Wednesday 15 December 2010

Wednesday - What a day !!!!

Wow really are spoilt for choice today with excellent racing at all 3 NH cards.Breif comments on most the races today and even the ones I have not mentioned still have plenty to offer. Plenty of selections for me today but Im much happier risking plenty on days like today then getting involved day in day out on some of the poor racing. I know this does not suit everybody’s style but it fits well with me if I was to select one it would probably be the horse in the 300 bangor.

Fairyhouse

1220 Id be against zaidpour here purely due to the price, plenty of others with potential here pineau de re and mount helicon both should be shorter than there current odds but at the same there looks to be better opportunity to finding a winner today.

1250 solwhit is rock solid here for me and anything odds against looks a fair price if im honest.In the dark a little with hurricane fly over trip and fitness but no doubt he is the more classier of the 2 for me long-term.

120 asigh pearl 1/2pt e/w 14/1 gen bog

blew out lto on 2nd run from a break which whatever reason people may decide upon can often be the case but on her reappearance run this season she looks handicapped to win a race.These conditions look no issues and overpriced for me.

155 Obviously a very Interesting race but so hard to call for me could spend plenty time talking about all of these and still be no clearer.Jvyole with a run would be a clear selection but fitness first time up is a concern.

230 Id  Expect a 90% ready mikeal dhaguenot to still be good enough to win this.

300 Golden silver would be my idea of the best bet of the short ones today rock solid in these conditions and clearly has the best form on offer.

330 Competitive handicap to end the card Romanesco looks well in on my figures but it’s a hard race to call and jumping has not been consistent so far short as 9/1 in places now due to non runners so will let this one run now.

bangor

1215 gilbarry 9/2 vc bog 2pt win

If trained by a more fashionable trainer I expect this would be fav here. made a nice impression lto despite making a couple of typical novice mistakes.Dan breen could improve again but needs to show his best hurdle form really now to trouble my selection and with no issues with conditions I expect a big run at  a fair price.

1245 walk tall was a planned selection but is now 5/1 and I can’t possibly be backing a horse of his profile at that price. one hurdle run showed he had ability to win of this mark needed chase run lto but showed up well and today looks the day.

150 high benefit is worth taking on here I feel.Backspin looks the obvious one, our mick and loch ba are both well regarded and should run nice races in an ok race

225 galaxy rock 5/1 gen bog 1pt e/w

Clearly not the most well handicapped of horses but looks to have been found an opportunity here were to many are not likely to improve tends to run to his mark most runs and conditions to suit and think there is a little bit of value to be had at his price when you compare it to the horse in the previous race I know very much which one I would like to be with.

300  nouaillias 10/1 vc coral bog 1pt e/w

Miss miracle far short all about connections and profile, present your case respected but and will like the trip but similar comments apply to nouallias who more than double the price. Clear on my ratings with pyc and even a repeat of his run lto will see him go very close.

newbury

1225 space mission ½ pt 40/1 gen  Ikorado road ¾ pt e/w 14/1 365

Firstly taking a chance with space mission but he has gone well fresh before and is well handicapped on his old form.Plenty of sexy types in here but im willing to take them on at there odds which makes this race then an attractive betting race.Key cutter could run well if his jumping holds up again and is clear rated on chase form shown so far.The selection for me though is ikorado road who I expect is going to be well suited by this trip likes the course and has a little more scope for improvement than the other horse.Similar prices but hopefully I have gone the right one.

130 morestead 18/1 coral 1/2pt e/w

Lower grade stuff here and there are plenty in with similar chances,Cant understand why morestead is not near the head of the market as his last 2 outings have been of a similar to level to those that head the market and this 18f trip suits him well.

205 martys mission 8/1 3/4pt e/w

Have to be careful im not following one over the cliff here but did not have things go his way lto and if I felt he could win off higher marks then I have to follow again today.Price is shorter today but at the same time this looks a weaker race.

310 deep purple 4/1 fred bog 2pt win

Twist magic has to be taken on over this trip at the current odds and I simply don’t think deep purple gets the credit he deserves.lto showed he was in decent form and ran a better race for me than the previous years event when then coming on to win this race.Looks rock solid and stand out price.



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