Tuesday 28 June 2011

Tuesday

Easy selection for me today rampant ronnie was a choice last time for the blog and despite being a couple of points shorter today I still the price is ok considering the 2 horses that are at the head of the market both have question marks to answer and for that reason offer little value.I dont think there is much depth to the race despite the large field and im also happy that the selection tends to have one way off racing from the front these days.More exposed than a few but has conditions today again and comes in here in good heart.


Advised Selection

8.10 rampant ronnie 3/4pt each way 6/1 gen bog

Thursday 23 June 2011

Thursday

No luck with yesterdays selections and whilst I was dissapointed with a couple of them im sure the likes of kangaroo court and gold award will have there day pretty soon.

Onto today and its 1 over the sticks and one on the flat for me.Im concerned about the amount of pace likely for the jigsaw man and to most he may be a little more exposed than a couple of the potential improvers here however he looks to have ideal conditions and I think the course should suit him very well if running to his best he should be involved at the finish and could outclass a few here especially as there are plenty of question marks about a few of the market leaders here.

I thought Guinee seeker was eyecatching enough first time up this season.Todays race wont take a great deal of winning and I actually like the step up in trip today, I dont think id want much more rain as it could make it too much of a test but I did expect the price to be a little shorter this morning and he looks worth the risk.

Advised Selection

3.45 ffos las the jigsaw man 1/2pt each way 12/1 gen bog 14/1 in places

Flat Selection

5.05 newc guinea seeker 1/2pt each way 7/1 gen bog

Wednesday 22 June 2011

Wednesday

Last nights selections was not on one of his better days and made very little impact.Some nice field sizes today and a fair bit of intrest for me.

Advised Selctions

1.50 worc kings equity 3/4pt each way 13/2 365 bog

4.00 worc kangaroo court 3/4pt each way 6/1 gen bog

4.30 worc el era 16/1 1/2pt win gen bog

Flat selections

3.35 carl spas dancer 1/2pt each way 20/1 vc betfred bog

4.10 carl gold rules 1/2pt each way 25/1 vc pp bog

1.50 worcester

I cant give many much of a chance here and only a couple come here in any kind of form.The fav no doubt has his chance if returning to his worcester form but overall its another horse priced up on connections and is far to short for what he has achieved and this looks a pretty straightforward bet with the mare kings equity who is slowly improving over hurdles.A return to this trip should suit her and a reproduction of her run lto should be good enough here.

4.00 worcester

Things have not really worked out the last season or so with kangaroo court hes been given plenty of time to come back to himself though and there was much more promise to be taken from the run last time.The small break should not be an issue and its intresting he is now stepped up to 3mile.The ground should be ideal for him and on his day he has a touch of class about him and he could easily outclass these today.


4.30 worcester

I know plenty about a few of these a couple have even been previous blog winners.A fair few of these are pretty inconsistent though and perfect reward is proabbly the mnost likely winner despite having to improve again he could still have that in him judged on the effort last time.Ele ra looks fair value though on this his 3rd run back from a break now.Showed a bit more again last time and is no doubt on a fair mark now judged on his form a couple of years ago.Tactics could play a part here a few like to be prominent but im ahppy to give ele ra a chance at the price available.

3.35 carl

This is pretty tough and Spas dancer does not have the best win record, but hes running pretty consistently recently and im hopeful the stiff finish here should help bring out a little more today.This ground is proabably ideal and I think a double figure price is to big here.

4.10 carl

Gold Rules looks worth a small bet here at a fair price.Had some decent handicap form in much better races than this last season but has not shown much for new connections this season.Its intresting though that connections are staying at this trip now they have the horse back down in a 0-80.Im sure they are happy with his mark now and it will only be a matter of time I think now before this one goes in.

Tuesday 21 June 2011

Tuesday

Nice couple of winners of on sunday and was also nice that the 2 other selections both rewarding the ew side of things.
Just brief tonight firstly I think al qedaaf and taroum will be hard to beat in there races and I may pair them up,I dont think they scream to much value at the same time despite liking there chances of winning.

The horse im intrested in though tonight does have his quirks and I think hes only ever won a couple of races from plenty of efforts however I think theres good reason to suggest the dukes speech can put up a good show tonight against opposisition that have plenty of doubts about them.He shown enough from higher marks to and the run last time after a lay off was ok in the context of this race. I think the drying ground and step back in trip both are on his side tonight and at a double figure price he looks worth a small intrest.

8.10 newton abbot the dukes speech 1/2pt win 12/1 gen bog

Sunday 19 June 2011

Sunday

Nothing has made much appeal recently from a punting side of things only a couple of jumps meetings last week and not much of intrest.Today looks a much more promising day with the racing despite being low grade a few races have a nice shape about them,I had a pretty decent size shortlist this morning so hopefully ive made the right choices with the selections.

Advised Selections

2.50 hereford osmosia 1/2pt each way 8/1 gen bog

3.50 hereford laureate des loges 1pt each way 4/1 gen bog

4.50 hereford rampant ronnie 3/4pt each way 10/1 betfred 9/1 gen bog

4.00 hexham maska pony 3/4pt each way 11/2 gen bog


2.50
I was intrested in a couple here but hawk gold has now came out of the race which is a little suprising considering there has been little rain.Osmosia is not the most straight forward but that can be said a bout a few of these and the race he ran in lto is working out pretty well,this course should be more suitable and hopefully he will be a little more handy today the price either way looks fair compared to a caouple of these with similar claims.


3.20 legends lad should be go well but is priced accordingly simply strong will be better going this way and its between these 2,market agrees so probably best left at the moment.

3.50 laurette de lagenes is a strong fancy for me today,has been running more consistenly recenlty and this looks an easier race than his last race as well.I think he has beeter claims than the current price suggests and he looks rock solid to be involved.

4.20 earth planet is a big no for me,Im not convinced with the top horse either so I expect Nicene creed to take this and I dont actually the 7/4 currently available is to bad a price.

4.50 Rampant Ronnie is just preffered here over sweet world,the latter horse is more likely to run his race but rr looks on a fair mark now and if running to the same form of lto he should go close here.The market leaders all dont appeal at the prices and again im hopefull of a decent run here.


Hexham

4.00 maska pony brings solid handicap form to this against a couple of potential improvers I was expecting around 4/1 this morning so im happy enough with the price,the trip looks more suitable these days and intresting with graham lee back on board today.

Saturday 11 June 2011

Saturday

Profitable day yesterday thanks to sunday city battling on well to just about gain victory the other horse ran a solid race considering how fast he went early and would have been better with a little more restraint.The pipe horse also was well beaten and its nice to be reading things well at the moment.Nothing appealing at hexham today and Im not upto speed with most of the flat form so it just the one selection a noted horse who has not done much wrong this season.

Flat Selection

2.40 york charlie cool 1/2pt each way 10/1 gen available bog 11/1 in places

2.40 york

Straightforward slection really this well suited to the long straight and the faster they go early the better for me and despite running consistenly recently the mark looks a fair one still.

Friday 10 June 2011

Friday

2nd and a place from yesterdays selections so a little more damage done than the previous day but nice to see the selections running genrally well at the moment.Not a bad card at aintree tonight pretty keen on one and another who ive proably gave enough chances before but does have a bit in his favour tonight.Another point on ther last race which has now unfortunatly cut up a little but Id still be ok to take on the pipe horse who has to improve a fair bit again tonight and looks poor value.


635 ain snake charmer 1pt each way 9/1 hills bog
705 ain sunday city 1/2pt each way 8/1 gen bog

635 ain

snake charmer ran a decent race last time out over a trip shorter than ideal back over this extra distance he looks a fair bet,Id also give a squek to dr livingstone who may just be suited to this test around a sharp course but the selction seems more likely to run his race.

705 ain sunday city

I put sunday city up previously when he has ran poorly but I think hes worth one more chance at the price tonight back over this trip round a sharp track.The key for me is getting him happy in his races and if he can race from the front without to much hassle I could see him strecthing a few of these.


815 ain laurete des loges loch dhu

Thursday 9 June 2011

Thursday

No harm done with 2 of tuesdays 3 selctions rewarding the place side of things,plenty racing to get your head round again today but fair few races with not many runners at the same time.3 selections for me with the uttoxeter horse no doubt being the most solid and looks an ew bet to nothing in easy enough race,priors glen takes on 2 course horses but despite being a maiden still could be better than these I think whilst st oswold made a mess of things last time and is given another chance to show his form.

Advised selections

840uttox marie de lufon 1pt each way 4/1 gen bog

7.30font priors glen 1pt win 9/2 hills bog

Flat Selection

2.30newb st Oswald 1/2pt each way 18/1 gen bog

Tuesday 7 June 2011

Tuesday

Very little activity recently on the blog mainly down to time restrictions for myself and the fact most of the jumps action has seen plenty of small fields.I have still been keeping an eye on things though and hopefully I should be back updated on a more regular bases again now and find a few winners along the way.

Advised Selection

7.00 ffos las conellie 1/2pt each way 12/1 pp

7.35 ffos las fitzgutentyte 1/2pt each way 8/1 365 hills

8.30 sout yeomen spirit 1/2pt each way 12/1 gen

7.00 ffos las
This looks a pretty moderate novice hurdle and I would not be happy taking a short price about anything here.I thought conellie showed enough first time over hurdles last time to suggest he could be intresting once at the right level.If im honest I did not think that day would come quite so soon as but like I say this is pretty moderate stuff for me and at the prices he is worth a small bet with the likely hood that he should improve from his last run.Seems to handle these conditions and looks a fair price at anything double figures.

7.30 ffos las
At first glance this looks pretty tight and with a couple of in form stables having runners it will take a bit of winning.For that reason I cant understand how you can have a couple of horses here priced up so short.Everywhere I have read today is saying that fitzgutynte is going to stuggle over this trip but for me thats nonsense and on what ive seen its something that is a little overdue,ran well in ptp over 3mile plenty stamina in his breeding and on the way he runs on suggest further is needed as well.I sense the course will also suit well and im hopeful of a good run.

8.30 south

I think there are 2 here who look slighlty overpriced in the shape of yeoman spirit and whats occurin,I think yeoman spirit offers more value though especially as whats occurin does have more doubts about the trip and his mark may be a little high still.whats occurin has showed enough in his last 2 runs to suggest hes back to some kind of form,this trip I think will suit more than recently and its of intrest that graham lee is booked again today I think as he seems to get on well with the horse.Should not be a double figure price with the form he has shown recently.

Wednesday 1 June 2011

Wednesday

No joy with last nights double the races cut up near the off which resulted in a poor bet before the selection did not run upto there recent runs.
rcam is worth a mention today at fontwell has won round the course and his record 2nd time up is very impresive this however is a much tougher race than ones he has won previously and I dont think there is much value there.

Flat Selection

7.10 rip light the city 1/2pt each way 7/1 gen

7.10 rip

Im pretty sweet on this ones chances today genrally an aw performer I think there was more than enough promise last time out over a trip that is just to far.He travelled well enough that day to suggest there are races to be won with him on turf this season.The drop back in trip will be a big help today and this is a much weaker race than last time out.Any rain will help but is not a must I dont think.