Friday 31 December 2010

Friday

No luck yesterday with the 2 selections. Nothing for me today when looking at the cards it just felt generally poor stuff the closest I got to a selection was i'n the 1250 warwick mic aubin ran a respectable race last time and a similar run here gives him every chance however I'm also respectful of a few more here most notably flippo lippo who despite his questionable attitude he is still not badly treated.no selection today though.

Happy new year to all !!!! 

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Thursday 30 December 2010

Thursday

Decent run from yesterdays selection to finish 3rd and collect the ew money.
2 selections today at Taunton both races very competitive though.

300 tuanko 1/2pt ew 9/1 bog bigger available
330 art professor 1/2pt ew 14/1Bog

Wednesday 29 December 2010

wednesday

No joy with yesterdays selection finishing 5th will rate the race myself in time and see what I make of it from there.My initial thoughts on the lexus chase is that it will prove to be below the top grade 1 horses but again ill review before making any bigger decisions for the future.

Today’s racing looks very interesting but at the same time looks difficult from a betting point of view.Found the one selection and will leave it at that today because I wouldn’t be sharing much others don’t already know with the rest of today’s racing.

Newbury

245 the rainbow hunter 3/4 pt e/w 20/1 gen with bog bookmakers bigger is available

This is obviously a typically competitive Newbury handicap and due to the recent cold snap im sure we are going to see plenty races like this in the coming month or so.I don’t however think to many are going to be ahead of there mark here and the fact swing bill a horse I know well is 2nd fav shows this for me.The selection has only had 2 runs over fence both at ffos lass which as we know is a similar course to newbury in many ways and on both occasions has improved on his previous form shown.On my ratings I have this 2nd rated to swing bill yet the price difference is massive.Im fairly sweet on this horses and hoping of a big run.

Tuesday 28 December 2010

Tuesday racing finally returns

Nice to have some decent action i'n Ireland today would be easy to get carried away today but just going with the one selection.

200 leop shinrock paddy 3/4pt ew 15/2

Really like this horse and have followed his profession with interest over the last couple of season poor run only at Cheltenham last season when hit a hurdle early and prob found the ground bit lively been waiting for 3miles on a soft surface and despite having a bit to find with principals on form he is still progressive I think and we are getting a decent enough price.

Nothing more really to add for the day think the lexus looks very hard to call.

Wednesday 15 December 2010

Wednesday - What a day !!!!

Wow really are spoilt for choice today with excellent racing at all 3 NH cards.Breif comments on most the races today and even the ones I have not mentioned still have plenty to offer. Plenty of selections for me today but Im much happier risking plenty on days like today then getting involved day in day out on some of the poor racing. I know this does not suit everybody’s style but it fits well with me if I was to select one it would probably be the horse in the 300 bangor.

Fairyhouse

1220 Id be against zaidpour here purely due to the price, plenty of others with potential here pineau de re and mount helicon both should be shorter than there current odds but at the same there looks to be better opportunity to finding a winner today.

1250 solwhit is rock solid here for me and anything odds against looks a fair price if im honest.In the dark a little with hurricane fly over trip and fitness but no doubt he is the more classier of the 2 for me long-term.

120 asigh pearl 1/2pt e/w 14/1 gen bog

blew out lto on 2nd run from a break which whatever reason people may decide upon can often be the case but on her reappearance run this season she looks handicapped to win a race.These conditions look no issues and overpriced for me.

155 Obviously a very Interesting race but so hard to call for me could spend plenty time talking about all of these and still be no clearer.Jvyole with a run would be a clear selection but fitness first time up is a concern.

230 Id  Expect a 90% ready mikeal dhaguenot to still be good enough to win this.

300 Golden silver would be my idea of the best bet of the short ones today rock solid in these conditions and clearly has the best form on offer.

330 Competitive handicap to end the card Romanesco looks well in on my figures but it’s a hard race to call and jumping has not been consistent so far short as 9/1 in places now due to non runners so will let this one run now.

bangor

1215 gilbarry 9/2 vc bog 2pt win

If trained by a more fashionable trainer I expect this would be fav here. made a nice impression lto despite making a couple of typical novice mistakes.Dan breen could improve again but needs to show his best hurdle form really now to trouble my selection and with no issues with conditions I expect a big run at  a fair price.

1245 walk tall was a planned selection but is now 5/1 and I can’t possibly be backing a horse of his profile at that price. one hurdle run showed he had ability to win of this mark needed chase run lto but showed up well and today looks the day.

150 high benefit is worth taking on here I feel.Backspin looks the obvious one, our mick and loch ba are both well regarded and should run nice races in an ok race

225 galaxy rock 5/1 gen bog 1pt e/w

Clearly not the most well handicapped of horses but looks to have been found an opportunity here were to many are not likely to improve tends to run to his mark most runs and conditions to suit and think there is a little bit of value to be had at his price when you compare it to the horse in the previous race I know very much which one I would like to be with.

300  nouaillias 10/1 vc coral bog 1pt e/w

Miss miracle far short all about connections and profile, present your case respected but and will like the trip but similar comments apply to nouallias who more than double the price. Clear on my ratings with pyc and even a repeat of his run lto will see him go very close.

newbury

1225 space mission ½ pt 40/1 gen  Ikorado road ¾ pt e/w 14/1 365

Firstly taking a chance with space mission but he has gone well fresh before and is well handicapped on his old form.Plenty of sexy types in here but im willing to take them on at there odds which makes this race then an attractive betting race.Key cutter could run well if his jumping holds up again and is clear rated on chase form shown so far.The selection for me though is ikorado road who I expect is going to be well suited by this trip likes the course and has a little more scope for improvement than the other horse.Similar prices but hopefully I have gone the right one.

130 morestead 18/1 coral 1/2pt e/w

Lower grade stuff here and there are plenty in with similar chances,Cant understand why morestead is not near the head of the market as his last 2 outings have been of a similar to level to those that head the market and this 18f trip suits him well.

205 martys mission 8/1 3/4pt e/w

Have to be careful im not following one over the cliff here but did not have things go his way lto and if I felt he could win off higher marks then I have to follow again today.Price is shorter today but at the same time this looks a weaker race.

310 deep purple 4/1 fred bog 2pt win

Twist magic has to be taken on over this trip at the current odds and I simply don’t think deep purple gets the credit he deserves.lto showed he was in decent form and ran a better race for me than the previous years event when then coming on to win this race.Looks rock solid and stand out price.



Monday 13 December 2010

Monday

3 3rds was the best I could manage on Saturday in what was an excellent days racing at cheltenham.Friendish flame ran a respectable race but is probably held of his mark now the winner improved again.Master minded put in another high class performance and it was a fine performance not what spooked somersby before the start and he did not look totally happy either for a few strides when the tape went up,lets hope its nothing as he ran a respectable race over a trip to short now.Im not sure why connections of calgary bay have not gone looking for a 21f race for him at chelntenham earlier as it clearly suits the horse and if left on a simlar mark he can stay competitive  I think in these races, poquelon proved what a high class admirable horse he is.Zaynars run flattened out despite being given every chance to win his race and was disappointing for me in a race where I dont feel the form will hold up at the top level.There is a good chance menorah will go straight to the champion hurdle now and in my eyes I cant see a more solid selection at this stage.Cue card ran a good race before lack of experience looked to get the better of him and from this run I would like to see him take his chance in the champion hurdle.Highland valley found the pace to fast on ground to quick for him but will come on again for this experience.

Plumpton

Looked at the 4 handicaps and have a view on them all going with 2 selections as I feel the other 2 have to many doubts at the same time.

205 Himrayn ran respectably on last 2 occasions and either of those runs see him going close here however the lay off and weakness in market is a concern.

235 deep pockets 1/2 pt e/w 9/1 gen bog

2 from 2 at plumpton over this course.poor run last time but that's part of this horses profile.supported this morning a little and despite higher mark looks likely to go close if back on song today.

310 tiger line 1/2pt e/w 6/1 gen bog

2 or 3 that can improve here but tiger line showed improved form last time and also has scope to improve over this trip plenty of stamina in family and running style suggest will suit.only had a couple of runs in handicaps and mark looks workable and im keen to take on masini moon at his price.

340 mujamed could go close if running to his best of this mark but he does have issues with his fences and the trip is not necessarily his best either.fleur de vassy looks to be well fancied.

Saturday 11 December 2010

Saturday

No joy yesterday.struggling to give today's card the write up it deserves which is a shame and something I need to find the answer to I think.
Spent plenty time looking at the Cheltenham card last night and I really could make claims for plenty today but I don't want to make the same mistakes as the last card here as things are just so competitive so hopefully I've made the right call with the selections.


1140 fiendish flame 10/1 1/2 pt ew 
Front runner who looks progressive this year stable an horse in good form and looks weighted to run a decent race still.

120 zaynar 9/2 1 1/2pt ew max bet
Yes he has his quirks but he likes Cheltenham and trip looks ideal gets a hard time I think some times but I think that's helping i'n getting a cracking price about him today confident of a big run

155 somersby 7/1 1/2pt ew
want to take master minded on due to ground and twist magic course.big fan of this horse and hopefully can start living upto his potential.

230  matuhi 16/1 1/2 pt ew Calgary bay 20/1 1/2pt ew 
Cb is just overpriced i'n these conditions for a horse of his class whilst matuhi looks to be improving and has conditions to suit.

305 menorah 5/2 pace is my concern here for him actually hope he runs respectably without winning to help the champion hurdle price

340 highland valley  5/1 ground my concern horse of massive potential though and will turn out best of these I'm sure.

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Friday 10 December 2010

Friday racing returns

Nice to have racing back struggling for time meeting all day.

115 patman du charmil 1/2pt ew 10/1 williams pair respected 

150  total submission 16/1 1/2pt ew

225  faasell 3/4pt ew 11/1 Neptune colognes midnight chase respected



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