Tuesday 22 March 2011

Tuesday

No joy yesterday a couple of decent cards today though on courses I like from a punting side of things so hopefull of a winner or 2.

Advised Selections

3.00 Exeter be definite 1/2pt each way 11/1 vc bog

3.50 Kempton gee dee nen 3/4pt each way 9/1 hills bog

4.25 Kempton cortinas 1/2pt each way 14/1 bet fred bog


Exeter

3.00

I cant see the price lasting here if im honest as most bookmakers are shorter this morning but id be hapopy taking anything down to 8/1 about this one today.Be definite showed a return to form lto for his new stable when staying on late from a unlikely posistion.This galloping track will suit him and im hoping connections deceide to race a little more prominent today and make sure of his stamina,im sure he will improve over further in time but I think he is a fairly treated enough to suggest he can still run well over this trp.Laustra bad was a selection lto when the money was down he has his conditions again today and should be thereabouts but the price is poor this time around.

3.35

hidden keel was another lto selection when he found the step up in grade at little to hot for him he still ran respectably that day untill weaking on the home bend and Id expect him to take this today with little bother.

Kempton

2.40

psi is the most likely winner here solid handicap form lto and I expect him to take this today the concern is 7/4 for a horse thats not won for a long time though.

3.50

Pere blanc is going to find this a tougher task as he takes another step up in grade and weights,whilst eh is a nice progressive type this is a competetive handicap and he has to be taken on.Royales charter is next in the market but he has not shown enough in his last 2 runs to suggest he can win a race this competive yet and is another worth taking on.Phoenix flight could go well but does not always find a great deal and aather is tricky to get right but could go well if he improves for this new trip.The one im intrested in though is gee dee nen who showed a return to form lto in a similar race to this around here, a reproduction of that run puts him right there today then add to this the fact joshua moore is taking 5lbs off and the drier ground will be more to his liking and there is even more reason to be confident of a big run at decent odds today.

4.25

I dont think there is much between a few of these but im also sure that a few of the market leaders have it to prove on this ground.Cortinas is no certainty at all and he has his own way of doing things however 2mil on decnet ground are his conditions and the stable switch seems to have brought him back to form ian ppopham gets on well with him as shown lto and a reproduction of that run puts him therebouts today.

1 comment:

  1. I agree with you on the 4:25, the going may be a bit quick for the likes of Rileyev and Clouseau, tho' my selection Betabob has won on good going and on RH tracks. One that may spring a surprise is Viable, as his recent runs have been on soft going which is not his fav, but on todays going he is a better horse.

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