Monday 9 May 2011

Monday

Just the one jumps meeting today in England and whilst moderate racing the fields are a little bigger than recently I think there a few oppurtunities to be had today on overpriced horses.
The Flat selections are not really going to plan at the moment but like ive said prevously they are all much smaller selections and Im not to concerned at the moment anyway considering the prices I generally get involced at.

Advised Selections

6.00 towcester the strawberryone 3/4pt each way 11/2 pp vc bog

7.00 towcester rooftop rainbow 3/4pt each way 5/1 hills bog

7.30 towcester alfloramoor 3/4pt each way 7/1 gen bog

Flat Selections

no bet

5.30 towcester

I was intrested in goodtimetoby here who showed his first peice of real form lto out and with his trainer now hitting a bit of form he looked to have a fair bit of appeal,howver the price is genrally 5/2 this morning and I dont plan on getting involved off the back of 1 decent run in such a weak race.

6.00 towcester

Hard to split the henderson and king horse here and whilst they are both respected they are no world beaters and I dont expect either to improve to much on what they shown last time. There is not much depth to this and for that reson I think the strawberryone looks sure to be involved here.Has some decent course form in both bumpers and 1 hurdle race but more intresting for me is the step up in trip today is sure to suit I think,jumping has not been foot perfect yet but there is likely to be less pressure on that today than lto recieving weight she should be a 4/1 shot for me.

7.00 towcester

I was suprised rooftop rainbow was weak this morning and Im more than happy to take some of the 5/1 on offer here about a horse that as always going to be suited by the switch to fences.Showed enough ability over hurdles to suggest he can win of this mark.The dangers well if im honest I cant see many as they all come with some risk attached to them and im sure rr will prove to be a well treated horse in time.

7.30 towcester

Dissapointing that valid point has come out of this I think as i was happy to take him on after last times improved performance however turbo shandy now leads the amrket and he has to be taken on for the 5lb rise from his win here last time makes him risky.Peace corps and beech view are not out of things even if the latter maybe flattered by his run lto but alfloramoor claims are a little more solid for me.He finished behind turbo shandy and meridem lto but that was his first run after a decent break and we also get the cheekpieces back on today suggesting more to me that connections had left some improvement in him last time.I genrally dont like backing horses 2nd time up after a break so soon but he has ran well before given this profile and looks a fair price to reverse the form from last time.

8.20 roscommon
Bernabeau is worth a quick look new trainer but has his condiitons today is on a winable mark and has bits of form fresh to suggest he can run well.Not a 25/1 shot for me but a little bit to risky in a tough race to be putting up.

3.50 redcar
Ghost is the kind of horse that can make you look stupid at times he has more than enough ability to win a race of around this mark though and the step up in trip will suit today im sure dandy will find the key to him but this looks a decent race for the grade and they may wont him down a few more lbs yet.

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