the prices hes worth taking a chance on.
8.30hex
Frankie anson is a confident choice here I think he still has scope to improve furtehr and this trip around here should suit him a little better can easily see him stretching these from the front and not seeing many other runners.stagecoach amber would be the danger looks well treated on old form now.
9.00 hex
Inner voice has to many doubts after last time to be completly confident about but im suprised this trip has not been tried previously and this is a much easier race than some of his recent races.
3.40rip
I like the ripon race last time that dubai dynamo ran in,he was left with to much to do that day in the end and the faster they go here agin the more it will suit,is still on afair mark despite another rise and there should be so much of a price difference between the front two here.
Thursday 19 May 2011
Thursday
Todays allready looking like its going to be a difficult day I had at least 3 more selctions planned today and apartman at wetherby was likely to be fairly well staked but in the time of writing up and going through oddschecker once more I see the price has crashed from 16/1 into 9/1 gen now.There have been smaller moves in prices on a couple more this morning and Id rather wait now untill this afternoon and hope a couple maybe drift out if it tipping services that are putting these up then maybe a chance this could happen.Anyway Ive ended up with just the one flat selection on a horse I selected last time out.
Flat Selection
4.00hay charlie cool 1/2pt each way 9/1 gen bog
2.00weth
winter alchemy makes a fair bit of appeal here showed enough over a trip to short for him over hurdles and it was no suprise to see him well supported on chase debut last time when stepped up in distance.Things did not really go to plan that day with him eventually unseating his rider.Back over hurldes now in a easier race I think he should go close little value as a 5/1 shot in a race of this nature though.
4.15weth
Well this is the most frustrating one of day that ive missed apartman has not shown a great deal since winning a juvenile event a couple of seasons he was outclassed after that win and then clearly did not take to fences,back with his old stable he started to show a lot more promise last time out over 1/2mile further leading untill 2 out before finding the trip to much.That was a much more promising effort and I expect him to race handily today and I expect a big run.
4.45weth
I was tempted to put dawn ride up today back round wetherby but having another look at things I think his jumpings getting worse and despite the excellent brian hughes on board again im not totally convinced hes value at his current odds.
1.50hay
I always keep a close on the easterby horses and silvery moon showed enough promise last time to suggest it would be only a matter of time before he would be taking a handicap or 2.It was priced a couple of points bigger this morning and its no suprise to see him being supported.Theres a chance he could be better over further and maybe also want slighlty easier ground and whilst Id have been happy taking the chace at a double figure price im not at his odds now.
4.00hay
No suprise here and charlie cool is an easy selection hes running back into form now and is on a winnable mark,showed more agin lto and its intresting connections have him in at ripon as well in a few days a course that suits well.The faster they go the better today and a good pace looks likely.
6.30sal
Philip makin does with fillies and especially sprint ones and he seems to have sweetend adventure story up looking at her run lto.It will not suprise me to see her go close but she does not look that well treated to warrant support at 5/1.
8.15sal
Im sure I had seen deceptive priced at 6/1 in a place this morning but its no suprise to see that did not last.No doubt he is going to end up better than this mark and also this trip is going to help bring out some more improvement today.9/2 is a little to short for a horse that has plenty to learn still and may find 1 or 2 more streetwise today.
8.45sal
I think there are worse 6/4 shots than experimentalist whilst plenty of these have the potential still to improve I dont think they have shown enough to warrant marks around 70 and the main danger for me has now actually been withdrawn.This looks easier than lto and he should improve on that showing anyway.
Flat Selection
4.00hay charlie cool 1/2pt each way 9/1 gen bog
2.00weth
winter alchemy makes a fair bit of appeal here showed enough over a trip to short for him over hurdles and it was no suprise to see him well supported on chase debut last time when stepped up in distance.Things did not really go to plan that day with him eventually unseating his rider.Back over hurldes now in a easier race I think he should go close little value as a 5/1 shot in a race of this nature though.
4.15weth
Well this is the most frustrating one of day that ive missed apartman has not shown a great deal since winning a juvenile event a couple of seasons he was outclassed after that win and then clearly did not take to fences,back with his old stable he started to show a lot more promise last time out over 1/2mile further leading untill 2 out before finding the trip to much.That was a much more promising effort and I expect him to race handily today and I expect a big run.
4.45weth
I was tempted to put dawn ride up today back round wetherby but having another look at things I think his jumpings getting worse and despite the excellent brian hughes on board again im not totally convinced hes value at his current odds.
1.50hay
I always keep a close on the easterby horses and silvery moon showed enough promise last time to suggest it would be only a matter of time before he would be taking a handicap or 2.It was priced a couple of points bigger this morning and its no suprise to see him being supported.Theres a chance he could be better over further and maybe also want slighlty easier ground and whilst Id have been happy taking the chace at a double figure price im not at his odds now.
4.00hay
No suprise here and charlie cool is an easy selection hes running back into form now and is on a winnable mark,showed more agin lto and its intresting connections have him in at ripon as well in a few days a course that suits well.The faster they go the better today and a good pace looks likely.
6.30sal
Philip makin does with fillies and especially sprint ones and he seems to have sweetend adventure story up looking at her run lto.It will not suprise me to see her go close but she does not look that well treated to warrant support at 5/1.
8.15sal
Im sure I had seen deceptive priced at 6/1 in a place this morning but its no suprise to see that did not last.No doubt he is going to end up better than this mark and also this trip is going to help bring out some more improvement today.9/2 is a little to short for a horse that has plenty to learn still and may find 1 or 2 more streetwise today.
8.45sal
I think there are worse 6/4 shots than experimentalist whilst plenty of these have the potential still to improve I dont think they have shown enough to warrant marks around 70 and the main danger for me has now actually been withdrawn.This looks easier than lto and he should improve on that showing anyway.
Wednesday 18 May 2011
Wednesday
No joy yesterday from the 3 selctions tinseltown managed a place so not too much damage done but I have to say I was dissapointed with how both the other selections ran.
Plenty of action again today not so many races or horses of appeal though, I think I have one solid selection and one risky one over the jumps whilst the 2 flat horses im sure will prove better than there current marks especially the latter horse.
Advised Selections
6.10punc kilflora 1/2pt each way 10/1 365 pp bog
8.20worc fire and rain 1/2pt each way 14/1 gen bog
Flat Selections
3.45good cosimo de medici 5/1 hills 365 bog
3.55kemp st oswald 5/2 hills 365 bog
1/2pt each way double
6.10 punch
The thing that made this race most atrractive to start with is the the amount of horses that seem to be out of form or ideally suited by further and you could also proabbly add there are a few coming back from decent lay offs.I have no doubt there are horses in here who are more fairly treated than kilflora but we have a consisitent 2 mile performer who is way over priced.Thats proabbly down to the fact she fell lto thats a small concern but previously jumping has been fine and aslong as the confidence is still there I cant see it being a problem today.
8.20 worc
This ones a bit more risky I have to say but if fire and rain is to bounce back to form the handicapper has certainly gave him a chance now,these sharper courses tend to suit him and id like to see him out the fornt enjoying himself especially as he stays further than this the ground should be ideal now as genuine summer ground is what this horse wants,This is much weaker than races he has been running in and im hopeful of a return to form.
3.45 good
Had this down to 2 dazinski looks like he should be involved after showing promise lto and the booking of fallon is no negative but id have him a similar price to the selction and for that reason ive had to go with cosimo de medici.CDM has not had many chances on turf and I think he showed enough lto to suggest there are races in him of this mark, I dont like comparing aw mark to flat to much as horses no doubt can be much better on one of the other but I think the only reason cdm is lower rated is due to the fact of limited opputunities.The slight concern is handling the course I think and I would like to see him ridden more prominent this time.The tongue strap is back on which suggests there wis improvemnet in lto peformance.
3.55 kemp
I was very tempted to consider a serious bet on st oswald today but then I think I realised im looking at 3yold handcappers here and you never know whta you could be getting involved in.No doubt there are a couple of unexposed types here but none more so than st oswald I cant see roger charlton having to many horses rated this low in his yard and Ive no doubt he is going to be rated a lot higher than that soon,hes also entered at windosr in a few days and I can see him running up a sequence as he steps up in trip.The mile today will bring out more and id be suprised if he is not good enough today.I thought he would be under the 2/1 mark this morning and suprised that you can even get 11/4 in a place.
Plenty of action again today not so many races or horses of appeal though, I think I have one solid selection and one risky one over the jumps whilst the 2 flat horses im sure will prove better than there current marks especially the latter horse.
Advised Selections
6.10punc kilflora 1/2pt each way 10/1 365 pp bog
8.20worc fire and rain 1/2pt each way 14/1 gen bog
Flat Selections
3.45good cosimo de medici 5/1 hills 365 bog
3.55kemp st oswald 5/2 hills 365 bog
1/2pt each way double
6.10 punch
The thing that made this race most atrractive to start with is the the amount of horses that seem to be out of form or ideally suited by further and you could also proabbly add there are a few coming back from decent lay offs.I have no doubt there are horses in here who are more fairly treated than kilflora but we have a consisitent 2 mile performer who is way over priced.Thats proabbly down to the fact she fell lto thats a small concern but previously jumping has been fine and aslong as the confidence is still there I cant see it being a problem today.
8.20 worc
This ones a bit more risky I have to say but if fire and rain is to bounce back to form the handicapper has certainly gave him a chance now,these sharper courses tend to suit him and id like to see him out the fornt enjoying himself especially as he stays further than this the ground should be ideal now as genuine summer ground is what this horse wants,This is much weaker than races he has been running in and im hopeful of a return to form.
3.45 good
Had this down to 2 dazinski looks like he should be involved after showing promise lto and the booking of fallon is no negative but id have him a similar price to the selction and for that reason ive had to go with cosimo de medici.CDM has not had many chances on turf and I think he showed enough lto to suggest there are races in him of this mark, I dont like comparing aw mark to flat to much as horses no doubt can be much better on one of the other but I think the only reason cdm is lower rated is due to the fact of limited opputunities.The slight concern is handling the course I think and I would like to see him ridden more prominent this time.The tongue strap is back on which suggests there wis improvemnet in lto peformance.
3.55 kemp
I was very tempted to consider a serious bet on st oswald today but then I think I realised im looking at 3yold handcappers here and you never know whta you could be getting involved in.No doubt there are a couple of unexposed types here but none more so than st oswald I cant see roger charlton having to many horses rated this low in his yard and Ive no doubt he is going to be rated a lot higher than that soon,hes also entered at windosr in a few days and I can see him running up a sequence as he steps up in trip.The mile today will bring out more and id be suprised if he is not good enough today.I thought he would be under the 2/1 mark this morning and suprised that you can even get 11/4 in a place.
Tuesday 17 May 2011
Tuesday
Well both jumps selections yesterday were none runners in the end and its intresting that sky calling is now to run over hurdles today I like the stable but I think it could be a mistake.
Modest stuff today over the jumps but a few horses im intrested in today and could easily have put a couple of the mentions up as well today if there prices were a little bigger.
advised selections
4.40s tinseltown 1/2pt each way 14/1 gen bog
5.10s junior jack 1/2pt each way 12/1 365 boy bog
8.40t cadeaux cerise 1/2pt each way 8/1 hill fred bog
2.40s
benny the swinger is worth a mention here I sore this horse in the autumn and chasing was always going to be his things he showed very little over hurdles as expected but did show more promise on his first start over fences,this is a pretty poor event and wont take much winning I expect asnd im sure there is races in this horse I just get the impression he may need more time still though at this stage and the stable is hardly in any kind of form still.
4.40s
tinseltown has been ruled out pretty quickly here for me and I think he showed more than enough promise in the mud over the winter to suggest he can find a small handicap of around this mark.He was jumping and travelling well in thoose races untill not seeing things out,has been freshend up since and with conditions more suitable today I think he is worth the risk at current odds.
5.10s
junior jack has showed enough in his novice hurdles to say he can be competetive of this mark the drop back in trip will suit,sam thomas rode a winner for the stable recently and I think we will see him bounce back to the form he showed on his first start over hurdles and anything around that should be good enough here.
7.10t
I was hoping that the fact saddlers blaze is out of the handicap would put a few of this one but its not been the case and hes now a well supported 8/1 shot.Hes showed far more promise recently and comes here in good form which is more than a fair majority of these.Trip and ground look ideal and I think he is only on this mark due to lack of runs in this sphere.Expect him to get on with things from the front and as long as his jumping is sound again I think he will be a hard horse to pass.
8.40t
2 im intrested in here but at the prices its and easy call alformary is respected but cadeaux cerise is a far better price for one that has already showen a liking to this course,now on a lower mark then when she went close here 2 runs ago and a reproduction of that run should be good enough tonight.
Modest stuff today over the jumps but a few horses im intrested in today and could easily have put a couple of the mentions up as well today if there prices were a little bigger.
advised selections
4.40s tinseltown 1/2pt each way 14/1 gen bog
5.10s junior jack 1/2pt each way 12/1 365 boy bog
8.40t cadeaux cerise 1/2pt each way 8/1 hill fred bog
2.40s
benny the swinger is worth a mention here I sore this horse in the autumn and chasing was always going to be his things he showed very little over hurdles as expected but did show more promise on his first start over fences,this is a pretty poor event and wont take much winning I expect asnd im sure there is races in this horse I just get the impression he may need more time still though at this stage and the stable is hardly in any kind of form still.
4.40s
tinseltown has been ruled out pretty quickly here for me and I think he showed more than enough promise in the mud over the winter to suggest he can find a small handicap of around this mark.He was jumping and travelling well in thoose races untill not seeing things out,has been freshend up since and with conditions more suitable today I think he is worth the risk at current odds.
5.10s
junior jack has showed enough in his novice hurdles to say he can be competetive of this mark the drop back in trip will suit,sam thomas rode a winner for the stable recently and I think we will see him bounce back to the form he showed on his first start over hurdles and anything around that should be good enough here.
7.10t
I was hoping that the fact saddlers blaze is out of the handicap would put a few of this one but its not been the case and hes now a well supported 8/1 shot.Hes showed far more promise recently and comes here in good form which is more than a fair majority of these.Trip and ground look ideal and I think he is only on this mark due to lack of runs in this sphere.Expect him to get on with things from the front and as long as his jumping is sound again I think he will be a hard horse to pass.
8.40t
2 im intrested in here but at the prices its and easy call alformary is respected but cadeaux cerise is a far better price for one that has already showen a liking to this course,now on a lower mark then when she went close here 2 runs ago and a reproduction of that run should be good enough tonight.
Monday 16 May 2011
Monday
Nice winner yesterday returning at 12/1 I was trading the horse on betfair prior to the race and was a little suprised of some of the prices available and it proved to be a very decent result for myself.Aran concerto ran a solid enough race and managed to get 2nd so no damage done there, the each way double was probably a bad bet as It was case of not wanting to miss out on a couple of horses rather than thinking they were great value.Charlie cool stays on the list and will be winning soon a few more will probably be on him next time though.
Advised Selections
3.20 newton abbot Ghiamaar 1pt win 5/1 gen bog
3.20 newton abbot Ghiamaar 5/1
3.50 newton abbot sky calling 2/1
1/2pt each way double with bet365 bog
Flat Selections
7.30 windsor aurora sky 1/2pt each way 6/1 gen bog
3.20 na
Ghiammar is not my usual type of selection but I think he is potentially much better than an exposed bunch here and far better value than the nichols horse who has to improve a fair bit for me.Stage acclaim and cockney trucker are the 2 exposed types that set the form but neither look like they will be able to cope with the selction if he returns in the same form of last season.Has had plenty of expereince on the flat so first time in a handicap does not concern me to much especially as his jumping seemed to be improving with every run last season.Conditions look fine at this stage and I think he is going to prove a fair bit better than this mark.
3.50na
Sky calling is an easy selction here in what looks a weakish race.I like the stables runners when they try to follow up like this and a similar performance to last time should see him take this.Has the scope to improve further and Id have this one priced up a little shorter.
7.30wind
A couple here that could improve but they dont look much value and I think aurora sky should see this trip out if recent efforts are anything to go by,2 from 2 with richard hughes.
7.40 leic
aspro mavro is worth a mention here Ill be suprised if there is not some money around for him later.Refused to race over hurdles last time and has not really progressed as expected but blinkers look a prositive for me as does the booking of holland,if they can get out in front I think he could be difficult to pass if in the mood.
Advised Selections
3.20 newton abbot Ghiamaar 1pt win 5/1 gen bog
3.20 newton abbot Ghiamaar 5/1
3.50 newton abbot sky calling 2/1
1/2pt each way double with bet365 bog
Flat Selections
7.30 windsor aurora sky 1/2pt each way 6/1 gen bog
3.20 na
Ghiammar is not my usual type of selection but I think he is potentially much better than an exposed bunch here and far better value than the nichols horse who has to improve a fair bit for me.Stage acclaim and cockney trucker are the 2 exposed types that set the form but neither look like they will be able to cope with the selction if he returns in the same form of last season.Has had plenty of expereince on the flat so first time in a handicap does not concern me to much especially as his jumping seemed to be improving with every run last season.Conditions look fine at this stage and I think he is going to prove a fair bit better than this mark.
3.50na
Sky calling is an easy selction here in what looks a weakish race.I like the stables runners when they try to follow up like this and a similar performance to last time should see him take this.Has the scope to improve further and Id have this one priced up a little shorter.
7.30wind
A couple here that could improve but they dont look much value and I think aurora sky should see this trip out if recent efforts are anything to go by,2 from 2 with richard hughes.
7.40 leic
aspro mavro is worth a mention here Ill be suprised if there is not some money around for him later.Refused to race over hurdles last time and has not really progressed as expected but blinkers look a prositive for me as does the booking of holland,if they can get out in front I think he could be difficult to pass if in the mood.
Sunday 15 May 2011
sunday
Advised Selections
325kill Princeton plains 1/2pt each way 12/1 hills
425kill aran concerto 1pt each way 6/1 pp
2.30 mr maria Antonia 6/1 hills
320strt quito de tresor 10/3 hills
1/2pt each way double
Flat Slections
3.40 rip Charlie cool 1/2pt each way 12/1 hills
325kill
Princeton plains has gone up 6lbs for finishing 2nd in a competitive handicap lto that form looks like it will turn out to be solid form though and with the potential of more to come he looks a fair price in a race where plenty look exposed except maybe the mullins horse who is poor value though.
425kill
aran concerto is intresting on his 3rd start after a big lay off will find this type of race easier than handicaps and overall he is weighted to get closer to the fav who took a heavy fall lto.
2.30 mr
maria Antonia is not really the price I wanted this morning but should be able to dominate here from the front been on the list for a while and seems more confidence around a good performance today.
3.40 rip
Stable back in form coure winner back on a nice mark Winston back on board only matter of time before he is winning again.
320strt
quito de tresor is another coming back to form and despite the chances he may be taken on alittle bit her I think with the 10lb of his back today he should prove to good for these.
325kill Princeton plains 1/2pt each way 12/1 hills
425kill aran concerto 1pt each way 6/1 pp
2.30 mr maria Antonia 6/1 hills
320strt quito de tresor 10/3 hills
1/2pt each way double
Flat Slections
3.40 rip Charlie cool 1/2pt each way 12/1 hills
325kill
Princeton plains has gone up 6lbs for finishing 2nd in a competitive handicap lto that form looks like it will turn out to be solid form though and with the potential of more to come he looks a fair price in a race where plenty look exposed except maybe the mullins horse who is poor value though.
425kill
aran concerto is intresting on his 3rd start after a big lay off will find this type of race easier than handicaps and overall he is weighted to get closer to the fav who took a heavy fall lto.
2.30 mr
maria Antonia is not really the price I wanted this morning but should be able to dominate here from the front been on the list for a while and seems more confidence around a good performance today.
3.40 rip
Stable back in form coure winner back on a nice mark Winston back on board only matter of time before he is winning again.
320strt
quito de tresor is another coming back to form and despite the chances he may be taken on alittle bit her I think with the 10lb of his back today he should prove to good for these.
Saturday 14 May 2011
Thursday 12 May 2011
Thursday
Was nice to get of the mark with the flat selections and a nice 7/1 winner on tuesday.Intresting days racing today but im stuggling on the slection front im very keen on key cutter today at ludlow but it seems a few others are as well and I cant really get the price im after for a real decent bet
5.55 ludlow general elliot 5/1
6.30 ludlow key cutter 11/2
1/2pt each way double prices gen avalable with the bog bookmakers.
5.55 ludlow general elliot
The front 2 look well worth taking on both have had a few chances now in simlar races and its an easy choice at the odds.I was dissapointed with james pollards effort lto and although he may be better for that experience im happy to take on.The dickin horse is the likley danger for me as he looks the type who could slowly progress however genral elliot has shown enbough in his efforts over hurdles so far to suggest the mark is lenient.Can go well fresh and I dont think the sharp tarck is going to do this ex flat horse no harm today.The price is at the minimum end of what I wnated for a horse first time in a handciap but the risks are less with these ex flat horses.
6.30 ludlow key cutter
Firstly this is no walkover for key cutter as there are plenty of dangers but im sure we have a horse here who has the potential to be a lot better than his current mark this summer showed glimpses of what he could do in the autumn before then being put away for a summer campaign.Showed wnough promise back form a break first time up recently to suggest he would be better for that effort and im sure we will see a much improved performance today.Like ive said the price is the concern if this was 7/1+ id be more than happy risking a decnet bet here but 5`s is probably the right price.
7.40 ludlow prince of denial would be my choice here but im concerned he has had plenty chances in arguably weaker races this trip round here could be idela though. I also expect a decent run from hadron collidier who I think could also appreciate this trip and showed up ok lto.
5.05 perth
cassius could go well ata price here maybe a little flattered lto in a slowly run race but that was more promising and is back down to a fair mark no 20/1 shot for me.
3.30 york
Yorks handicaps look tough today and ive swerve the card personally for what it worth though I think world domination is a serious horse and I was very impressed with the debut run.Ill be dissapointed if he does not take this depsite the inexperience and there has to be an arguament he is better value today at 5/2 than 4/1 for the derby.
8.00 newm bronze prince is an intrested runner for the gosden team im sure they would not be getting involved with this horse if they dont think he still retains the abilty and promise shown in his maiden victory, should be suited by the course and money for this one early.
5.55 ludlow general elliot 5/1
6.30 ludlow key cutter 11/2
1/2pt each way double prices gen avalable with the bog bookmakers.
5.55 ludlow general elliot
The front 2 look well worth taking on both have had a few chances now in simlar races and its an easy choice at the odds.I was dissapointed with james pollards effort lto and although he may be better for that experience im happy to take on.The dickin horse is the likley danger for me as he looks the type who could slowly progress however genral elliot has shown enbough in his efforts over hurdles so far to suggest the mark is lenient.Can go well fresh and I dont think the sharp tarck is going to do this ex flat horse no harm today.The price is at the minimum end of what I wnated for a horse first time in a handciap but the risks are less with these ex flat horses.
6.30 ludlow key cutter
Firstly this is no walkover for key cutter as there are plenty of dangers but im sure we have a horse here who has the potential to be a lot better than his current mark this summer showed glimpses of what he could do in the autumn before then being put away for a summer campaign.Showed wnough promise back form a break first time up recently to suggest he would be better for that effort and im sure we will see a much improved performance today.Like ive said the price is the concern if this was 7/1+ id be more than happy risking a decnet bet here but 5`s is probably the right price.
7.40 ludlow prince of denial would be my choice here but im concerned he has had plenty chances in arguably weaker races this trip round here could be idela though. I also expect a decent run from hadron collidier who I think could also appreciate this trip and showed up ok lto.
5.05 perth
cassius could go well ata price here maybe a little flattered lto in a slowly run race but that was more promising and is back down to a fair mark no 20/1 shot for me.
3.30 york
Yorks handicaps look tough today and ive swerve the card personally for what it worth though I think world domination is a serious horse and I was very impressed with the debut run.Ill be dissapointed if he does not take this depsite the inexperience and there has to be an arguament he is better value today at 5/2 than 4/1 for the derby.
8.00 newm bronze prince is an intrested runner for the gosden team im sure they would not be getting involved with this horse if they dont think he still retains the abilty and promise shown in his maiden victory, should be suited by the course and money for this one early.
Tuesday 10 May 2011
Tuesday
Another winner yesterday from 3 selections pretty unlucky not get atleast a place with the last horse weaking dramatically in the final 100yds.Also bit unfortunate with the hefty rule 4 but a profit on the day so cant complain to much.
Flat Selection
4.00 bev just bond 1/2pt each way 6/1 hills bog
3.00 bev
Caranbola has a decent win record for a horse at this level but 5/2 is far to short I think,Clear ice has been running well of late and has similar claims again today the price has gone though and I wanted more the 10/1 predicted than the 6/1 on offer for a horse with such a poor win record.
4.00 bev
Very little between just bond and aquarian spirit here and for that reson just bond has to be selection at current odds.Hail promenade is still fairly treated but has to put up back to back efforts and that would be my concern and I can see a bigger danger being handsome falcon who is on a nice mark now and showed more promise last time up.
3.20 yarm
Im a little suprised to mashatu so weak this morning,showed enough promise lto in a similar handicap to suggest races can be won the drop back in trip looks no issue looking at that race.Theres a couple of horse who have been well supported this morning in here and whilsta re respected they are genrally and exposed bunch and if the drift continues to around the 4/1 mark then Id think thats a more than fair price for the only horse in the race with the potential to be much better than there current mark.
8.45 sedg
im keen on abaragante here thge drop back in trip looks ideal as he has been travelling but not seeing his races out recently.Despite the numbers it looks a weak race.Expect him to win and put nobody of him but id want more than 3/1 in a race of this nature if im honest.
Flat Selection
4.00 bev just bond 1/2pt each way 6/1 hills bog
3.00 bev
Caranbola has a decent win record for a horse at this level but 5/2 is far to short I think,Clear ice has been running well of late and has similar claims again today the price has gone though and I wanted more the 10/1 predicted than the 6/1 on offer for a horse with such a poor win record.
4.00 bev
Very little between just bond and aquarian spirit here and for that reson just bond has to be selection at current odds.Hail promenade is still fairly treated but has to put up back to back efforts and that would be my concern and I can see a bigger danger being handsome falcon who is on a nice mark now and showed more promise last time up.
3.20 yarm
Im a little suprised to mashatu so weak this morning,showed enough promise lto in a similar handicap to suggest races can be won the drop back in trip looks no issue looking at that race.Theres a couple of horse who have been well supported this morning in here and whilsta re respected they are genrally and exposed bunch and if the drift continues to around the 4/1 mark then Id think thats a more than fair price for the only horse in the race with the potential to be much better than there current mark.
8.45 sedg
im keen on abaragante here thge drop back in trip looks ideal as he has been travelling but not seeing his races out recently.Despite the numbers it looks a weak race.Expect him to win and put nobody of him but id want more than 3/1 in a race of this nature if im honest.
Monday 9 May 2011
Monday
Just the one jumps meeting today in England and whilst moderate racing the fields are a little bigger than recently I think there a few oppurtunities to be had today on overpriced horses.
The Flat selections are not really going to plan at the moment but like ive said prevously they are all much smaller selections and Im not to concerned at the moment anyway considering the prices I generally get involced at.
Advised Selections
6.00 towcester the strawberryone 3/4pt each way 11/2 pp vc bog
7.00 towcester rooftop rainbow 3/4pt each way 5/1 hills bog
7.30 towcester alfloramoor 3/4pt each way 7/1 gen bog
Flat Selections
no bet
5.30 towcester
I was intrested in goodtimetoby here who showed his first peice of real form lto out and with his trainer now hitting a bit of form he looked to have a fair bit of appeal,howver the price is genrally 5/2 this morning and I dont plan on getting involved off the back of 1 decent run in such a weak race.
6.00 towcester
Hard to split the henderson and king horse here and whilst they are both respected they are no world beaters and I dont expect either to improve to much on what they shown last time. There is not much depth to this and for that reson I think the strawberryone looks sure to be involved here.Has some decent course form in both bumpers and 1 hurdle race but more intresting for me is the step up in trip today is sure to suit I think,jumping has not been foot perfect yet but there is likely to be less pressure on that today than lto recieving weight she should be a 4/1 shot for me.
7.00 towcester
I was suprised rooftop rainbow was weak this morning and Im more than happy to take some of the 5/1 on offer here about a horse that as always going to be suited by the switch to fences.Showed enough ability over hurdles to suggest he can win of this mark.The dangers well if im honest I cant see many as they all come with some risk attached to them and im sure rr will prove to be a well treated horse in time.
7.30 towcester
Dissapointing that valid point has come out of this I think as i was happy to take him on after last times improved performance however turbo shandy now leads the amrket and he has to be taken on for the 5lb rise from his win here last time makes him risky.Peace corps and beech view are not out of things even if the latter maybe flattered by his run lto but alfloramoor claims are a little more solid for me.He finished behind turbo shandy and meridem lto but that was his first run after a decent break and we also get the cheekpieces back on today suggesting more to me that connections had left some improvement in him last time.I genrally dont like backing horses 2nd time up after a break so soon but he has ran well before given this profile and looks a fair price to reverse the form from last time.
8.20 roscommon
Bernabeau is worth a quick look new trainer but has his condiitons today is on a winable mark and has bits of form fresh to suggest he can run well.Not a 25/1 shot for me but a little bit to risky in a tough race to be putting up.
3.50 redcar
Ghost is the kind of horse that can make you look stupid at times he has more than enough ability to win a race of around this mark though and the step up in trip will suit today im sure dandy will find the key to him but this looks a decent race for the grade and they may wont him down a few more lbs yet.
The Flat selections are not really going to plan at the moment but like ive said prevously they are all much smaller selections and Im not to concerned at the moment anyway considering the prices I generally get involced at.
Advised Selections
6.00 towcester the strawberryone 3/4pt each way 11/2 pp vc bog
7.00 towcester rooftop rainbow 3/4pt each way 5/1 hills bog
7.30 towcester alfloramoor 3/4pt each way 7/1 gen bog
Flat Selections
no bet
5.30 towcester
I was intrested in goodtimetoby here who showed his first peice of real form lto out and with his trainer now hitting a bit of form he looked to have a fair bit of appeal,howver the price is genrally 5/2 this morning and I dont plan on getting involved off the back of 1 decent run in such a weak race.
6.00 towcester
Hard to split the henderson and king horse here and whilst they are both respected they are no world beaters and I dont expect either to improve to much on what they shown last time. There is not much depth to this and for that reson I think the strawberryone looks sure to be involved here.Has some decent course form in both bumpers and 1 hurdle race but more intresting for me is the step up in trip today is sure to suit I think,jumping has not been foot perfect yet but there is likely to be less pressure on that today than lto recieving weight she should be a 4/1 shot for me.
7.00 towcester
I was suprised rooftop rainbow was weak this morning and Im more than happy to take some of the 5/1 on offer here about a horse that as always going to be suited by the switch to fences.Showed enough ability over hurdles to suggest he can win of this mark.The dangers well if im honest I cant see many as they all come with some risk attached to them and im sure rr will prove to be a well treated horse in time.
7.30 towcester
Dissapointing that valid point has come out of this I think as i was happy to take him on after last times improved performance however turbo shandy now leads the amrket and he has to be taken on for the 5lb rise from his win here last time makes him risky.Peace corps and beech view are not out of things even if the latter maybe flattered by his run lto but alfloramoor claims are a little more solid for me.He finished behind turbo shandy and meridem lto but that was his first run after a decent break and we also get the cheekpieces back on today suggesting more to me that connections had left some improvement in him last time.I genrally dont like backing horses 2nd time up after a break so soon but he has ran well before given this profile and looks a fair price to reverse the form from last time.
8.20 roscommon
Bernabeau is worth a quick look new trainer but has his condiitons today is on a winable mark and has bits of form fresh to suggest he can run well.Not a 25/1 shot for me but a little bit to risky in a tough race to be putting up.
3.50 redcar
Ghost is the kind of horse that can make you look stupid at times he has more than enough ability to win a race of around this mark though and the step up in trip will suit today im sure dandy will find the key to him but this looks a decent race for the grade and they may wont him down a few more lbs yet.
Friday 6 May 2011
Friday
Well nice to hit the mark again yesterday and hopefully a few managed to grab the early value afetr being backed from 14/1 into a 6/1 shot at the off.
I don't want to make a habit of this but it's just selections today as I'm short of time today for a write up.the flat pair are all about course form while shoreacres has a race i'n him off his mark and culcabook is exposed but overpriced and consistent.
Advised Selections
4.55 punch shoreacres 1/2pt each way 20-1 365 bog
8.00 aint culcabock 1/2pt each way 11/1 vc bog
Flat Selections
4.40 chester invincible force 1/2pt each way 9/1 gen bog
5.10 chester oriental cavalier 1/2pt each way 5/1 gen bog
Sent from my iPhone
I don't want to make a habit of this but it's just selections today as I'm short of time today for a write up.the flat pair are all about course form while shoreacres has a race i'n him off his mark and culcabook is exposed but overpriced and consistent.
Advised Selections
4.55 punch shoreacres 1/2pt each way 20-1 365 bog
8.00 aint culcabock 1/2pt each way 11/1 vc bog
Flat Selections
4.40 chester invincible force 1/2pt each way 9/1 gen bog
5.10 chester oriental cavalier 1/2pt each way 5/1 gen bog
Sent from my iPhone
Thursday 5 May 2011
Thursday
Nice winner yesterday with scotsirish my view was that he was always going to get there and the leader at the time looked like a tired fall for me.Credit to ruby who sat of the fast pace and let his horse creep into things.The flat horses did not really show much spark but at the prices im playing at long losing spells will happen with these.
Punchestown is very tricky I think today and similar can probably be said about a fair bit of the racing today I like a few at newton abbot though and 2 are double figure prices so it was an easy choice to go with these pair.
Advised Selections
3.05 newton abbot kylenoe fairy 1/2pt each way 14/1 gen bog
4.10 newton abbot carhue princess 1/2pt each way 14/1 365 bog
Flat Selection
5.10 chester norman opera 1/2pt each way 12/1 365 bog
1.55 newton abbot
getaway driver has a race in him judging by the promise shown so far.Stable going well and I expect a decent showing my concern is the lack of experience.
305 newton abbot
This looks a decent handicap a few come here of the back of decent efforts and I expect we may see a few more winners come out of this.A fast pace looks a gurantee and I think that could just play to my slection here as long as she does not get herself to out of things.kylenoe fairy has showen more than enough promise on teh last 2 occasions to suggest this is a winning mark the newbury run was especially intresting and its a bonus we have a capable jockey taking an extra 5lbs off here.
3.35 newton abbot
master somerville is worth amention here has been a previous blog selection and a horse I know well.With a clear round off this mark ms wins today it that simple I think.This is easier for him as well so If he is going to put it all together I expect today will be the day.At 5/1 I think im happy to let this one go though.
4.10 newton abbot
glen lady will be a tough one to beat here but shes no certainty to repeat that run of lto 2nd time after a break and offers little value.carhue princess Showed a bit more promise lto afetr a break and was not knocked about suggesting that run was always going to be needed she had some ok novice hurdle form in better grades than this and I think she looks to be on a fair mark.
5.10 chester
The front 2 in the betting are obvious ones here and I expect they both will prove to be better than there handicap marks in time my concern with them both though is this is going to be a lot different than maiden company and they could just find this to tough at this stage especially as I think there are plenty other well treated horses in here and its a race I would be looking at for future winners in the coming weeks.I dont want to let norman opera run unsupported though now stepped up in trip should handle the course and as long as the breaks come I think this one should go close.Jockey has had a few winners and plenty experience now so I think the claim will balance that out and again a double figure price makes the risk worthwhile.
Punchestown is very tricky I think today and similar can probably be said about a fair bit of the racing today I like a few at newton abbot though and 2 are double figure prices so it was an easy choice to go with these pair.
Advised Selections
3.05 newton abbot kylenoe fairy 1/2pt each way 14/1 gen bog
4.10 newton abbot carhue princess 1/2pt each way 14/1 365 bog
Flat Selection
5.10 chester norman opera 1/2pt each way 12/1 365 bog
1.55 newton abbot
getaway driver has a race in him judging by the promise shown so far.Stable going well and I expect a decent showing my concern is the lack of experience.
305 newton abbot
This looks a decent handicap a few come here of the back of decent efforts and I expect we may see a few more winners come out of this.A fast pace looks a gurantee and I think that could just play to my slection here as long as she does not get herself to out of things.kylenoe fairy has showen more than enough promise on teh last 2 occasions to suggest this is a winning mark the newbury run was especially intresting and its a bonus we have a capable jockey taking an extra 5lbs off here.
3.35 newton abbot
master somerville is worth amention here has been a previous blog selection and a horse I know well.With a clear round off this mark ms wins today it that simple I think.This is easier for him as well so If he is going to put it all together I expect today will be the day.At 5/1 I think im happy to let this one go though.
4.10 newton abbot
glen lady will be a tough one to beat here but shes no certainty to repeat that run of lto 2nd time after a break and offers little value.carhue princess Showed a bit more promise lto afetr a break and was not knocked about suggesting that run was always going to be needed she had some ok novice hurdle form in better grades than this and I think she looks to be on a fair mark.
5.10 chester
The front 2 in the betting are obvious ones here and I expect they both will prove to be better than there handicap marks in time my concern with them both though is this is going to be a lot different than maiden company and they could just find this to tough at this stage especially as I think there are plenty other well treated horses in here and its a race I would be looking at for future winners in the coming weeks.I dont want to let norman opera run unsupported though now stepped up in trip should handle the course and as long as the breaks come I think this one should go close.Jockey has had a few winners and plenty experience now so I think the claim will balance that out and again a double figure price makes the risk worthwhile.
Wednesday 4 May 2011
Wednesday punchestown day2 and don't forget Chester
Yesterdays selections all ran reasonable races an there was points when it looked like we may get a result but it was not to be.hopefully some took the advise with quato de la roque though.I think the cards today whilst look good are very tricky at the same time.I think the jump selection is sure to run his race and today may be his day whilst the flat horses are more unlikely sorts but just have to be supported at there prices for me.
Advised Selections
6.40punch scotsirish 3/4pt each way 8/1 hills bog
Flat Selctions
2.55 chester swingkeel 1/2pt each way 33/1 bog 365
3.30 chester green park 1/2pt each way 16/1 hills bog
4.20 punch
I lime street entertainer here but he has it to prove at the price i'n this grade considering the jumping an issues we sore a glimpse of last time.I think he could be way above these though.
4.55 punch
Battle group is improving now over right conditions I don't think this is much harder than lto but price not really there.
5.30 punch
My view here is similar to Quito de la roque yesterday as kauto stat is now becoming a backache price he has plenty i'n his favour against horses who had question marks to answer if he hits 6/4 I think that is more than fair.
6.40 punch
Scotsirish deserves to win a decent race has ruby back on board which will help no doubt consistent type an should be shorter than osana over this trip.
2.55 chester
swingkeel is far to big a price yes has a dreadful draw but surely he can't hit as much trouble as he did i'n this race last year the faster they go the better.
3.30 chester
green park has it to prove a little now of this mark and i'n this grade but he may have a little more left i'n him yet especially as he loves Chester and has a good draw.he should not be the price he is this morning.
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Advised Selections
6.40punch scotsirish 3/4pt each way 8/1 hills bog
Flat Selctions
2.55 chester swingkeel 1/2pt each way 33/1 bog 365
3.30 chester green park 1/2pt each way 16/1 hills bog
4.20 punch
I lime street entertainer here but he has it to prove at the price i'n this grade considering the jumping an issues we sore a glimpse of last time.I think he could be way above these though.
4.55 punch
Battle group is improving now over right conditions I don't think this is much harder than lto but price not really there.
5.30 punch
My view here is similar to Quito de la roque yesterday as kauto stat is now becoming a backache price he has plenty i'n his favour against horses who had question marks to answer if he hits 6/4 I think that is more than fair.
6.40 punch
Scotsirish deserves to win a decent race has ruby back on board which will help no doubt consistent type an should be shorter than osana over this trip.
2.55 chester
swingkeel is far to big a price yes has a dreadful draw but surely he can't hit as much trouble as he did i'n this race last year the faster they go the better.
3.30 chester
green park has it to prove a little now of this mark and i'n this grade but he may have a little more left i'n him yet especially as he loves Chester and has a good draw.he should not be the price he is this morning.
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Tuesday 3 May 2011
Tuesday - Punchestown Day 1
Well nice to have some high quality jumps action back again today for me punchestown is gaining a little more importance year on year and im sure there will be more than a couple horses who show improved form these next few days after being put away for this meeting.
Advised Selections
4.20 punc il fenomeno 20/1 3/4pt win 365 bog
4.55 punc grey soldier 12/1 1/2pt each way bet fred bog
6.50 exeter beauchamp viking 1/2pt win 5/1 gen bog
5.00 fakenham marie de laufon 3/4pt win 7/1 betfred bog
Flat selections
7.00 catt mandalay king 1/2pt each way 13/2 gen bog
3.40 punch
The front 3 in the betting are all obviously respected here and its not really my type of betting race anyway but I think not to pushed is worth a quick mention as he was not going to badly in this last year has experience over the banks and showed up well lto only a 7yold so may have a bit more scope in him and I dont think hes a 20/1 shot.
4.20 punch
Im willing to be proven wrong here but this is going to prove a weak grade 1 race im sure,Im can easily take on most here at the prices as I think there is little between them all and most have question marks whether being ground hurdling or simply not good enough.For that reason I want to take a chance with il fenemeno who showed up well 8 days ago on his first try over hurdles and I think its intresting connections bring him out again so quickly what adds further intrest is the stables record in this arce and also im sure noel meade would have had another couple of horses he could have ran here.Group 3 winner on the flat and has had plenty of rcaing in that sphere so inexperience will not be so much of an issue for me and at the prices he is worth a small bet I think
4.55 punch
Well the front 2 are very poor value here of the 2 nearest the pin proabbly has less than wee giant to prove and would be my pick of them.Im not saying wee giant cant win this either and at the forcast of 10/1 I was intrested in this horse as im sure he is one of thoose who is going to improve a fair bit but backing horses like this at these prices does not appeal.Grey soldier is the one I want to be with as im sure there is a decent handicap in him when things drop right, the biggest concern today is his jumping but if it does hold up then I think he should go well as there is plenty back in his favour.Cheletenham was anon event for him as he made a bad mistake and was also hampered when beaten the run before was on ground totally unsuitable.Im sure they will go a decent pace here and that on decent ground is exactly what he needs over this trip.
5.30 punch
For what its worth Sizing europe is my likely winner I see no reason to oppose him here but its not a race im going to be getting involed in at the prices.
6.40 punc
Plenty of tehse have doubts about them I think a couple have stamina question marks and plenty have jumping issues and for that reason im starting to think quito de la roque despite not having his ideal ground will be a very tough horse to beat again today his overall record is excellent theres support for a couple here this morning and if its posibble to get some 3/1 latter I expect I will get involved.
6.50 exeter
This is not going to take much winning.misamon does not have a bad win record for a horse of his ability but back from a break without the usual headgear im happy to take.Overall I think this is a match between bushwacker and beachump viking what makes it wasy is the fact they ran against each other just 7 days ago over similar conditions.Beauchump viking is twice the price and has a better chance at teh weights today so its an easy decision to say he is the better value pick today.
5.00 fakenham
Little carmella is the obvious one to beat but is a poor price for a horse that does not win that often.petit fleur has been more consitent recently but looks held overall of this mark.Marie de laufon makes a fair bit of appeal though here, if you look at the 2 uttoxeter runs last season they are more than fair enough runs to suggest she can be competieve of this mark.Shes also proven on 2 occasions she can go well fresh and this trip looks well within here especially over a sharo tarck like this.
7.00 catterick
I had this down to a couple of noted horses here but happily one of thoose has now came out the race and despite mandalay king being a hard horse to win with I think there is plenty about his chances today to suggest he could get his head in front.7f catterick decent ground fast pace stronger jockey are what I have down for this horse and I think we can happily say there is a good chance we are going to get all these today, he will still need a little luck in running being the horse he is but apart from the john quinn and nichols horse I dont see much else in this.
8.30 catt
wicked wilma is worth a mention she may just need this run but I think she can still be involved and im dissapointing the race has cut up now as Expect she will be in the first 3,im sure she has a race like this in her of this mark,the fav will be hard to beat now back to form but I would not want here running unsupported at decent odds,she races prominent and I expect she may trade shorter than here starting odds before I hope just needing the run in the final furlong.
Advised Selections
4.20 punc il fenomeno 20/1 3/4pt win 365 bog
4.55 punc grey soldier 12/1 1/2pt each way bet fred bog
6.50 exeter beauchamp viking 1/2pt win 5/1 gen bog
5.00 fakenham marie de laufon 3/4pt win 7/1 betfred bog
Flat selections
7.00 catt mandalay king 1/2pt each way 13/2 gen bog
3.40 punch
The front 3 in the betting are all obviously respected here and its not really my type of betting race anyway but I think not to pushed is worth a quick mention as he was not going to badly in this last year has experience over the banks and showed up well lto only a 7yold so may have a bit more scope in him and I dont think hes a 20/1 shot.
4.20 punch
Im willing to be proven wrong here but this is going to prove a weak grade 1 race im sure,Im can easily take on most here at the prices as I think there is little between them all and most have question marks whether being ground hurdling or simply not good enough.For that reason I want to take a chance with il fenemeno who showed up well 8 days ago on his first try over hurdles and I think its intresting connections bring him out again so quickly what adds further intrest is the stables record in this arce and also im sure noel meade would have had another couple of horses he could have ran here.Group 3 winner on the flat and has had plenty of rcaing in that sphere so inexperience will not be so much of an issue for me and at the prices he is worth a small bet I think
4.55 punch
Well the front 2 are very poor value here of the 2 nearest the pin proabbly has less than wee giant to prove and would be my pick of them.Im not saying wee giant cant win this either and at the forcast of 10/1 I was intrested in this horse as im sure he is one of thoose who is going to improve a fair bit but backing horses like this at these prices does not appeal.Grey soldier is the one I want to be with as im sure there is a decent handicap in him when things drop right, the biggest concern today is his jumping but if it does hold up then I think he should go well as there is plenty back in his favour.Cheletenham was anon event for him as he made a bad mistake and was also hampered when beaten the run before was on ground totally unsuitable.Im sure they will go a decent pace here and that on decent ground is exactly what he needs over this trip.
5.30 punch
For what its worth Sizing europe is my likely winner I see no reason to oppose him here but its not a race im going to be getting involed in at the prices.
6.40 punc
Plenty of tehse have doubts about them I think a couple have stamina question marks and plenty have jumping issues and for that reason im starting to think quito de la roque despite not having his ideal ground will be a very tough horse to beat again today his overall record is excellent theres support for a couple here this morning and if its posibble to get some 3/1 latter I expect I will get involved.
6.50 exeter
This is not going to take much winning.misamon does not have a bad win record for a horse of his ability but back from a break without the usual headgear im happy to take.Overall I think this is a match between bushwacker and beachump viking what makes it wasy is the fact they ran against each other just 7 days ago over similar conditions.Beauchump viking is twice the price and has a better chance at teh weights today so its an easy decision to say he is the better value pick today.
5.00 fakenham
Little carmella is the obvious one to beat but is a poor price for a horse that does not win that often.petit fleur has been more consitent recently but looks held overall of this mark.Marie de laufon makes a fair bit of appeal though here, if you look at the 2 uttoxeter runs last season they are more than fair enough runs to suggest she can be competieve of this mark.Shes also proven on 2 occasions she can go well fresh and this trip looks well within here especially over a sharo tarck like this.
7.00 catterick
I had this down to a couple of noted horses here but happily one of thoose has now came out the race and despite mandalay king being a hard horse to win with I think there is plenty about his chances today to suggest he could get his head in front.7f catterick decent ground fast pace stronger jockey are what I have down for this horse and I think we can happily say there is a good chance we are going to get all these today, he will still need a little luck in running being the horse he is but apart from the john quinn and nichols horse I dont see much else in this.
8.30 catt
wicked wilma is worth a mention she may just need this run but I think she can still be involved and im dissapointing the race has cut up now as Expect she will be in the first 3,im sure she has a race like this in her of this mark,the fav will be hard to beat now back to form but I would not want here running unsupported at decent odds,she races prominent and I expect she may trade shorter than here starting odds before I hope just needing the run in the final furlong.
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