Been busy this morning since posting the advised selection on the snail and I hope a few took notice as this has now been a well supported into 5/1 and you could easily be sitting there with a nice free bet now.I expect him to run a big race today and he would be my stongest selection along with second brook who I want to get some money rolling onto in some way.I Like plenty today the issue ive had as always is prices though ive missed a couple who are blue all over oddschecker which is frustrating but the way it goes,I also like a couple on the flat and im confident of a decent day.
Advised Selections
2.35 ludlow shannons firth 1/4pt each way 20/1 vc bog
3.05 Ludlow Thumbs up 11/4 1pt win bet365 bog
3.35 ludlow havingotascoobydoo 9/4
4.35 ludlow second brook 9/2
1/2pt each way double bet365 bog
3.35 ludlow havingotascoobydoo 9/4
4.35 ludlow second brook 9/2
5.55 Cork raz de maree 3/1
1/4pt each way treble bet365 bog
3.50 leicester formulation 4/1
5.20 leicester Standpoint 13/2
1/2pt each way double bet 365g bog
Ludlow
2.35
Seren cwmtudu looks the likely winner if you reproduces the form she showed went winning 2 runs ago that form is solid with the 2nd winning since and she should have no issues with conditions today.Shannons firth is the only other one id be interested in she showed enough ability in 2 bumper runs to suggest she can be involved here, comes back from a fair lay off but if ready she could be the one and at decent odds I think is worth a small bet.
3.05
I think there is a good chance here that thumbs up can reverse the form with fahrisee here.Hopefully the cheek pieces will just keep him a little more interested mid race, back on a decent surface which I think is more to his liking and also not giving 7lbs today im hopeful of a good run.The price is borderline for me and I would not want shorter than 5/2
3.35
Interesting handicap would be happy taking mad moose on here put up a career best run last time but this is second run after a break and so many just don’t seem to run 2 races the same these days. There are plenty here you could give some chance to tom o tara has been running consistently this season he is more exposed than most of these and he is still on a higher mark than he has won off however I’ve been waiting for connections to step him up in trip on decent ground round a track like Ludlow and I can easily see him going well but just finding one to good I expect. Silver roque is another with claims showed promise upped in trip and first time in a handicap lto, his jockey went to early that day and whilst he still probably would not have won that was promising enough to suggest he can go well of his current mark.Kasbadali is interesting first time in a handicap with the blinkers now also applied he has hit flat spots during his races especially here 2 runs ago and if they help him travel better I can see him running a big race.Havingotascoobydoo is still the one to beat for me though, I highlighted this horse when he won over this cd 2 runs ago in comfortable fashion he has since ran respectably at sandown and despite the higher mark now I’m sure he is still capable of winning more races for his shrewd yard.
4.05
Easy to take a few out here Azulada bay needs a stiffer test and back from a break,Russian epic needs to improve for chasing and this is a stiff ask on debut,tyup pompey and leamington lad are both badly out of form,restezen d armor im sure is flattered by his run last time and is a better horse over 2 miles not convinced of higher mark now. Shake the barley had an easier chance than this to win last time at is another im happy to take on.
cruchian is a little more interesting as he is on a fair mark but tends to make mistakes at key times during his races. Man from highworth could run well but his run lto is solid and but he does not win often and the 2 that are of most interest to me are the ewan Williams pair.Akarshan has to be respected as he is well treated if he has now got his jumping together and finally gets to race over his optimum conditions today. The snail is however the one I’m most interested in firstly forget lto as the trip was too far and he tried to chase a too fast a pace I expect connections knew this and was all part of the plan to get this horse back to a workable mark if you look at the run previously he showed he was coming back to himself bang there 3 out until a mistake cost him and his run flattered out. All his best form is round here and I’m expecting a decent showing today.
4.35
Modest affair I’d be willing to take the newcomers on though bahr nothing showed a bit more lto round here and could improve again for this grade however he is giving plenty of weight to second brook who himself has shown a similar level of ability on his 3 runs. Trainer tends to have a winner now and again round here and especially is interesting when dropping horses down in grade like this and looks the one to beat.
Cork
5.55
Big field but not many with chances I don’t think here, doctor deejay has it to prove over this trip for me and at short odds I’d be happy to take on and I can only think that a lack of opportunities has prevented him running over 2 ½ firstly.Powerstations is respected as his claiming jockey makes him competitive here as plenty now have to race from outside the handicap however one that just gets in at the bottom is raz de mare and he is of some interest todasy.Just beaten by a stable companion ravage dor lto when he probably did not see his race out as strongly now I know despite ravage dor not running well at the festival he is thought of being capable of winning more races and that form is decent. The drier ground should be ok and could go well with Bryan cooper who won on him the time before back on board and claiming an extra 5 today.3/1 is hardly value but I do expect him to win.
Well the first flat mentions did not run to a badly with 2 out the 3 rewarding e/w supporters. Most notably obviously being spirit of Coniston who was available at 50/1 just before the off. The racing moves onto Leicester today and its hardly inspiring stuff again. Hughie Morrison is a trainer I follow with great interest and he runs formulation in the 3.50 here.Jimmy fortune is an interesting booking only ride of the day and the horse has ran his best races after a short break previously on his best form he looks fairly treated and I think any rain will aid his chances as well. Standpoint 5.20 has only ever won a maiden but he was consistent last season of a slightly higher mark and he showed plenty of promise back from a break recently he should go well.
Thursday 31 March 2011
Early selection
Will explain reasoning on main update but it looks like this one is starting to get supported.
4.05 Ludlow the snail 1pt each way 10/1 vc hills bog
4.05 Ludlow the snail 1pt each way 10/1 vc hills bog
Wednesday 30 March 2011
Wednesday
No Selections again for me today Ill be trying to create a few angles on the exchanges to trade the pre race markets then in running but nothing im confident enough to put up as an outright selection.We see the first turf flat card today and whilst I will always be more foccused on Jumps racing I will be taking an intrest through the flat season.I mainly focus on all age handicaps and group races as these tend to be the 2 areas I can have the most success with as the form tends to be more consistent.During the peak summer months I find the only way you can keep track of things is to focus on one or two areas only.I have found now that there are plenty others with the same views and im sure looking around the various blogs etc you can soon create a decent portfolio to keep you going through the season looking at the different types of flat races.
hereford
2.10
Furrows coming out of this race has slighlty spoilt things as I was keen on him today and he has also now taken the race down to the 7 runners.I think the best angle now is to seriously consider why dubai crest is a 5/4 shot against plenty horses here who all have similar claims.Swift lord is weighted to beat dubai crest from when they previously faced each other some will say the fav has improved since but the form book does not show that for me.Raya star has fallen on 2 occasions over hurdles from just the 4 starts and that has to be a concern but he should have no issues with conditions today and when he has compliated he has put up a couple of decnt events in arguably stronger races than dubai crest.Nobunaga did not
settle lto but ive seen plenty similar types run a decent race round here and can easily see him being involved as well.Dashing doc had also shown enough ability on the flat to not be out of his depth here if his hurdling is ok on debut as this ground should suit him.I would not be confident of finding the winner here so im going to be laying dubai crest as he seems to be very much priced up on connections.
2.40
Very poor handicap hurdle and I dont think you could be confident about any here.Chicago alley has plenty to rpove for me back from a long lay off and I would not be convinced with only hope the 2nd fav putting in another decent effort 2nd time around after a lay off.The outsiders all look very moderate which leave me with storm command who has showed a bit more promise on 2 of his last 3 runs and the step up in trip should suit now he is settling into his races better and he would be my choice.
3.40
Sizing ireland is respected here as his last run was promising enough and he should improve for that experience I much prefer his chances to reginaldinho who I think looks in need of more time and seems to have his own idea about things.Oscar close has not reporoduced his irish form yet and has it to prove for me currently.Cap falco is the most intresting one I think as there is still scope for improvement and there was a lot to like about the debut run over hurdles 17 days ago.This trip should suit and I dont think much improvement is needed to be involved here.
4.40
Another weak handicap this is a little more competeive however I think but that is probably down tyo the fact they all come with risks.Bertenbar has ran well on last 2 occasions but im not convinved the trip will suit round here.Paparadon could be the one if in the right mood as the track could be suited to his style and I could see him getting away from these.The bottom 2 have similar claims but at the current prices Id probably go with ro de guye who despite being on a 7lb higher mark than he has ever won of I think its more important that he showed he was coming back to himself a
little lto he looks the one most likely suited by conditions as well.
I have had a quick look at the catterick card and whilst I dont tend to get involved to heavily just yet.There are three horses that catch my eye at decent prices.spirit of coniston 2.20 is a better horse round catterick and is back on a decenet mark now draw the concern but is a big price.Politbureau 2.50 could be an old fasioned easterby touch here 3 runs for a mark shown enough claimer on board market seems to be keen.This time its Tim , trading 5.20 has shown enough during the spring last season had a run this time round back on turf off a fair mark in a poor event.
hereford
2.10
Furrows coming out of this race has slighlty spoilt things as I was keen on him today and he has also now taken the race down to the 7 runners.I think the best angle now is to seriously consider why dubai crest is a 5/4 shot against plenty horses here who all have similar claims.Swift lord is weighted to beat dubai crest from when they previously faced each other some will say the fav has improved since but the form book does not show that for me.Raya star has fallen on 2 occasions over hurdles from just the 4 starts and that has to be a concern but he should have no issues with conditions today and when he has compliated he has put up a couple of decnt events in arguably stronger races than dubai crest.Nobunaga did not
settle lto but ive seen plenty similar types run a decent race round here and can easily see him being involved as well.Dashing doc had also shown enough ability on the flat to not be out of his depth here if his hurdling is ok on debut as this ground should suit him.I would not be confident of finding the winner here so im going to be laying dubai crest as he seems to be very much priced up on connections.
2.40
Very poor handicap hurdle and I dont think you could be confident about any here.Chicago alley has plenty to rpove for me back from a long lay off and I would not be convinced with only hope the 2nd fav putting in another decent effort 2nd time around after a lay off.The outsiders all look very moderate which leave me with storm command who has showed a bit more promise on 2 of his last 3 runs and the step up in trip should suit now he is settling into his races better and he would be my choice.
3.40
Sizing ireland is respected here as his last run was promising enough and he should improve for that experience I much prefer his chances to reginaldinho who I think looks in need of more time and seems to have his own idea about things.Oscar close has not reporoduced his irish form yet and has it to prove for me currently.Cap falco is the most intresting one I think as there is still scope for improvement and there was a lot to like about the debut run over hurdles 17 days ago.This trip should suit and I dont think much improvement is needed to be involved here.
4.40
Another weak handicap this is a little more competeive however I think but that is probably down tyo the fact they all come with risks.Bertenbar has ran well on last 2 occasions but im not convinved the trip will suit round here.Paparadon could be the one if in the right mood as the track could be suited to his style and I could see him getting away from these.The bottom 2 have similar claims but at the current prices Id probably go with ro de guye who despite being on a 7lb higher mark than he has ever won of I think its more important that he showed he was coming back to himself a
little lto he looks the one most likely suited by conditions as well.
I have had a quick look at the catterick card and whilst I dont tend to get involved to heavily just yet.There are three horses that catch my eye at decent prices.spirit of coniston 2.20 is a better horse round catterick and is back on a decenet mark now draw the concern but is a big price.Politbureau 2.50 could be an old fasioned easterby touch here 3 runs for a mark shown enough claimer on board market seems to be keen.This time its Tim , trading 5.20 has shown enough during the spring last season had a run this time round back on turf off a fair mark in a poor event.
Tuesday 29 March 2011
Tuesday
Just the one jumps card at Taunton today and yet again I can't find anything strong enough to warrant a selection.closest I probably came was foreign king.
Taunton
3.20
Trappy little event and you can make claims for most here.Posh emily I think should be involved asd despite
being exposed and above her highest handicap mark she is more consistent than a few of these and will handle conditions.Id want to see more again from giant o marchu of this higher mark and the trip is not guranteed to suit either.So that would probably leave me with teshali and foreign king as the most likely winner the drop in grade and and trip look ideal for teshali
But he does have to improve on what he has shown so far and I probably just prefer foreign king who looks to be fairly weighted on his best form and will like the decent ground.I can see this being ran at a decent clip though and im a little concerned about his jumping under pressure.he has been fairly well supported this morning already and it's seems a few like his chances should go well but there has to be more solid 5/1 shots.
3.50
As written before Id be more than happy to take earth planet as im just convinced with him the extra distance may suit but how he is fav here on what he has shown I do not know.my likely winner would be cold mountain who has plenty going for him back from a back hardly screaming a value punt though.
4.20
I cant see past shackelsborough here and whilst I cant really be rushing out to back him at the odds despite him drifting I also would not be keen to lay him here this ground is going to be in his favour I think and we should see an improved performance today his best form came over this course and a reproduction of that would still likely to be good enouhg to win the uncompetetive handicap.
March Running Balance -9.80pts
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Taunton
3.20
Trappy little event and you can make claims for most here.Posh emily I think should be involved asd despite
being exposed and above her highest handicap mark she is more consistent than a few of these and will handle conditions.Id want to see more again from giant o marchu of this higher mark and the trip is not guranteed to suit either.So that would probably leave me with teshali and foreign king as the most likely winner the drop in grade and and trip look ideal for teshali
But he does have to improve on what he has shown so far and I probably just prefer foreign king who looks to be fairly weighted on his best form and will like the decent ground.I can see this being ran at a decent clip though and im a little concerned about his jumping under pressure.he has been fairly well supported this morning already and it's seems a few like his chances should go well but there has to be more solid 5/1 shots.
3.50
As written before Id be more than happy to take earth planet as im just convinced with him the extra distance may suit but how he is fav here on what he has shown I do not know.my likely winner would be cold mountain who has plenty going for him back from a back hardly screaming a value punt though.
4.20
I cant see past shackelsborough here and whilst I cant really be rushing out to back him at the odds despite him drifting I also would not be keen to lay him here this ground is going to be in his favour I think and we should see an improved performance today his best form came over this course and a reproduction of that would still likely to be good enouhg to win the uncompetetive handicap.
March Running Balance -9.80pts
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Saturday 26 March 2011
Saturday
Yesterdays selections all featured in the places so another small profit on the day.
I'm struggling to find any selections today I even found myself glancing over the meydan and the domestic flat cards last night.a couple of mentions but that's it from me today.
Bangor
420
I like both the Hobbs horses here but they both have risks a well decent prices but I'm just not confident. liberate if back to his best having these conditions will ho very close but his form has to be taken on trust. Zakatal is very well handicapped but that is because he is not straight forward one day im sure it will come together but you can not be confident.
Newbury
325 ogee is a horse I've followed for an age now and I'm sure he is very well treated again now of this revised mark conditions suit ideally and I expect him to go very close price of 5/2 is just to tight though and I wanted more around 7/2.
I'm struggling to find any selections today I even found myself glancing over the meydan and the domestic flat cards last night.a couple of mentions but that's it from me today.
Bangor
420
I like both the Hobbs horses here but they both have risks a well decent prices but I'm just not confident. liberate if back to his best having these conditions will ho very close but his form has to be taken on trust. Zakatal is very well handicapped but that is because he is not straight forward one day im sure it will come together but you can not be confident.
Newbury
325 ogee is a horse I've followed for an age now and I'm sure he is very well treated again now of this revised mark conditions suit ideally and I expect him to go very close price of 5/2 is just to tight though and I wanted more around 7/2.
Friday 25 March 2011
Friday
No intrest for me at sedgfield today put plenty of horses I know a fair bit about turn up at Newbury today and hopefully ive found a way of making them pay.
Advised Selections
3.15 red mile 10/1 1/2pt each way 365 bog
2.10 eastern meteor 9/4
5.35 cockney trucker 5/2
1/2pt each way double around 10/1 the pair
3.50 winterwood 4/1
1/4pt each way treble around 55/1 the three
Newbury
3.15
Red mile has been a selection for the blog on the last 2 occasions and ran respectably to finish in the places bit thimes he is still on the same mark and this race looks no more competetive than thoose he has been racing in.His price is fair as people will now be starting to take the opinion this is as good as he is going to be but the quicker ground may bring out a little more and the galloping track may suit his style of racing more today and he should be therebouts again today.
2.10
Eastern meteor is my most confident selection today ran a solid race lto having the likeable cucumber run just in front of him on ground that eastern meteor did not find to her liking this ground will suit better and with the likley hood of further improvement rates a confident selection.
3.50
Winterwood comes with a risk over his jumping but on his day hes good as shown lto and that run still puts him fairly treated here plenty in with chances but none are so well handicapped and he has had back to back success before.
5.35
Well cockney truckers price is a little bit different to the 40/1 I advised him at last week but he is a solid option as long as he runs to anything near his mark today he should win this.The drop down in grade and smaller field will help with his hurdling as im sure he would have been even close last wekk if he did not make such a mess at a couple of his hurdles.Always a risk last week has left a mark on him but he has not had a hard season overall and conditions look ideal.
Advised Selections
3.15 red mile 10/1 1/2pt each way 365 bog
2.10 eastern meteor 9/4
5.35 cockney trucker 5/2
1/2pt each way double around 10/1 the pair
3.50 winterwood 4/1
1/4pt each way treble around 55/1 the three
Newbury
3.15
Red mile has been a selection for the blog on the last 2 occasions and ran respectably to finish in the places bit thimes he is still on the same mark and this race looks no more competetive than thoose he has been racing in.His price is fair as people will now be starting to take the opinion this is as good as he is going to be but the quicker ground may bring out a little more and the galloping track may suit his style of racing more today and he should be therebouts again today.
2.10
Eastern meteor is my most confident selection today ran a solid race lto having the likeable cucumber run just in front of him on ground that eastern meteor did not find to her liking this ground will suit better and with the likley hood of further improvement rates a confident selection.
3.50
Winterwood comes with a risk over his jumping but on his day hes good as shown lto and that run still puts him fairly treated here plenty in with chances but none are so well handicapped and he has had back to back success before.
5.35
Well cockney truckers price is a little bit different to the 40/1 I advised him at last week but he is a solid option as long as he runs to anything near his mark today he should win this.The drop down in grade and smaller field will help with his hurdling as im sure he would have been even close last wekk if he did not make such a mess at a couple of his hurdles.Always a risk last week has left a mark on him but he has not had a hard season overall and conditions look ideal.
Wednesday 23 March 2011
Wednesday
Well yesterday was another frustrating day with both the previous selections winning and 2 out the 3 selections on the day both running good races to finish 2nd.plenty of small fields and teapot events today so only spent my tine on a couple of races.
Advised selections
440warwick little carmela 1/2pt each way 20/1 365bog
350 haydock
nicene creed I better than his showing lto and still looks well treated back on this ground I expect him to run a big race but he is a couple of points shorter than I would like.
440 Warwick
Im sure the market leaders are worth taking on here in this tricky mares handicap a few of the outsiders can be given chances on bits of form but the one I'm keen on is little carmela who showed a little more promise last week.the drier ground Tongue tie and giles Hawkins claiming 5lbs are all more positives to suggest we could see another improved effort today.
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Advised selections
440warwick little carmela 1/2pt each way 20/1 365bog
350 haydock
nicene creed I better than his showing lto and still looks well treated back on this ground I expect him to run a big race but he is a couple of points shorter than I would like.
440 Warwick
Im sure the market leaders are worth taking on here in this tricky mares handicap a few of the outsiders can be given chances on bits of form but the one I'm keen on is little carmela who showed a little more promise last week.the drier ground Tongue tie and giles Hawkins claiming 5lbs are all more positives to suggest we could see another improved effort today.
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Tuesday 22 March 2011
Tuesday
No joy yesterday a couple of decent cards today though on courses I like from a punting side of things so hopefull of a winner or 2.
Advised Selections
3.00 Exeter be definite 1/2pt each way 11/1 vc bog
3.50 Kempton gee dee nen 3/4pt each way 9/1 hills bog
4.25 Kempton cortinas 1/2pt each way 14/1 bet fred bog
Exeter
3.00
I cant see the price lasting here if im honest as most bookmakers are shorter this morning but id be hapopy taking anything down to 8/1 about this one today.Be definite showed a return to form lto for his new stable when staying on late from a unlikely posistion.This galloping track will suit him and im hoping connections deceide to race a little more prominent today and make sure of his stamina,im sure he will improve over further in time but I think he is a fairly treated enough to suggest he can still run well over this trp.Laustra bad was a selection lto when the money was down he has his conditions again today and should be thereabouts but the price is poor this time around.
3.35
hidden keel was another lto selection when he found the step up in grade at little to hot for him he still ran respectably that day untill weaking on the home bend and Id expect him to take this today with little bother.
Kempton
2.40
psi is the most likely winner here solid handicap form lto and I expect him to take this today the concern is 7/4 for a horse thats not won for a long time though.
3.50
Pere blanc is going to find this a tougher task as he takes another step up in grade and weights,whilst eh is a nice progressive type this is a competetive handicap and he has to be taken on.Royales charter is next in the market but he has not shown enough in his last 2 runs to suggest he can win a race this competive yet and is another worth taking on.Phoenix flight could go well but does not always find a great deal and aather is tricky to get right but could go well if he improves for this new trip.The one im intrested in though is gee dee nen who showed a return to form lto in a similar race to this around here, a reproduction of that run puts him right there today then add to this the fact joshua moore is taking 5lbs off and the drier ground will be more to his liking and there is even more reason to be confident of a big run at decent odds today.
4.25
I dont think there is much between a few of these but im also sure that a few of the market leaders have it to prove on this ground.Cortinas is no certainty at all and he has his own way of doing things however 2mil on decnet ground are his conditions and the stable switch seems to have brought him back to form ian ppopham gets on well with him as shown lto and a reproduction of that run puts him therebouts today.
Advised Selections
3.00 Exeter be definite 1/2pt each way 11/1 vc bog
3.50 Kempton gee dee nen 3/4pt each way 9/1 hills bog
4.25 Kempton cortinas 1/2pt each way 14/1 bet fred bog
Exeter
3.00
I cant see the price lasting here if im honest as most bookmakers are shorter this morning but id be hapopy taking anything down to 8/1 about this one today.Be definite showed a return to form lto for his new stable when staying on late from a unlikely posistion.This galloping track will suit him and im hoping connections deceide to race a little more prominent today and make sure of his stamina,im sure he will improve over further in time but I think he is a fairly treated enough to suggest he can still run well over this trp.Laustra bad was a selection lto when the money was down he has his conditions again today and should be thereabouts but the price is poor this time around.
3.35
hidden keel was another lto selection when he found the step up in grade at little to hot for him he still ran respectably that day untill weaking on the home bend and Id expect him to take this today with little bother.
Kempton
2.40
psi is the most likely winner here solid handicap form lto and I expect him to take this today the concern is 7/4 for a horse thats not won for a long time though.
3.50
Pere blanc is going to find this a tougher task as he takes another step up in grade and weights,whilst eh is a nice progressive type this is a competetive handicap and he has to be taken on.Royales charter is next in the market but he has not shown enough in his last 2 runs to suggest he can win a race this competive yet and is another worth taking on.Phoenix flight could go well but does not always find a great deal and aather is tricky to get right but could go well if he improves for this new trip.The one im intrested in though is gee dee nen who showed a return to form lto in a similar race to this around here, a reproduction of that run puts him right there today then add to this the fact joshua moore is taking 5lbs off and the drier ground will be more to his liking and there is even more reason to be confident of a big run at decent odds today.
4.25
I dont think there is much between a few of these but im also sure that a few of the market leaders have it to prove on this ground.Cortinas is no certainty at all and he has his own way of doing things however 2mil on decnet ground are his conditions and the stable switch seems to have brought him back to form ian ppopham gets on well with him as shown lto and a reproduction of that run puts him therebouts today.
Monday 21 March 2011
Monday
Finally had time to catch up and update the blog results for march last night which is currently showing a loss of 12.5pts for the month.
Not obviously the result im after but I think things could have worked out a lot different over the last week.I dont think the selections were to far off the mark but I have to admit my staking was all over the place last week as for the blog I was having just the same amount of points on a confident slection like sizing europe as I was in some of the most competive handicaps of the season. Back to the day to day action now though and im sure I can pull march back into profit.
Advised Selections
4.00 lingfield just beware 9/2 365
5.30 lingfield cape breton 2/1 365
1/2pt each way double
3.40 Kelso Carrietau 1/2pt each way 14/1 365
Lingfeld
I want to push on with the multiples as im sure there is angle to combine a couple of shorter priced solid selections in these less competive races on a few more occasions.Just beware is a solid horse for this grade been running on ground unsuitable for most of the winter reproduction of last run has him well clear.Cape breton is an easy one to double up with would be shorter if a bigger stable has best form and most likely to handle these conditions from market leaders cant see many dark ones here.
3.40 Kelso
Im fairly sweet on this one showed little in 2 runs this season but then ran better lto untill weakinging late over a trip to far.Today he has his conditions and back on a decent mark should go well at a nice price.
Not obviously the result im after but I think things could have worked out a lot different over the last week.I dont think the selections were to far off the mark but I have to admit my staking was all over the place last week as for the blog I was having just the same amount of points on a confident slection like sizing europe as I was in some of the most competive handicaps of the season. Back to the day to day action now though and im sure I can pull march back into profit.
Advised Selections
4.00 lingfield just beware 9/2 365
5.30 lingfield cape breton 2/1 365
1/2pt each way double
3.40 Kelso Carrietau 1/2pt each way 14/1 365
Lingfeld
I want to push on with the multiples as im sure there is angle to combine a couple of shorter priced solid selections in these less competive races on a few more occasions.Just beware is a solid horse for this grade been running on ground unsuitable for most of the winter reproduction of last run has him well clear.Cape breton is an easy one to double up with would be shorter if a bigger stable has best form and most likely to handle these conditions from market leaders cant see many dark ones here.
3.40 Kelso
Im fairly sweet on this one showed little in 2 runs this season but then ran better lto untill weakinging late over a trip to far.Today he has his conditions and back on a decent mark should go well at a nice price.
Sunday 20 March 2011
Sunday
Firstly apologises for no update yesterday, I decided to finish the week of with a trip to uttoxeter but had issues with phone signal all day.I did manage to find the pipe horse in the big race who as a few regular readers will know I had been following closely this season.
Obviously things are a lot more low key now untill aintree but Ill still be trying to find a few winners along the way.
Advised Selections
355cork psycho 7/2 will hill
515na over the phone 4/5 will hill
3/4pt each way double
425 cork swift counsel 1/2pt each way 14/1 will hill
445 na qualitee 1/2pt each way 11/1 365
355cork
Only give a couple a chance here stonemaster is better in at the weights than psycho if the form of lto is to be a guide but im sure psycho will spreciate this trip more and looks a solid bet to be in the money.
515 newton abbot
Over the phone made a decent impression lto cant see how he wont be involved and is just an easy choice to double up with psycho.
425 cork
Clear on my ratings goes well fresh and this distance looks ideal,A few of the market leaders are well underpiced and as long as this one is ready to run first time up should go close well overpriced.
445 newton abbot
Qualitee showed improved form lto and that has her clear at these weights for me the trip is likely to suit and although the fav looks the likely danger he does have doubts.
245newton abbot
Just a mention for health is wealth who would have been a selection with 8 runners this trip will and ground will suit better than lto and looks fairly treated on run before.
Obviously things are a lot more low key now untill aintree but Ill still be trying to find a few winners along the way.
Advised Selections
355cork psycho 7/2 will hill
515na over the phone 4/5 will hill
3/4pt each way double
425 cork swift counsel 1/2pt each way 14/1 will hill
445 na qualitee 1/2pt each way 11/1 365
355cork
Only give a couple a chance here stonemaster is better in at the weights than psycho if the form of lto is to be a guide but im sure psycho will spreciate this trip more and looks a solid bet to be in the money.
515 newton abbot
Over the phone made a decent impression lto cant see how he wont be involved and is just an easy choice to double up with psycho.
425 cork
Clear on my ratings goes well fresh and this distance looks ideal,A few of the market leaders are well underpiced and as long as this one is ready to run first time up should go close well overpriced.
445 newton abbot
Qualitee showed improved form lto and that has her clear at these weights for me the trip is likely to suit and although the fav looks the likely danger he does have doubts.
245newton abbot
Just a mention for health is wealth who would have been a selection with 8 runners this trip will and ground will suit better than lto and looks fairly treated on run before.
Friday 18 March 2011
Gold Cup Day
Will update again in a couple of hours.
Triumph
Grandeut has been my long term choice for this race and despite the stable form being an issue I suppose im happy to still go with him here he has all the ideal attributes the race and im hopefull of a big run.Sam winner is next best and I can see houblon de beaux running on for a place.
County
Looks just as easy as always alzari is respected and can run to races back to back he should go well but I think he coul;d have been overated as I don’t think he improved that much o win the imperial cup.Secret dancer and cockney trucker are weighted better on the Cheltenham run previously and that was a good handicap I think both should be involved.Praxiteles and premier dane ran well in a lower grade handicap over this cd earlier ain the season and although stepping up in grade they could be involved marginal prefence is for the former though.
Albert Bartlett
Bobs worth has plenty to prove over this trip and happy to take on join together has improved with each outing and has proven stamina,came into this under the radar a little and looks to have solid claims.
Gold cup
Previously advised pandorama and we still don’t know for certain if he is running.Im happy to take the old guard on here my pick of them would still be denman but that’s probably my heart talking.Long run worries me at a short price round Cheltenham so im happy to go wirth kempes who has the profile of previous gold cup winners and looks to have his ideal ground now.
Foxhunters
Baby run far to short not and id also be happy taking the unexposed irish horse on. Really not my type of race but just amazing lookis solid in that he has course form and still has plenty of scope.
Martin pipe
Shoegazer looked a horse well ahead f the handicapper lto and im sure connections ahad this lined up for a good while I believe they thought it was there best chance of a handicpapp winner this week and he should go well.Rose of the moon is intresting back on his ideal conditions and is a nice type looks well treated on his best form.Higgys boy is overpriced needs this trip and has decent course form could be more to come from him now.
Grand annual
Shoracres has a nice profile for this race and was impressed with his jumping lto off a fair mark should be thereabouts would not want to be backing anything above him in the weights.Grand lahou is a crazy price has good course form and these are his conditions similar comments apply to pigeon island who has shown enough to suggest he can still win off this higher mark.
Triumph
1 1/2pt each way Grandeut 13/2 365 4 places
County hurdle
1pt each way Secret dancer 16/1 pp 5places
1/2pt each way Cockney trucker 40/1 365 5 places
1/2pt each way Praxiteles 40/1 365 5 places
Albert Bartlett
1 pt each way Join together 9/1 hills
Gold Cup
1pt each way Pandorama 16/1 stan james bog (previously advised)
1pt each way Kempes 10/1 365 bog
Foxhunters
1pt each way Just amazing 12/1 hills
Martin Pipe
1pt each way shoegazer 8/1 365 5 places
½ pt each way Higgys boy 28/1 365 5 places
1/2pt each way Rose of the moon 18/1 365 5 places
Grand Annual
1pt each way shoreacres 7/1 365 5 places
1/2pt each way Pigeon island 18/1 365 5 places
1/2pt each way Grand lahou 25/1 365 5 places
Triumph
Grandeut has been my long term choice for this race and despite the stable form being an issue I suppose im happy to still go with him here he has all the ideal attributes the race and im hopefull of a big run.Sam winner is next best and I can see houblon de beaux running on for a place.
County
Looks just as easy as always alzari is respected and can run to races back to back he should go well but I think he coul;d have been overated as I don’t think he improved that much o win the imperial cup.Secret dancer and cockney trucker are weighted better on the Cheltenham run previously and that was a good handicap I think both should be involved.Praxiteles and premier dane ran well in a lower grade handicap over this cd earlier ain the season and although stepping up in grade they could be involved marginal prefence is for the former though.
Albert Bartlett
Bobs worth has plenty to prove over this trip and happy to take on join together has improved with each outing and has proven stamina,came into this under the radar a little and looks to have solid claims.
Gold cup
Previously advised pandorama and we still don’t know for certain if he is running.Im happy to take the old guard on here my pick of them would still be denman but that’s probably my heart talking.Long run worries me at a short price round Cheltenham so im happy to go wirth kempes who has the profile of previous gold cup winners and looks to have his ideal ground now.
Foxhunters
Baby run far to short not and id also be happy taking the unexposed irish horse on. Really not my type of race but just amazing lookis solid in that he has course form and still has plenty of scope.
Martin pipe
Shoegazer looked a horse well ahead f the handicapper lto and im sure connections ahad this lined up for a good while I believe they thought it was there best chance of a handicpapp winner this week and he should go well.Rose of the moon is intresting back on his ideal conditions and is a nice type looks well treated on his best form.Higgys boy is overpriced needs this trip and has decent course form could be more to come from him now.
Grand annual
Shoracres has a nice profile for this race and was impressed with his jumping lto off a fair mark should be thereabouts would not want to be backing anything above him in the weights.Grand lahou is a crazy price has good course form and these are his conditions similar comments apply to pigeon island who has shown enough to suggest he can still win off this higher mark.
Triumph
1 1/2pt each way Grandeut 13/2 365 4 places
County hurdle
1pt each way Secret dancer 16/1 pp 5places
1/2pt each way Cockney trucker 40/1 365 5 places
1/2pt each way Praxiteles 40/1 365 5 places
Albert Bartlett
1 pt each way Join together 9/1 hills
Gold Cup
1pt each way Pandorama 16/1 stan james bog (previously advised)
1pt each way Kempes 10/1 365 bog
Foxhunters
1pt each way Just amazing 12/1 hills
Martin Pipe
1pt each way shoegazer 8/1 365 5 places
½ pt each way Higgys boy 28/1 365 5 places
1/2pt each way Rose of the moon 18/1 365 5 places
Grand Annual
1pt each way shoreacres 7/1 365 5 places
1/2pt each way Pigeon island 18/1 365 5 places
1/2pt each way Grand lahou 25/1 365 5 places
Wednesday 16 March 2011
How many more Irish Winners???
Unlucky not to come out with 2 winners again with rock on ruby just not holding on ,Sizing Europe was my long term fancy for the queen mother and won well in the end nice when things work out like that and not much damage done on the day at all.
Jewson
Tricky start to the day mr garnder and robinson colonges look 2 both worth taking on and im also not to keen on any off the outsiders here.This leaves three but if im honest I cant split them wishful thinking has the best form according rpr but I think that may flatter him a little as a few ran below there best that day he does jump well though and is a worthy fav.Im a big fan of noble prince and have been waiting for the day they that he steps up in trip over fences on decent ground , ap should get on well with him and there is little to put me of his chances however 5/1 is a bit tight.Loosen my load is probably the value as there was a lot to like about his Cheltenham run over 2 miles in November,he tried to give ghizao weight that day and was just found out in the end by the trip and ground.Today he has perfect conditions , stable are flying this week and looks the best value now.
Pertemps
Respect both sivota and chatreux but single figure prices and they have not got that much in hand I don’t think.Alfie spinner Is probably still improving and is also respected but I have marginal prefrence for rivage dor who finally put it all together lto the quicker ground should not be a problem and im expecting a good showing again.Kay aramis loves Cheltenham and has his conditions again previous winner is back on a nice mark now and looks rock solid to be involved.Finally I want to have a small bet on queiros bleu as he may have just been lined up for this from a long way out and if some money comes then I may go in again.
Ryanair
Albertas run was my biggest pay out at last years festival and should run his race again this year if bouncing back to form, Poquelin is rock solid but no price really and jvyole has little to find with them on last years running of this race. Rubi light is an improver may not appreciate the ground but I will be covering my stake with him.
Stayers
Big bucks should win I think on this ground, not keen on the irish pair or grand crus now sure he needs softer to be at his best and price far to short if anything making big bucks a fair price and I may combine him with a 2 or 3 in jewson and ryanir as they don’t look to competitive.Zayanar and celestial halo are both proven on ground conditions and both won at previous festivals should not be the prices they are currently.
Plate
Quartz de thaix respected and prefer to aigle dor but neither proifile convincing.Matuhi will like conditions and can see him being held on to a little longer this time still ahs a good race in him.Gansey not ran well at previous festivals and intresting conections are bringing him back again could still be well treated on.2 I like at prices are bible lord who is a good horse when putting everything together and also aimigayle who is a tough mare who will be suited to these conditions needed run lto and well treated on old form.
Kim muir
Billie magern looks well treated here form has been franked should go well nice type for this race I think.Burren legend comes to himself this time of year loves decent ground and is well overpriced.Also give minella theatre and sherrif hutton chances but worried about them seeing the trip out.
Multiple
Loosen my load jewson
Jyvole ryanair
Big bucks stayers
½ pt each way treble
Jewson novice chase
1pt each way Loosen my load 7/1 gen bog
Pertemps
1pt each way Rivage dor 11/1 365 5places
1/2 pt each way Kayf aramis 20/1 365 5 places
1/2 pt each way Queiros bleu 33/1 365 5 places
Ryanair
1pt each way jyvole 7/1 gen bog
World hurdle
1/2pt each way Zaynar 20/1 365 bog
1/2pt each way Celestial halo 40/1 365 bog
Byrne group plate
1/2pt each way Gansey 25/1 vc bog
1/2pt each way Matuhi 25/1 vc bog
¼ pt each way Aimigayle 40/1 sj
Kim muir
1/2pt each way Billie Magern 20/1 boyle 5 places
1/2pt each way Burren legend 33/1 365 5 places
Jewson
Tricky start to the day mr garnder and robinson colonges look 2 both worth taking on and im also not to keen on any off the outsiders here.This leaves three but if im honest I cant split them wishful thinking has the best form according rpr but I think that may flatter him a little as a few ran below there best that day he does jump well though and is a worthy fav.Im a big fan of noble prince and have been waiting for the day they that he steps up in trip over fences on decent ground , ap should get on well with him and there is little to put me of his chances however 5/1 is a bit tight.Loosen my load is probably the value as there was a lot to like about his Cheltenham run over 2 miles in November,he tried to give ghizao weight that day and was just found out in the end by the trip and ground.Today he has perfect conditions , stable are flying this week and looks the best value now.
Pertemps
Respect both sivota and chatreux but single figure prices and they have not got that much in hand I don’t think.Alfie spinner Is probably still improving and is also respected but I have marginal prefrence for rivage dor who finally put it all together lto the quicker ground should not be a problem and im expecting a good showing again.Kay aramis loves Cheltenham and has his conditions again previous winner is back on a nice mark now and looks rock solid to be involved.Finally I want to have a small bet on queiros bleu as he may have just been lined up for this from a long way out and if some money comes then I may go in again.
Ryanair
Albertas run was my biggest pay out at last years festival and should run his race again this year if bouncing back to form, Poquelin is rock solid but no price really and jvyole has little to find with them on last years running of this race. Rubi light is an improver may not appreciate the ground but I will be covering my stake with him.
Stayers
Big bucks should win I think on this ground, not keen on the irish pair or grand crus now sure he needs softer to be at his best and price far to short if anything making big bucks a fair price and I may combine him with a 2 or 3 in jewson and ryanir as they don’t look to competitive.Zayanar and celestial halo are both proven on ground conditions and both won at previous festivals should not be the prices they are currently.
Plate
Quartz de thaix respected and prefer to aigle dor but neither proifile convincing.Matuhi will like conditions and can see him being held on to a little longer this time still ahs a good race in him.Gansey not ran well at previous festivals and intresting conections are bringing him back again could still be well treated on.2 I like at prices are bible lord who is a good horse when putting everything together and also aimigayle who is a tough mare who will be suited to these conditions needed run lto and well treated on old form.
Kim muir
Billie magern looks well treated here form has been franked should go well nice type for this race I think.Burren legend comes to himself this time of year loves decent ground and is well overpriced.Also give minella theatre and sherrif hutton chances but worried about them seeing the trip out.
Multiple
Loosen my load jewson
Jyvole ryanair
Big bucks stayers
½ pt each way treble
Jewson novice chase
1pt each way Loosen my load 7/1 gen bog
Pertemps
1pt each way Rivage dor 11/1 365 5places
1/2 pt each way Kayf aramis 20/1 365 5 places
1/2 pt each way Queiros bleu 33/1 365 5 places
Ryanair
1pt each way jyvole 7/1 gen bog
World hurdle
1/2pt each way Zaynar 20/1 365 bog
1/2pt each way Celestial halo 40/1 365 bog
Byrne group plate
1/2pt each way Gansey 25/1 vc bog
1/2pt each way Matuhi 25/1 vc bog
¼ pt each way Aimigayle 40/1 sj
Kim muir
1/2pt each way Billie Magern 20/1 boyle 5 places
1/2pt each way Burren legend 33/1 365 5 places
Tuesday 15 March 2011
Now the partys started
Great days racing today nice 2 have a couple of decent winners in the first 2 races but just as you think this game is easy cheltenham bring s you back down in the next with none of my runners ever getting a look in and adams island unseating so early.Hurricane fly was pure class and pedlers cross pure heart and hopefully both will stay sound and be around for a good few years yet.
National hunt chase
Not really my type of race but there is one horse in here that does catch my eye and that’s pearly steps has good course form handles decent ground and although unproven over the trip looks in need of him now and staying trips have always been in mind for him.Has made a couple of novice mistakes this seaosn but that’s factored into the price and I don’t think he is behind to many here on form good jockey on board and worth an investment in a race I think the market leaders all have doubts.
Neptune
What price is so young going to be now after the mullins walsh success today not much wrong with him at but is no value at all and opens the market up to a few here.Oscars well was a selection lto but im happy to take on today as this is completely different.Rock on ruby has not stopped improving himself yet and I think conditions look ideal for him here as the decent ground should help him get home better he comes here with solid track form and I cnat see him not involved looks overpriced.Tornando bob is another going the right way and I can see him being well supported in the morning and another who I think will be suited by the faster surface.
RSA
Nothing to add for me here and im becoming more and more confident of a big run from the giant bolster here.
Champion Chase
Price has gone about Sizing Europe now if anything I did not get involved heavily enough now but with that bet in the bag I think it gives us another angle now in the race.Big Zeb is preffered to master minded on this ground but is no price whilst I cant have wolcombe folly untill he has proven himself at this level so im happy to go with Somersby here who has a rock solid profile will handle the ground and for me its his jumping that’s now keeping him in his races more than before,his price is the biggest it has been for a good while and looks fair.
Coral Cup
Secret dancer has rock solid Cheltenham form and ran well at last years festival the step up in trip I think is needed now and Im confident or a decent run. Arcallis can not be ignored under his ideal conditions and Im sure he will be thereabouts again at this years festival only 2lb higher than last year and this trip suits more on decent ground.Lightning Strike is worth a small investment as well shown a bit lto on horrible ground and that hopefully will have put him right for today connections can land a touch now problems in these handicaps and is very well treated on old form.
Fred Winter
Very open event for me this year,Plan a and Whitby jack are both respected but I think the first horse was flattered lto and Whitby jacks hurdling worries me a little.Paintball was a good winner lto has a profile similar to recent winners and should go close.Kayef showed a nice attitude lto and although im a little unsure about the ground I think the race will be ran to suit.Harry hunt is one who I think will like the ground and ill be having a small bet as he could runner better than his odds suggest.
Wednesday Advised Selections
National hunt novice chase
1pt each way Pearlysteps 20/1 vc bog
Neptune novice hurdle
1 pt each way Rock on ruby 9/1 vc bog
1/2pt each way Tornado bob 12/1 vc bog
RSA Chase
1 ½ pt each way aiteen thirtythree 9/1 bet 365 bog non runner no bet (previously advised)
1/2pt each way the giant bolster 25/1 bet 365 bog non runner no bet (previously advised)
Champion chase
1 pt each way Sizing Europe 14/1 bet 165 non runner no bet (previously advised)
1pt each way Somersby 8/1 hills
Coral Cup
1pt each way Secret Dancer 16/1 bet365 bog 5 places
1/2pt each way Arcallis 25/1 hills bog 5 places
1/2pt each way Lightning strike 33/1 bet365 bog 5 places
Fred winter
1pt each way Paintball 9/1 bet365 bog 5 places
1/2pt each way kayef 22/1 bet365 bog 5 places
1/4pt each way harry hunt 40/1 bet365 bog 5 places
Champion bumper last year
1pt each way raise the beat 10/1 hills bog 4 places
1/2pt each way lord gale 14/1 bet365 bog 4 places
National hunt chase
Not really my type of race but there is one horse in here that does catch my eye and that’s pearly steps has good course form handles decent ground and although unproven over the trip looks in need of him now and staying trips have always been in mind for him.Has made a couple of novice mistakes this seaosn but that’s factored into the price and I don’t think he is behind to many here on form good jockey on board and worth an investment in a race I think the market leaders all have doubts.
Neptune
What price is so young going to be now after the mullins walsh success today not much wrong with him at but is no value at all and opens the market up to a few here.Oscars well was a selection lto but im happy to take on today as this is completely different.Rock on ruby has not stopped improving himself yet and I think conditions look ideal for him here as the decent ground should help him get home better he comes here with solid track form and I cnat see him not involved looks overpriced.Tornando bob is another going the right way and I can see him being well supported in the morning and another who I think will be suited by the faster surface.
RSA
Nothing to add for me here and im becoming more and more confident of a big run from the giant bolster here.
Champion Chase
Price has gone about Sizing Europe now if anything I did not get involved heavily enough now but with that bet in the bag I think it gives us another angle now in the race.Big Zeb is preffered to master minded on this ground but is no price whilst I cant have wolcombe folly untill he has proven himself at this level so im happy to go with Somersby here who has a rock solid profile will handle the ground and for me its his jumping that’s now keeping him in his races more than before,his price is the biggest it has been for a good while and looks fair.
Coral Cup
Secret dancer has rock solid Cheltenham form and ran well at last years festival the step up in trip I think is needed now and Im confident or a decent run. Arcallis can not be ignored under his ideal conditions and Im sure he will be thereabouts again at this years festival only 2lb higher than last year and this trip suits more on decent ground.Lightning Strike is worth a small investment as well shown a bit lto on horrible ground and that hopefully will have put him right for today connections can land a touch now problems in these handicaps and is very well treated on old form.
Fred Winter
Very open event for me this year,Plan a and Whitby jack are both respected but I think the first horse was flattered lto and Whitby jacks hurdling worries me a little.Paintball was a good winner lto has a profile similar to recent winners and should go close.Kayef showed a nice attitude lto and although im a little unsure about the ground I think the race will be ran to suit.Harry hunt is one who I think will like the ground and ill be having a small bet as he could runner better than his odds suggest.
Wednesday Advised Selections
National hunt novice chase
1pt each way Pearlysteps 20/1 vc bog
Neptune novice hurdle
1 pt each way Rock on ruby 9/1 vc bog
1/2pt each way Tornado bob 12/1 vc bog
RSA Chase
1 ½ pt each way aiteen thirtythree 9/1 bet 365 bog non runner no bet (previously advised)
1/2pt each way the giant bolster 25/1 bet 365 bog non runner no bet (previously advised)
Champion chase
1 pt each way Sizing Europe 14/1 bet 165 non runner no bet (previously advised)
1pt each way Somersby 8/1 hills
Coral Cup
1pt each way Secret Dancer 16/1 bet365 bog 5 places
1/2pt each way Arcallis 25/1 hills bog 5 places
1/2pt each way Lightning strike 33/1 bet365 bog 5 places
Fred winter
1pt each way Paintball 9/1 bet365 bog 5 places
1/2pt each way kayef 22/1 bet365 bog 5 places
1/4pt each way harry hunt 40/1 bet365 bog 5 places
Champion bumper last year
1pt each way raise the beat 10/1 hills bog 4 places
1/2pt each way lord gale 14/1 bet365 bog 4 places
Monday 14 March 2011
Let Battle Commence!!!!
Well its nearly here the last weeks seem to have gone extremely slow and like many no doubt I seem to have watched and read so much about every horse running.Im sure most have there own opinions and rightly or wrongly in the end it all adds to the build up and the amazing four days.
Lucky enough to be spending all four days on course I will try to be regularly posting thoughts on my twitter and also there will be a brief update each morning.
Supreme
Not much to add on the supreme Zaidpour has not been supported since advised last week which is a little off putting but I still think we will see a different horses on this better ground but vibes just don’t seem right now.I have been keen on Al ferof for a while now and confidence seems to be growing all the time now I cant see the 9/1 lasting long and I think this could be very well supported tomorrow. Sprinter scare is the one I fear most that im not going to have running for me and I so think the drying ground will suit well.My pick of the outsiders would be dun raven storm now as the ground is coming right for him and I think he can probably closer to cue card than he did last time. As for cue card he is respected but certainly opposable.
Arkle
The big thing here is captain chris now taking place and I can understand why this has been shortened today he has not got much to find with the principals and he is going to be the horse who is most suited to the drying ground.I think medermit is solid at the head of the market and run his race.The 2 im really keen to take on are ghizao ground concerns and finnians rainbow jumping concerns and these will be my 2 big losers in the race.
West in the wind is my other selection as im sure he is capable of grabbing a place and you never know he has not stopped improving and has plenty in his favour.
Spinal research handicap chase
Im more than happy with my position with Adams Island and he is a confident pick plenty in his favour and he looks very well treated.Wolf moon has complicated things a little as im sure this has been a plot horse for a good while he looks well treated and I don’t want to let him run unsupported. The rainbow hunter is a little more exposed but he is slowly improving and could be involved at decent odds.
Champion hurdle
Managed to get bit of 6/1 about pedlers cross before binocular was withdrawn and he is my idea of the winner and looks to have a very solid profile.Oscar whisky is my next best as im sure he is going to be well suited by the likely fast pace, Khyber kim probably wont be good enough as a couple should improve past him but he can get placed again. Tricast sorted easy!
Cross country Chase
Nothing to add at the moment here happy with getting the price on maljimar and the ground is certainly in his favour. Maybe something in morning especially if we keep the 16 runners.
Mares hurdle
Quevega is a perfect type for the last leg of the multiple here, she has a rock solid profile and it will take a below par performance for her to get beaten really.Already put up banjaxed girl price has gone a little but I would still put nobody off she is the next best horse here.
Centenary
I don’t think there is much between plenty of these and for that reason I would not be interested in backing anything at a single figure price I also think plenty of these could struggle on the ground.Swing bill is more exposed than most but has still not stopped improving, decent ground suits as does the course and he looks sure to run his race.American trilogy has only jumped adequately on one occasion since switching to fences he has plenty to find on chase form but his Cheltenham profile has to give warrant him with some respect and he is dangerously well treated if putting it all together.Vino gregio did not enjoy things lto but before that he had ran some solid races over fences has ran well over course and intresting blinkers now on but im concerned about the ground and personally will just have him on my side to return my stake on the other 2.
Tuesday Advised Selections
Multiple
Medermit arkle 11/4
Pedlers Cross champion hurdle 4/1
Quevega Mares hurdle 10/11
1/2pt each way treble 365
Pedlers cross champion hurdle 4/1
Quevega mares hurdle 10/11
1pt each way double if medermit does not win. 365
Supreme novice hurdle
1pt each way Al ferof 9/1 365 bog First 4
1/2pt each way dunraven storm 20/1 365 bog First 4
3/4pt each way Zaidpour 8/1 365 nrnb bog (previously advised)
Arkle
1pt each way captain chris 8/1 bet fred
1/2pt each way west with the wind 40/1 vc bog
Spinal research handicap chase
3/4pt each way Wolf moon 14/1 365 bog first 5
1/4pt each way the rainbow hunter 25/1 365 bog first 5
1pt each way Adams Island 33/1 hills nrnb bog (previously advised)
Champion hurdle
3/4pt each way Oscar Whisky 8/1 365 bog
Cross country chase
3/4pt each way Maljimar 9/1 hills nrnb bog (previously advised)
Davis Nicholson Mares Race
1/2pt each way Banjaxed Girl 20/1 hills nrnb bog (previously advised)
Centenary novice chase
3/4pt each way American trilogy 16/1 hills bog
3/4pt each way Swing bill 16/1 hills bog
Lucky enough to be spending all four days on course I will try to be regularly posting thoughts on my twitter and also there will be a brief update each morning.
Supreme
Not much to add on the supreme Zaidpour has not been supported since advised last week which is a little off putting but I still think we will see a different horses on this better ground but vibes just don’t seem right now.I have been keen on Al ferof for a while now and confidence seems to be growing all the time now I cant see the 9/1 lasting long and I think this could be very well supported tomorrow. Sprinter scare is the one I fear most that im not going to have running for me and I so think the drying ground will suit well.My pick of the outsiders would be dun raven storm now as the ground is coming right for him and I think he can probably closer to cue card than he did last time. As for cue card he is respected but certainly opposable.
Arkle
The big thing here is captain chris now taking place and I can understand why this has been shortened today he has not got much to find with the principals and he is going to be the horse who is most suited to the drying ground.I think medermit is solid at the head of the market and run his race.The 2 im really keen to take on are ghizao ground concerns and finnians rainbow jumping concerns and these will be my 2 big losers in the race.
West in the wind is my other selection as im sure he is capable of grabbing a place and you never know he has not stopped improving and has plenty in his favour.
Spinal research handicap chase
Im more than happy with my position with Adams Island and he is a confident pick plenty in his favour and he looks very well treated.Wolf moon has complicated things a little as im sure this has been a plot horse for a good while he looks well treated and I don’t want to let him run unsupported. The rainbow hunter is a little more exposed but he is slowly improving and could be involved at decent odds.
Champion hurdle
Managed to get bit of 6/1 about pedlers cross before binocular was withdrawn and he is my idea of the winner and looks to have a very solid profile.Oscar whisky is my next best as im sure he is going to be well suited by the likely fast pace, Khyber kim probably wont be good enough as a couple should improve past him but he can get placed again. Tricast sorted easy!
Cross country Chase
Nothing to add at the moment here happy with getting the price on maljimar and the ground is certainly in his favour. Maybe something in morning especially if we keep the 16 runners.
Mares hurdle
Quevega is a perfect type for the last leg of the multiple here, she has a rock solid profile and it will take a below par performance for her to get beaten really.Already put up banjaxed girl price has gone a little but I would still put nobody off she is the next best horse here.
Centenary
I don’t think there is much between plenty of these and for that reason I would not be interested in backing anything at a single figure price I also think plenty of these could struggle on the ground.Swing bill is more exposed than most but has still not stopped improving, decent ground suits as does the course and he looks sure to run his race.American trilogy has only jumped adequately on one occasion since switching to fences he has plenty to find on chase form but his Cheltenham profile has to give warrant him with some respect and he is dangerously well treated if putting it all together.Vino gregio did not enjoy things lto but before that he had ran some solid races over fences has ran well over course and intresting blinkers now on but im concerned about the ground and personally will just have him on my side to return my stake on the other 2.
Tuesday Advised Selections
Multiple
Medermit arkle 11/4
Pedlers Cross champion hurdle 4/1
Quevega Mares hurdle 10/11
1/2pt each way treble 365
Pedlers cross champion hurdle 4/1
Quevega mares hurdle 10/11
1pt each way double if medermit does not win. 365
Supreme novice hurdle
1pt each way Al ferof 9/1 365 bog First 4
1/2pt each way dunraven storm 20/1 365 bog First 4
3/4pt each way Zaidpour 8/1 365 nrnb bog (previously advised)
Arkle
1pt each way captain chris 8/1 bet fred
1/2pt each way west with the wind 40/1 vc bog
Spinal research handicap chase
3/4pt each way Wolf moon 14/1 365 bog first 5
1/4pt each way the rainbow hunter 25/1 365 bog first 5
1pt each way Adams Island 33/1 hills nrnb bog (previously advised)
Champion hurdle
3/4pt each way Oscar Whisky 8/1 365 bog
Cross country chase
3/4pt each way Maljimar 9/1 hills nrnb bog (previously advised)
Davis Nicholson Mares Race
1/2pt each way Banjaxed Girl 20/1 hills nrnb bog (previously advised)
Centenary novice chase
3/4pt each way American trilogy 16/1 hills bog
3/4pt each way Swing bill 16/1 hills bog
Monday
Advised Selections
4.10 stratford Folk tune 1/2pt e/w 14/1 bet fred bog
Start with the fav here probably is going to end up a lot better than his current mark in time and despite the connections I think you have got to be pretty brave to be supporting him today at likely odds when there are plenty of solid handicapers in here.
I like both the John quinn horses here but the odds about folk tune at the moment are far to big the stables horses generally do go well when supported but they can also have the odd one pop in when lesser fancied and the drift is not a major concern for me.He looks well weighted at the moment especially with his decent jockey claiming 7lbs,the return to hurdels should cause no problems and Im not of the view this will be to sharp for him today.
4.10 stratford Folk tune 1/2pt e/w 14/1 bet fred bog
Start with the fav here probably is going to end up a lot better than his current mark in time and despite the connections I think you have got to be pretty brave to be supporting him today at likely odds when there are plenty of solid handicapers in here.
I like both the John quinn horses here but the odds about folk tune at the moment are far to big the stables horses generally do go well when supported but they can also have the odd one pop in when lesser fancied and the drift is not a major concern for me.He looks well weighted at the moment especially with his decent jockey claiming 7lbs,the return to hurdels should cause no problems and Im not of the view this will be to sharp for him today.
Sunday 13 March 2011
Sunday
Frustrating yesterday with
Alazari winning the imperial cup from the short list marginal calls though and let's hope I start getting a couple of them right next week.
No selections today
Sent from my iPhone
Alazari winning the imperial cup from the short list marginal calls though and let's hope I start getting a couple of them right next week.
No selections today
Sent from my iPhone
Friday 11 March 2011
Saturday
Couple of winners from the mention on friday,Just taken the time out of the cheltenham form to look at a couple of races for saturday.Both races are priced up tonight so no problem getting on early as im sure a couple of these will be supported.Personally im going to trading the imperial cup horses in running but for for blog purposes they will be straight win bets lets hope one does the business.
Advised Selections
1.55 sandown cucumber run 3/4pt e/w 8/1 hills bog
3.00 sandown old way 1pt win 20/1 vc bog
drill sergeant 1pt win 22/1 365 bog
song of songs 1/2pt win 40/1 365 bog
1.55 Sandown
Plenty unexposed potential improvers here but the one I like most is cucumber run.His form lto giving a decent horse weight is a solid performance he should be well suited to ground conditions and a stiff test over a trip like this looks ideal at the moment.The mark looks fair on what he has achieved so far and I would be dissapointed if he does not improve again.
3.00 Sandown
Just as competetive as always this my shortlist consists of 6 horses which are arrayan , ultimate , song of songs drill sergant alazari and old way.
Arrayan was an unluck loser lto when his jockey unseated after jumping the last hurdle im sure there is plenty more improvement to be had here and connections always have to warrant serious respect however he is just to short for a horse who has never raced on this surface before in a competetive fastly ran handicap.
Ultimate is the solid handicaper that has plenty in his favour here I cant really put anyone of him except recent history suggest you need a horse who is a good few lbs ahead of the handicaper to take this and im just not totally convinced he has that in hand expect he will run respectable without winning.
Song of songs has been given a chance by the handicapper here and im sure connections are shrewd enough to know this if they can get him back to some decent level of form, a stiff 2 mile on decent ground are his conditons at its intresting the stable pop a visor on today, this is one you could look silly with but it looks far to big a price for me.
Drill sergeant is a horse ive followed since switching to handicaps and im still convinced he has a race in him off his current mark,ive wanted the horse to run round a right handed track on decent ground over a stiff 2mile for a while now and the fact we know have the blinkers and henry brooke on board now suggest there are plenty in his favour to go close today.
Alzari ran a solid race lto in a cheltenham handicap he should come on a little for that experience his best form is with a little cut in it though and thats my biggest concern with him today.
Old way is the novice im most keen had 3 quick runs recently and sneaks in here of bottom weight is out the handicap officialy by a couple of pounds but sure that mark wont be one that is staying with him for long anyway showed a nice attitude lto when winning on heavy ground and although conditions are a lot different today he has ran respectably on a decent surface on the flat previously.
Advised Selections
1.55 sandown cucumber run 3/4pt e/w 8/1 hills bog
3.00 sandown old way 1pt win 20/1 vc bog
drill sergeant 1pt win 22/1 365 bog
song of songs 1/2pt win 40/1 365 bog
1.55 Sandown
Plenty unexposed potential improvers here but the one I like most is cucumber run.His form lto giving a decent horse weight is a solid performance he should be well suited to ground conditions and a stiff test over a trip like this looks ideal at the moment.The mark looks fair on what he has achieved so far and I would be dissapointed if he does not improve again.
3.00 Sandown
Just as competetive as always this my shortlist consists of 6 horses which are arrayan , ultimate , song of songs drill sergant alazari and old way.
Arrayan was an unluck loser lto when his jockey unseated after jumping the last hurdle im sure there is plenty more improvement to be had here and connections always have to warrant serious respect however he is just to short for a horse who has never raced on this surface before in a competetive fastly ran handicap.
Ultimate is the solid handicaper that has plenty in his favour here I cant really put anyone of him except recent history suggest you need a horse who is a good few lbs ahead of the handicaper to take this and im just not totally convinced he has that in hand expect he will run respectable without winning.
Song of songs has been given a chance by the handicapper here and im sure connections are shrewd enough to know this if they can get him back to some decent level of form, a stiff 2 mile on decent ground are his conditons at its intresting the stable pop a visor on today, this is one you could look silly with but it looks far to big a price for me.
Drill sergeant is a horse ive followed since switching to handicaps and im still convinced he has a race in him off his current mark,ive wanted the horse to run round a right handed track on decent ground over a stiff 2mile for a while now and the fact we know have the blinkers and henry brooke on board now suggest there are plenty in his favour to go close today.
Alzari ran a solid race lto in a cheltenham handicap he should come on a little for that experience his best form is with a little cut in it though and thats my biggest concern with him today.
Old way is the novice im most keen had 3 quick runs recently and sneaks in here of bottom weight is out the handicap officialy by a couple of pounds but sure that mark wont be one that is staying with him for long anyway showed a nice attitude lto when winning on heavy ground and although conditions are a lot different today he has ran respectably on a decent surface on the flat previously.
Cheltenham Selections Tuesday
Advised Selections
Supreme novice hurdle
3/4pt each way Zaidpour 8/1 365 nrnb bog
Spinal research handicap chase
1pt each way Adams Island 33/1 hills nrnb bog
Cross country chase
3/4pt each way Maljimar 9/1 hills nrnb bog
Davis Nicholson Mares Race
1/2pt each way Banjaxed Girl 20/1 hills nrnb bog
Centenary novice chase
1pt each way The Knoxs 20/1 365 nrnb bog
See Cheltenham Tuesday page for full previews
Supreme novice hurdle
3/4pt each way Zaidpour 8/1 365 nrnb bog
Spinal research handicap chase
1pt each way Adams Island 33/1 hills nrnb bog
Cross country chase
3/4pt each way Maljimar 9/1 hills nrnb bog
Davis Nicholson Mares Race
1/2pt each way Banjaxed Girl 20/1 hills nrnb bog
Centenary novice chase
1pt each way The Knoxs 20/1 365 nrnb bog
See Cheltenham Tuesday page for full previews
Friday
Yesterdays selection was solid in the market but could only manage to finish 4th,he did not really improve as expected I dont think for the quicker ground and looks like I got that one wrong either way I dont think I ever had much chance of beating the winner anyway who won very comfortably in the end.
Spent a bit more time looking at todays racing and despite being intrested in a few its a very easy decision not to get involved as I just cant get the prices I want.
405 sandown
Im respectful of haventascoobydoo here who I made comment to last time out when winning,He looks well treated under a penalty and he is the most likely winner, price is tight though and another horse who I think we could see some improvement from now is educated evans and Ill be intrested to see how he gets on now racing on a better surface.
235 wincanton
Whispering jack could still be well treated here and although he may be a little flattered from his win lto I still think he is a solid fav with conditions to suit.
310wincanton
Choumaker is not the most staright forward at times but he does have a good win to run ratio,showed enough lto over hurdles to suggest he is in decent form and a return to fences I think should see him in better light today.Has to handle a mark he has never won off but im sure there is more to come in a race were I cant see to many dangers.
505 ayr
Leac an sail is probably the closest I came to a selection today but I really wanted a couple of points bigger due to the fact he can make a couple of mistakes at his fences.Showed much more promise lto and is fairly treated on best form conditions look ideal and If his jumping is solid he takes all the beating for me today.
Should be a couple of further updates later today as I want to get most my initial thoughts up on the blog for the first couple of days at cheltenham and Ive also got my eye on a big priced runner in the imperial cup.
Spent a bit more time looking at todays racing and despite being intrested in a few its a very easy decision not to get involved as I just cant get the prices I want.
405 sandown
Im respectful of haventascoobydoo here who I made comment to last time out when winning,He looks well treated under a penalty and he is the most likely winner, price is tight though and another horse who I think we could see some improvement from now is educated evans and Ill be intrested to see how he gets on now racing on a better surface.
235 wincanton
Whispering jack could still be well treated here and although he may be a little flattered from his win lto I still think he is a solid fav with conditions to suit.
310wincanton
Choumaker is not the most staright forward at times but he does have a good win to run ratio,showed enough lto over hurdles to suggest he is in decent form and a return to fences I think should see him in better light today.Has to handle a mark he has never won off but im sure there is more to come in a race were I cant see to many dangers.
505 ayr
Leac an sail is probably the closest I came to a selection today but I really wanted a couple of points bigger due to the fact he can make a couple of mistakes at his fences.Showed much more promise lto and is fairly treated on best form conditions look ideal and If his jumping is solid he takes all the beating for me today.
Should be a couple of further updates later today as I want to get most my initial thoughts up on the blog for the first couple of days at cheltenham and Ive also got my eye on a big priced runner in the imperial cup.
Thursday 10 March 2011
Thursday
Struggling to get inspired by the day to day racing at the moment with cheltenham so near now,Ive only looked at 1 race today which is the best grade handicaps off the day and im going with one small selection which looks overpriced at the moment.
Ive got a bit of spare time over the next couple of days so likely ill get a few more updates in for my thoughts on the races next week over the rest of today and friday.
Advised Selections
2.30 wincanton forest rythmn 1/2 pt e/w 10/1 gen bog
Im suprised in the lack of support here for any of the horses making there handicap debuts, maybe they think the race is plenty competetive or that they just dont feel there marks are not that fair.As many will know by now though im always keen to take on these types that still have plenty to prove on the formbook and although a couple today especially the hobbs horse probably dont represent bad value they still have to improve plenty.
No to trident could be well treated and its intresting teh support for him early today but his profile is a little in and out and whilst respected im happy to take him on with what I beleive is a more solid option. Forest Rythmn is a much better horse on a decent surface as he showed last season when winning a handicap around the course and distance last may off a mark of 97 he then ran well off higher marks then today on a couple of occasions to suggest he can win a race like this off his current mark.Jimmy derham is back on board today and he seems to run his better race with him and I think there is Plenty in this ones favour today to suggest a good run at whats looks a decent price.
Ive got a bit of spare time over the next couple of days so likely ill get a few more updates in for my thoughts on the races next week over the rest of today and friday.
Advised Selections
2.30 wincanton forest rythmn 1/2 pt e/w 10/1 gen bog
Im suprised in the lack of support here for any of the horses making there handicap debuts, maybe they think the race is plenty competetive or that they just dont feel there marks are not that fair.As many will know by now though im always keen to take on these types that still have plenty to prove on the formbook and although a couple today especially the hobbs horse probably dont represent bad value they still have to improve plenty.
No to trident could be well treated and its intresting teh support for him early today but his profile is a little in and out and whilst respected im happy to take him on with what I beleive is a more solid option. Forest Rythmn is a much better horse on a decent surface as he showed last season when winning a handicap around the course and distance last may off a mark of 97 he then ran well off higher marks then today on a couple of occasions to suggest he can win a race like this off his current mark.Jimmy derham is back on board today and he seems to run his better race with him and I think there is Plenty in this ones favour today to suggest a good run at whats looks a decent price.
Tuesday 8 March 2011
Tuesday
Apologises for no update yesterday could not fit anytime into looking at the cards but by the looks of the results I didn't seem to miss much i'n any case.
Exeter will obviously gain some focus today due to the jackpot rollover which should be won today.couple of horse who I think should both go close are 300 exeter roalco de fargesAnd 500 Exeter man of leisure both have solid fav selections but at the same to time offer little value.
Advised selections
330 Exeter it's a classic 1/2pt each way 22/1 gen bog
It's a classic looks fair value today goes well fresh and i think this mark is still one that he can win off.this is a step up i'n grade but the price more than compensates for that.cheekpieces not on but has won without before and the trip on this ground should be within range.
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Exeter will obviously gain some focus today due to the jackpot rollover which should be won today.couple of horse who I think should both go close are 300 exeter roalco de fargesAnd 500 Exeter man of leisure both have solid fav selections but at the same to time offer little value.
Advised selections
330 Exeter it's a classic 1/2pt each way 22/1 gen bog
It's a classic looks fair value today goes well fresh and i think this mark is still one that he can win off.this is a step up i'n grade but the price more than compensates for that.cheekpieces not on but has won without before and the trip on this ground should be within range.
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Sunday 6 March 2011
Sunday
1 winner yesterday from 4 selections with regal heights just getting up late on. Small profit on the day and whilst it was frustrating to get no return form the 3 other selection 2 finishing 4th I would not give up on any of them as they all showed enough to suggest there will be other days.
Couple of bets for me today the horse I’m most keen on is mister matt at hopefully I can get something rolling onto him.
Advised Selections
430 Naas Ballytrim 6/1
440 hunt mister matt 5/1
½ pt each way double placed with bet 365 bog
410 hunt if I had him ½ pt each way 10/1 bog vc hills
4.10 hunt
Qalinas is the likely winner unexposed and potentially has fair bit to over but if I had him is a crazy price really he’s a solid horse at around this level he is off a far mark and also has an extra 7lbs off his back today.2miles is sharp enough but if the unexposed types don’t improve then I can see him being competitive here and if they do we should at least be in the money as he is generally pretty consistent.
4.30 Naas
Claims are obvious for ballytrim here won this race last season off a lower mark but showed he has improved since then lto when bouncing back to form stable do have another runner who is unexposed but he has plenty find. He should go close today with conditions to suit the price is a little shorter than I would have liked for a competitive race like this though so I’m happier to combine him with another confident selection.
4.40 hunt
I know plenty about a few of these and im happy to take a couple of these on extra bold should be suited by this drop in trip and better ground after travelling well lto he does need to improve again though, bertenhbar won a weak race lto and is easily opposable for me whilst the top horse is unexposed but has plenty to find. Mister matt ran a solid race lto over cd I think this race looks easier and we also have a few extra lbs. of his back today. Can see this being very well supported today and going off more around the 3/1 mark, the price is tight now for me but I’m confident of a good performance and don’t want to let him run unsupported.
Couple of bets for me today the horse I’m most keen on is mister matt at hopefully I can get something rolling onto him.
Advised Selections
430 Naas Ballytrim 6/1
440 hunt mister matt 5/1
½ pt each way double placed with bet 365 bog
410 hunt if I had him ½ pt each way 10/1 bog vc hills
4.10 hunt
Qalinas is the likely winner unexposed and potentially has fair bit to over but if I had him is a crazy price really he’s a solid horse at around this level he is off a far mark and also has an extra 7lbs off his back today.2miles is sharp enough but if the unexposed types don’t improve then I can see him being competitive here and if they do we should at least be in the money as he is generally pretty consistent.
4.30 Naas
Claims are obvious for ballytrim here won this race last season off a lower mark but showed he has improved since then lto when bouncing back to form stable do have another runner who is unexposed but he has plenty find. He should go close today with conditions to suit the price is a little shorter than I would have liked for a competitive race like this though so I’m happier to combine him with another confident selection.
4.40 hunt
I know plenty about a few of these and im happy to take a couple of these on extra bold should be suited by this drop in trip and better ground after travelling well lto he does need to improve again though, bertenhbar won a weak race lto and is easily opposable for me whilst the top horse is unexposed but has plenty to find. Mister matt ran a solid race lto over cd I think this race looks easier and we also have a few extra lbs. of his back today. Can see this being very well supported today and going off more around the 3/1 mark, the price is tight now for me but I’m confident of a good performance and don’t want to let him run unsupported.
Saturday 5 March 2011
Saturday
The mentions ran ok again yesterday which I pleasing from a general form reading side of things.
This Saturday is a little more low key than most for obvious reasons plenty of noted horses and past selections though and I'm going with 4 small but pretty confident selections.
225 newb regal heights 3/4 pt each way 6/1 boyle bog
Consistent sort who will be suited to a race like this as keeps just finding one a bit better treated.stable back i'n form of a lower mark and conditions look ideal.
300 newb matuhi 1/2pt each way 8/1 gen bog
Not happy I didn't put this one up last night at 10/1 but I'm happy to the shorter odds still here as I think we have a well treated horse here especially back on a course that suits.intresting stable also claiming off him today suggesting they mean business
315 Doncaster ogee 3/4pt each way 7/1 hills bog
Big fan of this horse and followed him for a long time now sure he can win a race like this off current mark generally jumps and travels well from a handy posistion and that should suit round here is a better horse left handed and has been ready to race on a decent surface for a while now.
535 Doncaster king Edmund 1/2pt each way 7/1 gen bog
Slipping down the weights selections lto i'n a better race than this.looks to be returning to form slowly and trip looks ideal.
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This Saturday is a little more low key than most for obvious reasons plenty of noted horses and past selections though and I'm going with 4 small but pretty confident selections.
225 newb regal heights 3/4 pt each way 6/1 boyle bog
Consistent sort who will be suited to a race like this as keeps just finding one a bit better treated.stable back i'n form of a lower mark and conditions look ideal.
300 newb matuhi 1/2pt each way 8/1 gen bog
Not happy I didn't put this one up last night at 10/1 but I'm happy to the shorter odds still here as I think we have a well treated horse here especially back on a course that suits.intresting stable also claiming off him today suggesting they mean business
315 Doncaster ogee 3/4pt each way 7/1 hills bog
Big fan of this horse and followed him for a long time now sure he can win a race like this off current mark generally jumps and travels well from a handy posistion and that should suit round here is a better horse left handed and has been ready to race on a decent surface for a while now.
535 Doncaster king Edmund 1/2pt each way 7/1 gen bog
Slipping down the weights selections lto i'n a better race than this.looks to be returning to form slowly and trip looks ideal.
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Friday 4 March 2011
Friday
Thought laustra bad was about to land a fair touch yesterday but just got run out of things in the end no damage done and we move on.
No selections today closest I came was qulinton but decided to many risks.
340 newb qulinton
Sure he is well handicapped and will Bounce up i'n one of these soon price is bigger than u thought it would be this morning but after having another look at him I'm not happy enough that the ground is going to be fast enough for him today and I'd like to see some headgear add the fact he may need slightly further and I think it best left.
405 newb Kingsmere is a horse I've been interested in for a while now making his debut over fences today should go well but to short with so Many unexposed
440 newb Don't turn Bach is similar to kingsmere here as i'n I expect him to go well and looks fairly treated but again it's the price and nature of the race that put me off more than the actual horse itself.
505 donc Kealshore boy and qianshan leader are both intresting here the first has an excellent record fresh whilst the latter has plenty of scope for improvement still both Market leaders so again a easy all to leave.
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No selections today closest I came was qulinton but decided to many risks.
340 newb qulinton
Sure he is well handicapped and will Bounce up i'n one of these soon price is bigger than u thought it would be this morning but after having another look at him I'm not happy enough that the ground is going to be fast enough for him today and I'd like to see some headgear add the fact he may need slightly further and I think it best left.
405 newb Kingsmere is a horse I've been interested in for a while now making his debut over fences today should go well but to short with so Many unexposed
440 newb Don't turn Bach is similar to kingsmere here as i'n I expect him to go well and looks fairly treated but again it's the price and nature of the race that put me off more than the actual horse itself.
505 donc Kealshore boy and qianshan leader are both intresting here the first has an excellent record fresh whilst the latter has plenty of scope for improvement still both Market leaders so again a easy all to leave.
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Thursday 3 March 2011
Thursday
Interesting days racing at plenty I think should run well but just not getting the prices I would like at the same time.Im going with one selection and whilst he is a bit of a chracter I think he is a fair price and there is a good chance he will run his race today.
Advised Selections
4.20 taunton Laustra bad 1/2 pt each way 8/1 wh bog
3.00 ludlow I had decent hopes for phidippides this season but after a promising first run things have not gone to plan,hopefully he jumps better today and we could find him on a fair mark for handicaps in the near future.easily has the ability to win this round a course that should suit.
330 ludlow haventgotascoobydoo looks to be on a fair mark for what he has shown so far stable good with these types stepping into handicaps and should go close.couple more could improve as well though and is to short for that reason.
400 ludlow
intresting little race and very competetive at the same time,pickamus and pigeon island both could find this a lot easier than the races they have competting in off late and if at there best today they could both go well however there are a few at the bottom that also warrant respect.calusa cadera is genrally pretty consistent he needs a decent surface and this sharp 3 mile may just be ideal here,he does not look to well treated though and is plenty short enough.Isnt that lucky has had probems seeing out his races in the past and if thats now resolved he looks a fairly treated horse jonjos horses can be hard to read at the best of times though never mind 2 weeks befor cheltenham.The closest ive got a selection is max bygraves who comes from a stable who is having a cracking season and this horse has still not stopped improved the step up in trip is sure to suit and its intresting connections are bringing him back here,im fairly confident of a good run but its 5/1 for a career best and I have to stay away at thoose odds.
430 sawpit solataire looks the likely one here put up a promising run lto and this trip will suit better,he really should take this for mand looks to have been found an ideal oppurtunity the concern is 11/4 for a horse thats not won a race yet hardly represents value.
3.20 taunton
Happy to take moolly round and round tom on here but the problem I have is ive got 2 noted horses running her.Red mile was a selection on the last 2 occasions he ran with much more promise lto and did make a mistake at a key time in the race he should improve on that again and I expect him to be involved, the other horse is the boss who im sure is going to be well suited by 3 miles on this better ground he is going to prove better than this mark in time no doubt.Its hard to split them though and I cant really get involved at there current odds.
4.20 taunton
Laustra bad has not won ar ace for 4 years and certainly has his own ideas about things, for me though there are strong reasons to expect a decent showing today and I think he has gone a little unconsidered so far looking at the market.Firstly the trip and course should hold no problems I like the fact we now get the blinkers back on and also we have decent claimer back on board making his mark look even more attractive here, he seems to be running more consistent of late and I think he should be shorter today especially as we know how good most of these are.Falcon island is probably the one that comment does not apply to and it would not suprise me to see him being the main danger here.
Advised Selections
4.20 taunton Laustra bad 1/2 pt each way 8/1 wh bog
3.00 ludlow I had decent hopes for phidippides this season but after a promising first run things have not gone to plan,hopefully he jumps better today and we could find him on a fair mark for handicaps in the near future.easily has the ability to win this round a course that should suit.
330 ludlow haventgotascoobydoo looks to be on a fair mark for what he has shown so far stable good with these types stepping into handicaps and should go close.couple more could improve as well though and is to short for that reason.
400 ludlow
intresting little race and very competetive at the same time,pickamus and pigeon island both could find this a lot easier than the races they have competting in off late and if at there best today they could both go well however there are a few at the bottom that also warrant respect.calusa cadera is genrally pretty consistent he needs a decent surface and this sharp 3 mile may just be ideal here,he does not look to well treated though and is plenty short enough.Isnt that lucky has had probems seeing out his races in the past and if thats now resolved he looks a fairly treated horse jonjos horses can be hard to read at the best of times though never mind 2 weeks befor cheltenham.The closest ive got a selection is max bygraves who comes from a stable who is having a cracking season and this horse has still not stopped improved the step up in trip is sure to suit and its intresting connections are bringing him back here,im fairly confident of a good run but its 5/1 for a career best and I have to stay away at thoose odds.
430 sawpit solataire looks the likely one here put up a promising run lto and this trip will suit better,he really should take this for mand looks to have been found an ideal oppurtunity the concern is 11/4 for a horse thats not won a race yet hardly represents value.
3.20 taunton
Happy to take moolly round and round tom on here but the problem I have is ive got 2 noted horses running her.Red mile was a selection on the last 2 occasions he ran with much more promise lto and did make a mistake at a key time in the race he should improve on that again and I expect him to be involved, the other horse is the boss who im sure is going to be well suited by 3 miles on this better ground he is going to prove better than this mark in time no doubt.Its hard to split them though and I cant really get involved at there current odds.
4.20 taunton
Laustra bad has not won ar ace for 4 years and certainly has his own ideas about things, for me though there are strong reasons to expect a decent showing today and I think he has gone a little unconsidered so far looking at the market.Firstly the trip and course should hold no problems I like the fact we now get the blinkers back on and also we have decent claimer back on board making his mark look even more attractive here, he seems to be running more consistent of late and I think he should be shorter today especially as we know how good most of these are.Falcon island is probably the one that comment does not apply to and it would not suprise me to see him being the main danger here.
Wednesday 2 March 2011
Wednesday
Ive got no selections again today most of the races are small fields again today and both meetings have a pre cheltenham feel to them.The racing looks a little more hopeful from tomorrow so we should see some selections going into the weekend.
The mentions yesterday ran respectably with 2 winners in the first 2 races at leicester neither could have never been selections for me but its nice to read things correct all the same.
Nothing to mention at folkestone today but over at bangor it looks like donald mccain could be in for a good day. The horse im obviously most intrested in would be drill sergant who I have put up as a selection on the last couple of occasions he has planned to run.Things have not really gone to plan though with him being withdrawn from the re arranged tote sport and then being brought down when still travelling within himself lto.This is less competetive by some degree today and his mark looks fair on his overall form.Im sure he has a better race than this in him however Im not convinced 20f on soft ground are his ideal conditions and there is also the risk of lto experiences having an impact.Overall at around the 3/1 mark im more than happy to take a watching brief today.
The mentions yesterday ran respectably with 2 winners in the first 2 races at leicester neither could have never been selections for me but its nice to read things correct all the same.
Nothing to mention at folkestone today but over at bangor it looks like donald mccain could be in for a good day. The horse im obviously most intrested in would be drill sergant who I have put up as a selection on the last couple of occasions he has planned to run.Things have not really gone to plan though with him being withdrawn from the re arranged tote sport and then being brought down when still travelling within himself lto.This is less competetive by some degree today and his mark looks fair on his overall form.Im sure he has a better race than this in him however Im not convinced 20f on soft ground are his ideal conditions and there is also the risk of lto experiences having an impact.Overall at around the 3/1 mark im more than happy to take a watching brief today.
Tuesday 1 March 2011
Gold Cup Selection
1pt each way pandorama 16/1 stan james non runner no bet
I think 20/1 is still available but not nrnb
Full preview will follow but im sure that pandorama is going to shorten a fair bit over the next week or so especially now there are good vibes coming from the meade stable.High class improving horse who I think has excellent profile for a big run against the market leasders that all have doubts about them.
I think 20/1 is still available but not nrnb
Full preview will follow but im sure that pandorama is going to shorten a fair bit over the next week or so especially now there are good vibes coming from the meade stable.High class improving horse who I think has excellent profile for a big run against the market leasders that all have doubts about them.
RSA Chase Cheltenham
1 ½ pt each way aiteen thirtythree 9/1 bet 365 bog non runner no bet
1/2pt each way the giant bolster 25/1 bet 365 bog non runner no bet
Full preview of the race is under the wednesday page now.
1/2pt each way the giant bolster 25/1 bet 365 bog non runner no bet
Full preview of the race is under the wednesday page now.
Tuesday - 2 weeks and counting
Well Febuary ended a bit flat for myself after hitting a fantastic run during the middle part of the month a few losses towards the end left the blog selections in profit to 20.37pts with a roi of 30%, this figures are more than respectable though and id be happy with results like that every month.The blog since starting is now running at + 48.37pts which results in a roi of 14% which again im more than happy with considering the poor performance in november, hopefully I have learnt a lot more about discipline during this time to keep the profits coming long term.
Its now 2 weeks to go before cheltenham and although I have not got involved to much so far I am planning on a few bets being advised this week as we see more bookmakers going non runner no bet, I think there is a small window where we can get some value before the odds condense as running plans and strong words for numerous horses starts coming out of the various preview nights and from tipping services.
No selections again today though I have had a good look through the 2 cards but whilst there are a few horses worthy of a mention there is nothing Im confident about today.
Thumbs up runs in the 320 at ffos las after disspointing me when a selection lto you could not be confident here he bounces back but this does look a much weaker event and he is not a bad horse on his day.In the next nobby kivambo looks the solid one for me but he is still a maiden and 6/1 is to short anothere previous selection also runs in the shape of bring on the judge and it would not suprise me to see him running a bettr race than lto with the stable now in better form.The same stable have patman du charmil running in the next but it was a weak race he won lto and id be more keen on youngstown here in the small field round a course that should suit.
Over at leicester id be happy to take karaskal on in the opener with playing with fire I think his overall form looks stronger however its a tight market and a tight race.In the next it is intresting tin the chair runs here making his chase and handicap debut the emma lavelle team do well with horses of this profile and he is intresting despite the fact he has plenty to find off this mark on what he showed us over hurdles.
There will be an update this evening on the cheltenham pages and likley to be a couple of advised selections.
Its now 2 weeks to go before cheltenham and although I have not got involved to much so far I am planning on a few bets being advised this week as we see more bookmakers going non runner no bet, I think there is a small window where we can get some value before the odds condense as running plans and strong words for numerous horses starts coming out of the various preview nights and from tipping services.
No selections again today though I have had a good look through the 2 cards but whilst there are a few horses worthy of a mention there is nothing Im confident about today.
Thumbs up runs in the 320 at ffos las after disspointing me when a selection lto you could not be confident here he bounces back but this does look a much weaker event and he is not a bad horse on his day.In the next nobby kivambo looks the solid one for me but he is still a maiden and 6/1 is to short anothere previous selection also runs in the shape of bring on the judge and it would not suprise me to see him running a bettr race than lto with the stable now in better form.The same stable have patman du charmil running in the next but it was a weak race he won lto and id be more keen on youngstown here in the small field round a course that should suit.
Over at leicester id be happy to take karaskal on in the opener with playing with fire I think his overall form looks stronger however its a tight market and a tight race.In the next it is intresting tin the chair runs here making his chase and handicap debut the emma lavelle team do well with horses of this profile and he is intresting despite the fact he has plenty to find off this mark on what he showed us over hurdles.
There will be an update this evening on the cheltenham pages and likley to be a couple of advised selections.
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