Got caught up Saturday so could not really do the days card justice with a decent preview the solid selections all ran good races and I can't really read things better than that with thoose I don't think.the 2 longshots made very little impact. Interesting little card at Folkestone today going for the one selection who is being supported.
Kind of easy woul be my choice i'n the 125 but plenty of improvers here and the Alan king horse is well regarded.expect handtheprizeover and pacco to both win if
running to a similar mark to lto but both are fav am the latter horse really has quirks.
235 mr tingle 1pt ew 11/2 lad bog
5/1 gen but I would not want to be going much shorter than that.been brought along steadily needed run lto but that run still has him there on my ratings this trip is going to bring out more improvement ground no issues expect can win a Race like this off current mark.
Monday 29 November 2010
Saturday 27 November 2010
Saturdays selections
Put these on last night as plenty of bookmakers priced up early.great days racing at Newbury.will try and write up reasoning later.
1225 starluck 1/2pt win 5/1 Fred bog
1255 martys mission 1/2pt ew 20/1 365 bog
1400 olofi 3/4 pt ew 13/2 vc Fred pp bog
1505 burton port 1pt ew 8/1 365 Fred bog
1540 pocket aces 1/2pt ew 20/1 Fred bog
1225 starluck 1/2pt win 5/1 Fred bog
1255 martys mission 1/2pt ew 20/1 365 bog
1400 olofi 3/4 pt ew 13/2 vc Fred pp bog
1505 burton port 1pt ew 8/1 365 Fred bog
1540 pocket aces 1/2pt ew 20/1 Fred bog
Friday 26 November 2010
Freezing friday
Close to a very good day yesterday with vagrant emperor going down by a short margin after the pair pulled clear.extra bold at least managed to win resulting in a profit for the day.Aiteenthirtythree was given a strong mention and the 13/2 looked overpriced.terrible news about tell Massini i'n that Race.
No selections today I like 3 horses and I did manage to get 5/2 with 365 about coup royale last night but was only available there and it's now a 15/8 chance.barafundle and mathuni are the others I like but both are to short for me i'n races this competitive. I'd put nobody of combining all 3 i'n whatever way you like but generally a watching day for me.
No selections today I like 3 horses and I did manage to get 5/2 with 365 about coup royale last night but was only available there and it's now a 15/8 chance.barafundle and mathuni are the others I like but both are to short for me i'n races this competitive. I'd put nobody of combining all 3 i'n whatever way you like but generally a watching day for me.
Thursday 25 November 2010
Thursday Update
Decent days racing with the start of the newbury winter festival,obviously like most im hoping that the weather does not get in the way of some excellent action.Yesterdays selection ran respectably but got done for pace in the end a slightly stiffer test is obviously needed and I would not give up on him just yet.
3 Selections for me today and im feeling confident these will go well today.1 other horse to mention today is aighteenthirtythree who looked a different horse lto at Cheltenham and im very excited about seeing this one go over fences this season.He has a fair bit to find with the fav obviously and I cant really put this one up a selection in such a tight race at 4/1 but a big step up in form would not surprise me and I expect him to jump very well.
245 newb vagrant emperor 3/4pt e/w 8/1 taken
VE comes back from a long lay off but the stables record first time is excellent so I have no issues with the lay off.Looks well treated on his novice hurdle form and should have no issues with trip and ground,stable think this is well handicapped and you have to agree.Obviosuly rajamand was a selection lto but I would be happy taking on up in trip and he does still have to find something on form with the likes of full of joy and foynes island who would rate bigg er dangers for me.Ive been frustrated that I have not had a few of the stables winners recently as it is one that I follow very closely but lets hope there good run continues here.
220 taun screaming brave 3/4pt e/w 6/1 gen bog
Is being well supported and would not want below 5/1 myself.The Nicholls horse could show improved form now sent handicapping but I have this rated exactly the same as SB who is double the price and looks to have just as much potential.The slightly further trip should suit and the first time tongue starp is a positive as well to say connections mean business first time up this season.Showed enough last season to be right there at the finish.
330 taun extra bold 1 1/2pt win 7/2 gen bog
Another Emma Lavelle horse here, this one is a little more exposed than the other selection but on his chase form with richard Lee he looks well treated here take of the claim and we have a horse who looks very well in today.This is a little bit of a easier test than when he has shown his best form but it would not surprise me to see a change of tactics here and for him to race much more prominent than usual.Stable does well at course and I would have this a little shorter in my book.
Thursday
245 newbury 3/4pt e/w vagrant emperor 8/1 wh lad bf bog
This one is being well supported I would not want below 7/1 myself
update to follow
This one is being well supported I would not want below 7/1 myself
update to follow
Wednesday 24 November 2010
Wednesday
Small loss on the day yesterday with a couple of placed horses running ok.Recession proof won his race i'n decent style apart from 2 out which he missed slightly I thought he hurdled quickly and a faster pace is going to help further and expect him to keep improving the 2nd showed improved form again but looks to need further now.maximim looked interested at one point but dropped away tamely my view to take on the fav was the right one though. Papa Caruso jumped poorly and did not run upto form.benbeoch hit the ditch badly on 2 occasions and lost his Rythmn which is most important i'n these staying events.
Struggled to get excited about much today.just got the one selection which I am fairly keen on.
150 weth diamond frontier 2pt win 5/2 gen bog
I have df clear on my ratings yet he has the potential to improve a fair bit as well this season an I would be shocked if he is not rated much higher by end of the season.he ran poorly on his first race this season but you can easily forgive him that with fitness race tactics and trip all possible reasons. the rest here are generally exposed and if df comes back to form they all have to run to a mark they have never achieved before the main danger to me pamak dairy but his better form has come over further.
November balance -25.85pts
Struggled to get excited about much today.just got the one selection which I am fairly keen on.
150 weth diamond frontier 2pt win 5/2 gen bog
I have df clear on my ratings yet he has the potential to improve a fair bit as well this season an I would be shocked if he is not rated much higher by end of the season.he ran poorly on his first race this season but you can easily forgive him that with fitness race tactics and trip all possible reasons. the rest here are generally exposed and if df comes back to form they all have to run to a mark they have never achieved before the main danger to me pamak dairy but his better form has come over further.
November balance -25.85pts
Tuesday 23 November 2010
Tuesday - Frustrating times go on
Think it was 3 winners from the shortlist yesterday which is frustrating when the selctions dont run as expected.oscar gogo ran a fair race but looks in need of further he may find a small race at some point.
Low grade racing today which is generally the case on Tuesdays I find.I have however found todays cards interesting all the same and plenty of interest.
100 sedg doubts about both dorabelle and sophonie seeing this trip out .boragh princess would be the one for me but price slightly to short I think.
130 sedg papa Caruso 1/2pt ew 14/1 pp bog
chamirey could out class these here if returning to his best and taking to fences,he is obviously ideally suited to further and looks worth taking on.kellystown lad will appreciate the step up in trip but I also think similar comments apply to papa Caruso who looks a more than fair price compared to kl.Only has around 7lengths to find with kl and I expect him to get much closer to that horse today.
230 sedg northern quest 1/2pt e/w 14/1 bf vc boyle bog
schinken otto is obviously respected here as he loves it round sedgfield at the same time he needs to improve again though from his new mark.war party showed improved form last time out and looks one to take on near the front of the market and Id take the pair on as they could also take each other on at the front and set this up for one. northern quest needed run lto but looks well handicapped on some of his previous form.This is his trip and the fast pace here I think will suit as he can be keen in his races.slight doubts about the ground but they generally get through it ok at sedgfield and price is more than fair.
300 sedg benbeoch 1pt win 4/1 bf boyle vc bog
very little between the front 3 in the market here so it’s a easy decision to be with the consistent benbeoch here who handles these conditions well and looks sure to go close.matmata de tendon is respected but is far to short whilst billsgrey still has to improve again and may need this run.
1250 ling 1/2pt win maximix 10/1 pp lb bf bog
nautical approach takes up a large chunk of the market here but really has to be taken on at his price on ground he has never really acted on.Im going to have a small play on maimix he is a bit of a character who has his own idea about things and could easily be beaten very quickly however heavy ground is key to him and on a going day he clearly looks well treated.
150ling pascha bere is priced up at 11/8 this morning and drifting currently which to me is a fair price to me when you start comparing it to the likes of the fav in the 1250. He was easily the best of these over hurdles and has no issues with these conditions has reportedly schooled well and I expect him to win here if he continues to drift I expect I will get involved.Lord singer looks flattered by his run last time out behind pepe simo as that showed a significant improvement on what he had shown before and although he will be suited by going left handed I expect the fav to hold him.mohayer was there for the experience last time and will improve no doubt but again has plenty to find with pb on hurdles form.
220ling Interesting race preference for me is with recession proof who I do think will handle this ground and will also be suited by the stiffer test he will get today.we are unsure as to how good brackloon high is though as he won last time despite not much being right for him which generally is the signs of a decent animal. He will be much more at home on this ground and is likely to show improved form again.
250 ling 1pt win digg er gets lucky 6/1 pp vc bog
I want to take Aztec treasure on here as he is fav due to connections and not his overall form.supreme plan was my initial thought as he could improve from his run lto now stepped up in trip however the price of around 3/1 is far to short.bobby gee is just about top rated on my figures but he comes with doubts over his jumping and may have been a touch flattered last time out.digg er gets lucky showed improved form himself last time on ground which was the softest he had encountered for some time and that run has him going close here.Everything about this horse sugg est he is going to appreciate this trip and it what is a tight race he now looks the value at current prices.
320 ling 3/4pt ew slew charm 11/2 365 wh pp bog
I cant see many of these appreciating the ground and the one that stands out for me clearly here is slew charm.Im sure 2mile on a soft surface is what he needs to show his best form.he is clearly well weighted on his some of his form and whilst he may not be that good now he has showed enough promise on his last 2 runs to sugg est he can still win a race when getting his conditions. Sun quest was a selection last time out but the ground is a concern for me.
Monday 22 November 2010
Monday Williams double ?????
Poor run continues with no success yesterday long losing spells are part of the game for me at the prices I play at.the key thing for me is if I'm generally reading the races I look at right and after a few days off last week Which was needed I'm much happier with how I'm looking at things now hopefully the winners will follow suit soon.
Interesting days racing with plenty to look at going with 2 selections from a decent size shortlist so hopefully found the right ones.
130 kemp banjaxed girl is the one I like here slight unknown about the trip but she's tough and holds her form well I wanted 5/2 though so have to leave at the moment.
235 kemp I like moghayer and lupanar here from my ratings point of view but the first named has to prove his well being whilst lupanar is clearly not the horse of old and has his own idea about things.plenty others with claims on a competitive little race.
310 kemp shakalakaboomboom would have been of some interest at around the 3/1 mark but any chain of that has clearly gone and he does jar doubts at the same time rodrigo Gonzales could bounce back to form round a course he likes with first time blinkers.
120 ffos teaforthree is a nice type will appreciate this stiffer test only has one real opponent should win but priced accordingly
155 ffos Oscar gogo 1pt win 6/1 gen bog
Ealry signs are this one is fancied today and if so looks well handicapped quiet run last time likely to know a lot more now.
300 ffos stormyisland ahead 1/2pt ew 8/1 gen bog
Has not been the most fluent of jumpers as of yet but still has ran well respectably i'n novice events under a penalty no issues with conditions decent claimer taking more weight off looks fair price against a very short fav.
110lud azulada bay one more dinar are the 2 for me here with slight preference for the former.priced up as joint favs so no real angle.
Sent from my iPhone
Interesting days racing with plenty to look at going with 2 selections from a decent size shortlist so hopefully found the right ones.
130 kemp banjaxed girl is the one I like here slight unknown about the trip but she's tough and holds her form well I wanted 5/2 though so have to leave at the moment.
235 kemp I like moghayer and lupanar here from my ratings point of view but the first named has to prove his well being whilst lupanar is clearly not the horse of old and has his own idea about things.plenty others with claims on a competitive little race.
310 kemp shakalakaboomboom would have been of some interest at around the 3/1 mark but any chain of that has clearly gone and he does jar doubts at the same time rodrigo Gonzales could bounce back to form round a course he likes with first time blinkers.
120 ffos teaforthree is a nice type will appreciate this stiffer test only has one real opponent should win but priced accordingly
155 ffos Oscar gogo 1pt win 6/1 gen bog
Ealry signs are this one is fancied today and if so looks well handicapped quiet run last time likely to know a lot more now.
300 ffos stormyisland ahead 1/2pt ew 8/1 gen bog
Has not been the most fluent of jumpers as of yet but still has ran well respectably i'n novice events under a penalty no issues with conditions decent claimer taking more weight off looks fair price against a very short fav.
110lud azulada bay one more dinar are the 2 for me here with slight preference for the former.priced up as joint favs so no real angle.
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Sunday 21 November 2010
Another Busy Sunday
Interesting days racing and a fairly big outlay for me on the day so hopefully I have found a couple to run big races.
1235 aintre presenandcorrect 1/2pt e/w 14/1 gen
Firstly I would probably go win only if we get a non runner.Most of these look exposed and generally these races are the ones I do be at reading the selection ran a solid race last time out and the drop back in trip I expect will suit here its rated similar to the market leaders,stable knows the type to act on these fences.Would be a confident selection if not for the luck needed in these races but the prices looks excellent value.
110 aintree Looks tough to call plenty of these could bounce back to form and look well handicapped if they don't though expect son of flicka to be right there and he is sure to run his race.
145 aintree merigo 1/2pt e/w 9/1 bfred 8/1 gen pak jack 1/4pt e/w 33/1 vc sj
Merigo is a horse I have followed for some time and still looks fairly treated he may want a slightly stiffer test than this which is the only concern for me.pak jack goes well round here and with doubts about plenty here he could run a better race than his odds suggest.whatuthink looks the main danger but has been well supported and does have jumping concerns
255 aintree dont rush it 3/4pt e/w 8/1
Stable doing well at the moment and one I have a fair bit of success with.Goes well fresh and is rated with the market leaders on my figures and 7lb claimer sure to help.no issues with conditions and on best form goes very close today.whereyougoigo is obviously the potential improver here but is priced up accordingly and does need to find a fair bit.
245 navan siegemaster 1pt win 12/1 lad sj hold the pin 1pt win 11/1 lad sb
Don't think this looks as competitive as many are thinking Ive decided to split my stakes though as I have very little between both of these.Siegemaster ran and ok race first time out this season and should improve for that outing plenty weight but is still rated right there.hold the pin ran well in this last season and from a similar mark should be thereabouts again.
1235 aintre presenandcorrect 1/2pt e/w 14/1 gen
Firstly I would probably go win only if we get a non runner.Most of these look exposed and generally these races are the ones I do be at reading the selection ran a solid race last time out and the drop back in trip I expect will suit here its rated similar to the market leaders,stable knows the type to act on these fences.Would be a confident selection if not for the luck needed in these races but the prices looks excellent value.
110 aintree Looks tough to call plenty of these could bounce back to form and look well handicapped if they don't though expect son of flicka to be right there and he is sure to run his race.
145 aintree merigo 1/2pt e/w 9/1 bfred 8/1 gen pak jack 1/4pt e/w 33/1 vc sj
Merigo is a horse I have followed for some time and still looks fairly treated he may want a slightly stiffer test than this which is the only concern for me.pak jack goes well round here and with doubts about plenty here he could run a better race than his odds suggest.whatuthink looks the main danger but has been well supported and does have jumping concerns
255 aintree dont rush it 3/4pt e/w 8/1
Stable doing well at the moment and one I have a fair bit of success with.Goes well fresh and is rated with the market leaders on my figures and 7lb claimer sure to help.no issues with conditions and on best form goes very close today.whereyougoigo is obviously the potential improver here but is priced up accordingly and does need to find a fair bit.
245 navan siegemaster 1pt win 12/1 lad sj hold the pin 1pt win 11/1 lad sb
Don't think this looks as competitive as many are thinking Ive decided to split my stakes though as I have very little between both of these.Siegemaster ran and ok race first time out this season and should improve for that outing plenty weight but is still rated right there.hold the pin ran well in this last season and from a similar mark should be thereabouts again.
Saturday 20 November 2010
Saturday
No joy with my selections yesterday neither running to there mark.the Irish horse was very weak i'n the Market whilst the other more than likely needed the outing to put him straight.
Struggled to find much from a betting point of view despite the good quality of racing today and it's looks a very tricky day.
310 ascot tatenen 1/2pt ew 10/1 lad wh bog
Few potential improvers here but they need to find a fair bit and are priced up far to short the selection has switched stables and showed plenty promise last time.like the booking of timmy murphy who style should suit this horse as he can hit the odd fence.the drop back i'n trip should suit and at the prices he looks fair value.
Struggled to find much from a betting point of view despite the good quality of racing today and it's looks a very tricky day.
310 ascot tatenen 1/2pt ew 10/1 lad wh bog
Few potential improvers here but they need to find a fair bit and are priced up far to short the selection has switched stables and showed plenty promise last time.like the booking of timmy murphy who style should suit this horse as he can hit the odd fence.the drop back i'n trip should suit and at the prices he looks fair value.
Friday 19 November 2010
Friday
Ascot looks decent racing but very tricky from a betting point of view at the same time.
Spent most my time concentrating on the 2 handicaps at Musselburgh hopefully got found a couple that can run big races at decent odds.
1255 muss Barron watlass 14/1 gen bog 1/2 pt ew
Showed plenty promise last season i'n novice events.have this top rated myself no issue with conditions slight concern about the lay off but price is worth the risk.
200 muss five jembs 1/2pt ew 16/1 bog
Put up last night it's weak this morning and now 20/1 i'n places.came over from Ireland for the better ground and sharp test I think not got much to find on form and looks better than current mark.
Spent most my time concentrating on the 2 handicaps at Musselburgh hopefully got found a couple that can run big races at decent odds.
1255 muss Barron watlass 14/1 gen bog 1/2 pt ew
Showed plenty promise last season i'n novice events.have this top rated myself no issue with conditions slight concern about the lay off but price is worth the risk.
200 muss five jembs 1/2pt ew 16/1 bog
Put up last night it's weak this morning and now 20/1 i'n places.came over from Ireland for the better ground and sharp test I think not got much to find on form and looks better than current mark.
Thursday 18 November 2010
Early selection friday
Taken a price on a horse tonight as I think it may move earlier in the morning vc and hills both have this at 16/1 so had no problem getting on.
200 muss five jembs 1/2pt ew 16/1 bog
Likely to be one more selection early i'n morning
200 muss five jembs 1/2pt ew 16/1 bog
Likely to be one more selection early i'n morning
Thursday
No selections again today not looked at today's cards.Friday and the weekend looks more promising so should be getting involved again from then.
Wednesday 17 November 2010
Rainy Wednesday
No bet again for me today plenty of rain about and it's sure to be testing.had a brief look at the cards but nothing to note really.
Tuesday 16 November 2010
Tuesday
The weekends racing at cheltenham was obviously excellent but from a personal betting point of view it was however extremely disappointing and I showed a large loss over the 3 days.The original purpose of the blog was to highlight to my self the areas off racing that my approach does not work.Now to me it was clearly shown this weekend that due to the nature of cheltenham I need to profile potential improver's into my handicap ratings more favourably along with ranking previous course form at a higher importance level than I do.I also have the issue that If I look at a handicap for long enough then im certain I will find the winner such is the confidence that I have in undoing these races and finding an angle for a selection in them.Clearly on some occasions I need more discipline.Plenty of lesson learnt though and although it was frustrating to be rewarded with little from the time and effort that went into analysis the races im sure that im now in a better position for the future.
Few quick thoughts on some of the weekends performances.Cue card will win any novice event at the festival for me was not really a fan until this performance.Much better horse for the fast pace and hurdling improved a lot on last time.It clearly looked like this was mr thrillers festival and he ran a good race until falling which left the path clear for time to rupert to take the novice chase the winner did well wo win at this trip but ill be reserving any judgement on him until we see him move up in trip as currently I would not be rushing in to back him at current price for festival.Sam winner won the opening race on saturday and is now fav for triumph not convinced with the race myself.Long run and mad max both ran respectable races and will be interesting to see them both on flat tracks next time. Rajamand was running a good race in the last when coming down and surely is better than his current mark but im sure plenty others are aware of that now as well.Im sure there are going to be better 2 mile races than the race in which Gauvain won and in fact I would be taking little from the race at the moment yes the winner could improve again and the 2nd needs further now.Menorah was the highlight for me on the final day and im convinced he will be hard to beat now for the champion hurdle this season as he is so well suited to how races at cheltenham are ran.
No bet today few thoughts for the action though.
2.10 folk
I like Princess rainbow here should appreciate these conditions more than when winning at hereford last time out and a reproduction of that form has her clear of ocean transit anyway on what they have both shown so far over hurdles.3/1 was the price I had in mind but is a little shorter than those odds at the moment so will pass.
2.40 folk
Looks ultra tough this zarrafakt and plen pouvoir both have more races in them both this season and would be my idea of the likely winners.raymond was improving with every run last season and can also go fresh whilst I would not rule out a return to form from gaora lane as he likes these conditions.Far to difficult and no real betting angle but could see the form holding up.
3.30 fak
Red skipper looks like he has been lined up for a small handicap somewhere and expect he will show improved form today.On what he has shown so far is held by luthien who I have top rated and he could also improve on last time out.Both horses are under 5/1 this morning though so I do not feel either are worth the risk.
November Balance -13.67pts
Few quick thoughts on some of the weekends performances.Cue card will win any novice event at the festival for me was not really a fan until this performance.Much better horse for the fast pace and hurdling improved a lot on last time.It clearly looked like this was mr thrillers festival and he ran a good race until falling which left the path clear for time to rupert to take the novice chase the winner did well wo win at this trip but ill be reserving any judgement on him until we see him move up in trip as currently I would not be rushing in to back him at current price for festival.Sam winner won the opening race on saturday and is now fav for triumph not convinced with the race myself.Long run and mad max both ran respectable races and will be interesting to see them both on flat tracks next time. Rajamand was running a good race in the last when coming down and surely is better than his current mark but im sure plenty others are aware of that now as well.Im sure there are going to be better 2 mile races than the race in which Gauvain won and in fact I would be taking little from the race at the moment yes the winner could improve again and the 2nd needs further now.Menorah was the highlight for me on the final day and im convinced he will be hard to beat now for the champion hurdle this season as he is so well suited to how races at cheltenham are ran.
No bet today few thoughts for the action though.
2.10 folk
I like Princess rainbow here should appreciate these conditions more than when winning at hereford last time out and a reproduction of that form has her clear of ocean transit anyway on what they have both shown so far over hurdles.3/1 was the price I had in mind but is a little shorter than those odds at the moment so will pass.
2.40 folk
Looks ultra tough this zarrafakt and plen pouvoir both have more races in them both this season and would be my idea of the likely winners.raymond was improving with every run last season and can also go fresh whilst I would not rule out a return to form from gaora lane as he likes these conditions.Far to difficult and no real betting angle but could see the form holding up.
3.30 fak
Red skipper looks like he has been lined up for a small handicap somewhere and expect he will show improved form today.On what he has shown so far is held by luthien who I have top rated and he could also improve on last time out.Both horses are under 5/1 this morning though so I do not feel either are worth the risk.
November Balance -13.67pts
Monday 15 November 2010
Sunday 14 November 2010
Sunday
Great but poor selections yesterday.let's hope for better today.
110 1pt win kilmurry 4/1
220 1pt win general miller 7/1
1/2pt ew tarkari 25/1
1/2pt ew culcabrook 50/1
255 1/2pt ew hidden keel 25/1
1/2pt ew soothes trophy 50/1
1/2pt ew rock county 20/1
May update late for 330 depending on Any non runners
110 1pt win kilmurry 4/1
220 1pt win general miller 7/1
1/2pt ew tarkari 25/1
1/2pt ew culcabrook 50/1
255 1/2pt ew hidden keel 25/1
1/2pt ew soothes trophy 50/1
1/2pt ew rock county 20/1
May update late for 330 depending on Any non runners
Saturday 13 November 2010
Saturday
Sorry running late today
1250 zakeeta 1/2pt ew 20/1
120 berries dream 1pt win 4/1
155 ogee 1/2pt ew 9/1 razor royal 1/2pt ew 12/1
235 great endeavour 2pt win 5/1 mad max 1pt win
310 supercede 1pt ew 15/2
340 rajamand 1/2ew 12/1 khayar 1/2pt ew 14/1
1250 zakeeta 1/2pt ew 20/1
120 berries dream 1pt win 4/1
155 ogee 1/2pt ew 9/1 razor royal 1/2pt ew 12/1
235 great endeavour 2pt win 5/1 mad max 1pt win
310 supercede 1pt ew 15/2
340 rajamand 1/2ew 12/1 khayar 1/2pt ew 14/1
Friday 12 November 2010
Friday
Great days racing at Cheltenham today. I'm lucky enough to be spending the 3 days there so it's just going to be selections on the blog really.I will be trying to post brief thoughts on twitter.
115 1/2pt ew Martys mission 25/1 365 lad bog
150 1/2pt win king of the night 7/1 gen
225. 1/2pt ew Quito de tresor 9/1 gen
1pt win keelaghan 5/1 lad pp bog
335 1/2pt ew turner brown 20/1 vc 365 c bog
1/2pt ew pro pell 12/1 gen
405 mr thriller 1pt win 4/1 gen
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115 1/2pt ew Martys mission 25/1 365 lad bog
150 1/2pt win king of the night 7/1 gen
225. 1/2pt ew Quito de tresor 9/1 gen
1pt win keelaghan 5/1 lad pp bog
335 1/2pt ew turner brown 20/1 vc 365 c bog
1/2pt ew pro pell 12/1 gen
405 mr thriller 1pt win 4/1 gen
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Thursday 11 November 2010
Thursdays Thoughts
Yesterday proved to be an eventful days racing,was nice to be on the returning end of some good luck when monsieur caught the eased up likely winner.Sure that will go down as my luckiest winner of the season at the end of the day they all count.Summery justice bounced back to form and also got myself and the stable of the cold list earlier in the day.Credit I think goes to aidan coleman here who was working at his mount form some way home but kept the horse in some kind of rhythm he missed the odd fence out and if he can work on his jumping a little I expect he can find another race.Overall 2 nice winners to bring the blog into profit for November.
Racing seems a bit more low key today but I'm sure that's because we have been spoilt a little this week and I'm very focused on getting the cheltenham fields sorted out for this weekend.
Ludlow
200 Market has now corrected itself in this race as no way should key cutter have ever been put in as fav on what he has shown so far.Think this is between holmwood legend and midnight haze both have doubts at the same time and there seems little value in the race as both are the front 2 in the market.
230 Would not surprise me to see gortenbuie run a respectable race here 2nd in a bumper last season extremely backward type but has reportedly done well over the summer period,the trainer is so hard to read with these types but with cavite bela having some question marks I would put not put anybody off a small play however I would want bigger than the 8/1 for a full selection.
400 Drumlang 1/2pt e/w 14/1 vc pp bog
I don't tend to put many up in bumpers, as you had probably realised by now I tend to focus on handicappers that we generally know plenty about however the key thing in every race I look at though is value and here I believe I am getting a price on a horse that should be half the odds this morning.Firstly there are plenty others with claims and we don't know how much some of these could improve for runs etc but drumlang showed up well on his one run last season when very backward,that form is equal to the market leaders here.He is flat bred which is a little different to most from this stable and has reportedly strengthened up and shown a lot more over the summer.It comes with risk but I think the price compensates.
Taunton
310 sun quest 1/2 pt e/w 9/1 365 wh bog
Pennelis looks most likely winner showed improved form last time and any improvement on that run should see him well in here.Sun quest is exposed but I have him rated the same as pennelis at these weights.He is likely to have plenty use made of him over this trip but his racing style is suited to this course and I think he may just stretch these from the front.
340 Thievery can win a race of his current mark but he only just stays the 2mile trip and can run the odd poor race when things do not go his way.Randjo showed up well last time out and does not need to improve on that run really to take this.Prices are about right for both selections and best left I think.
November balance +7.30
Racing seems a bit more low key today but I'm sure that's because we have been spoilt a little this week and I'm very focused on getting the cheltenham fields sorted out for this weekend.
Ludlow
200 Market has now corrected itself in this race as no way should key cutter have ever been put in as fav on what he has shown so far.Think this is between holmwood legend and midnight haze both have doubts at the same time and there seems little value in the race as both are the front 2 in the market.
230 Would not surprise me to see gortenbuie run a respectable race here 2nd in a bumper last season extremely backward type but has reportedly done well over the summer period,the trainer is so hard to read with these types but with cavite bela having some question marks I would put not put anybody off a small play however I would want bigger than the 8/1 for a full selection.
400 Drumlang 1/2pt e/w 14/1 vc pp bog
I don't tend to put many up in bumpers, as you had probably realised by now I tend to focus on handicappers that we generally know plenty about however the key thing in every race I look at though is value and here I believe I am getting a price on a horse that should be half the odds this morning.Firstly there are plenty others with claims and we don't know how much some of these could improve for runs etc but drumlang showed up well on his one run last season when very backward,that form is equal to the market leaders here.He is flat bred which is a little different to most from this stable and has reportedly strengthened up and shown a lot more over the summer.It comes with risk but I think the price compensates.
Taunton
310 sun quest 1/2 pt e/w 9/1 365 wh bog
Pennelis looks most likely winner showed improved form last time and any improvement on that run should see him well in here.Sun quest is exposed but I have him rated the same as pennelis at these weights.He is likely to have plenty use made of him over this trip but his racing style is suited to this course and I think he may just stretch these from the front.
340 Thievery can win a race of his current mark but he only just stays the 2mile trip and can run the odd poor race when things do not go his way.Randjo showed up well last time out and does not need to improve on that run really to take this.Prices are about right for both selections and best left I think.
November balance +7.30
Wednesday 10 November 2010
Wednesday
I think the tv nearly went out the window when schinken otto was
travelling smoothly coming round the final bend at sedgfield
yesterday frustarting to be on the wrong end of a marginal call
like that especially when your own selection runs no race.Five star
wilsham ran a good race and I dont think I could have read that
race any better without finding the winner maybe racing on the
worst ground was the difference.Just one thing was a little fresh
inn his race but stayed on ok and looks to have a race in him.After
the early support ebony riover drifted again and looking at the
race im sure connections are taking the time with this
individual.Authentic act dissapointed despite being well suported.
Overall still no winners but I did feel much happier with how I
read things yesterday.
Another interesting days racing today expect to find a few clues
today from the novice and bumper races today.
Bangor
110 good novice chase like the claims of wymott who should have a
good season and this may not be a stiffer enough test for alfie
sherrin.
140 My old friend calgary bay runs here and this is easily the
weakest race he has competed in for some time I expect and hope he
wins but he is short for a horse with a few doubts about him at the
moment.
210 summery justice 1/2pt e/w 16/1 365 bog 14/1 others
Trainer form is a concern here and trainer has said her horses are
a little behind this season but we are getting a decent price about
a well handicapped horse here im convinced he will not be racing of
this mark for long.Should have no issues with conditions and has
gone well fresh before.
340 monsieur 1/2 pt e/w 9/1 bf bog 8/1 gen
This is similar to the schinken otto race yesterday so lets hope I
get this one correct.Im against the front 3 in the betting here for
various reasons.Looking last night I was interested in the
selection and royal chatelier but he has been supported in to 6/1
now which is just a little tight compared the price we are getting
about monsieur.Not won for 4 seasons but a reproduction of his last
run has him clear on my ratings,handles these conditons well and
looks the value in a poor race.
Hunt
220 Looks like todays the day for sommerstum which makes this race
a no bet event now I do like this horses profile as he does have
them form in the book on his run last season at this course,paul
moloney back on board.Porters war could be the danger stepped back
in trip well handicapped on old form ran promising last time out.
November balance - 7.70pts
travelling smoothly coming round the final bend at sedgfield
yesterday frustarting to be on the wrong end of a marginal call
like that especially when your own selection runs no race.Five star
wilsham ran a good race and I dont think I could have read that
race any better without finding the winner maybe racing on the
worst ground was the difference.Just one thing was a little fresh
inn his race but stayed on ok and looks to have a race in him.After
the early support ebony riover drifted again and looking at the
race im sure connections are taking the time with this
individual.Authentic act dissapointed despite being well suported.
Overall still no winners but I did feel much happier with how I
read things yesterday.
Another interesting days racing today expect to find a few clues
today from the novice and bumper races today.
Bangor
110 good novice chase like the claims of wymott who should have a
good season and this may not be a stiffer enough test for alfie
sherrin.
140 My old friend calgary bay runs here and this is easily the
weakest race he has competed in for some time I expect and hope he
wins but he is short for a horse with a few doubts about him at the
moment.
210 summery justice 1/2pt e/w 16/1 365 bog 14/1 others
Trainer form is a concern here and trainer has said her horses are
a little behind this season but we are getting a decent price about
a well handicapped horse here im convinced he will not be racing of
this mark for long.Should have no issues with conditions and has
gone well fresh before.
340 monsieur 1/2 pt e/w 9/1 bf bog 8/1 gen
This is similar to the schinken otto race yesterday so lets hope I
get this one correct.Im against the front 3 in the betting here for
various reasons.Looking last night I was interested in the
selection and royal chatelier but he has been supported in to 6/1
now which is just a little tight compared the price we are getting
about monsieur.Not won for 4 seasons but a reproduction of his last
run has him clear on my ratings,handles these conditons well and
looks the value in a poor race.
Hunt
220 Looks like todays the day for sommerstum which makes this race
a no bet event now I do like this horses profile as he does have
them form in the book on his run last season at this course,paul
moloney back on board.Porters war could be the danger stepped back
in trip well handicapped on old form ran promising last time out.
November balance - 7.70pts
Tuesday 9 November 2010
Tuesday
Bit disappointed with yesterday as for the first time since
starting the blog I feel I actually read a large majority of the
races incorrectly.Spent plenty time on today's action and hopefully
can pull things back today.
Exeter
120 cant really give out a selection here as so many unexposed but
does look an interesting race,Highland valley is well thought off
by connections and won a bumper last season in good style whilst
shrew investment is also expected to improving considerably on his
form from last season.Daring origyn obviously showed up well last
time out and sets the standard in a race where a few may come from.
150 five star wilsham 1pt win 3/1 gen
There is one doubt for me with fsw and that is if this race comes
to soon after last weeks effort if it does not I think he wins as
he should reverse form with victors serenade and I expect he can
hold scotsbrook cloud despite him showing improved form recently.
220 Much will depend on how soft the ground really is here im
convinced watamu bay will show much improved form when he gets real
heavy ground but voaramar two had some high class hurdle form last
season and I would probably have this priced as fav here.I cant get
involved though and again looks a race to watch for the future.
250 Will be suprised if royal charm does not win this pretty
impressively stable think he is exciting for this season was looked
after last year for this campaign.
350 Mares novice hurdles are not really my thing but I dont think
this will take much winning if Im honest and it would not surprise
me to see a much improved run from calico rose who was staying on
5th in a bumper last season.At 20/1 it may be worth a small
investment but not one really I can put up with any confidence.
Lingfield
310 Got this between captain tidds and vinmix de bessy but little
value in there prices and both have doubts still in fitness first
time up.
340 just one thing 1/2pt e/w 10/1 gen with bog 12/1 is available
Doubts and claims can be made for plenty of these here sagredo
finds little at the end of his races and is to short but does have
the best form on offer.mister matt I think is going back chasing
and may need this outing but has been supported this morning.Kinsya
if settles better could see this out and on one hurdle run looks
well in.Carrig an uisce is likely to run his race but may find 1 or
2 better handicapped.Just beware really runs 2 races the same
whilst denton royal is interesting but I dont think I can be
backing a 3yold against experienced handicappers that has not
convinced with the trip yet. Just one thing comes with his own
doubts obviously fitness being one of them but he improved with
experience last season and with his jockey taking 7lbs of him today
I dont think he look to badly treated nice price for a horse with
some potential this season.
sedgfield
100 ebony river 3/4pt e/w 8/1 fred wh bog
this is moving as I expected it would forget last run to keen not
wound up.Stable like this one a lot and looked a massive price
this morning still respectably now and will be disappointed if he
does not go close.
300 No doubt cranky corner has ability and looked overpriced at
forecast however half that price this morning and I really respect
the chances of bale oshea here who comes over from irleand in good
form and has ideal conditions, fav and a short price for a handicap
but that price may look ok after this as I think there are major
doubts about plenty here.
330 well oiled 1/2pt e/w 7/1 gen
Im against best horse in a big way here as I dont think he is good
enough and is poor value.Troodos jet is respected but is no value
which leaves me with schinken otto and well oiled who both have
similar claims to tj.schinken otto may need genuine decent ground
to be at his best so preference is for the latter horse not much
between them though.
400 authentic act 1/2 pt e/w 7/1 gen
Dont give many a chance here and have this as a clear fav .Few
are shorter due to there unexposed or big trainers profile yet this
one has form in the book to go close today goes well round here and
no issues with ground as it stands.
starting the blog I feel I actually read a large majority of the
races incorrectly.Spent plenty time on today's action and hopefully
can pull things back today.
Exeter
120 cant really give out a selection here as so many unexposed but
does look an interesting race,Highland valley is well thought off
by connections and won a bumper last season in good style whilst
shrew investment is also expected to improving considerably on his
form from last season.Daring origyn obviously showed up well last
time out and sets the standard in a race where a few may come from.
150 five star wilsham 1pt win 3/1 gen
There is one doubt for me with fsw and that is if this race comes
to soon after last weeks effort if it does not I think he wins as
he should reverse form with victors serenade and I expect he can
hold scotsbrook cloud despite him showing improved form recently.
220 Much will depend on how soft the ground really is here im
convinced watamu bay will show much improved form when he gets real
heavy ground but voaramar two had some high class hurdle form last
season and I would probably have this priced as fav here.I cant get
involved though and again looks a race to watch for the future.
250 Will be suprised if royal charm does not win this pretty
impressively stable think he is exciting for this season was looked
after last year for this campaign.
350 Mares novice hurdles are not really my thing but I dont think
this will take much winning if Im honest and it would not surprise
me to see a much improved run from calico rose who was staying on
5th in a bumper last season.At 20/1 it may be worth a small
investment but not one really I can put up with any confidence.
Lingfield
310 Got this between captain tidds and vinmix de bessy but little
value in there prices and both have doubts still in fitness first
time up.
340 just one thing 1/2pt e/w 10/1 gen with bog 12/1 is available
Doubts and claims can be made for plenty of these here sagredo
finds little at the end of his races and is to short but does have
the best form on offer.mister matt I think is going back chasing
and may need this outing but has been supported this morning.Kinsya
if settles better could see this out and on one hurdle run looks
well in.Carrig an uisce is likely to run his race but may find 1 or
2 better handicapped.Just beware really runs 2 races the same
whilst denton royal is interesting but I dont think I can be
backing a 3yold against experienced handicappers that has not
convinced with the trip yet. Just one thing comes with his own
doubts obviously fitness being one of them but he improved with
experience last season and with his jockey taking 7lbs of him today
I dont think he look to badly treated nice price for a horse with
some potential this season.
sedgfield
100 ebony river 3/4pt e/w 8/1 fred wh bog
this is moving as I expected it would forget last run to keen not
wound up.Stable like this one a lot and looked a massive price
this morning still respectably now and will be disappointed if he
does not go close.
300 No doubt cranky corner has ability and looked overpriced at
forecast however half that price this morning and I really respect
the chances of bale oshea here who comes over from irleand in good
form and has ideal conditions, fav and a short price for a handicap
but that price may look ok after this as I think there are major
doubts about plenty here.
330 well oiled 1/2pt e/w 7/1 gen
Im against best horse in a big way here as I dont think he is good
enough and is poor value.Troodos jet is respected but is no value
which leaves me with schinken otto and well oiled who both have
similar claims to tj.schinken otto may need genuine decent ground
to be at his best so preference is for the latter horse not much
between them though.
400 authentic act 1/2 pt e/w 7/1 gen
Dont give many a chance here and have this as a clear fav .Few
are shorter due to there unexposed or big trainers profile yet this
one has form in the book to go close today goes well round here and
no issues with ground as it stands.
Monday 8 November 2010
Busy monday
No joy yesterday.interesting days racing i'n what should be a excellent week.price are moving this morning on all my fancies and shame a couple more have not held up.still got to keep things brief sorry.
Southwell
1240 aboukir bay 1/2pt win 12/1gen
Has started to be supported.does not not look badly weighted on best form last season needed run recently over hurdles.
110 one more dinar 1/2pt ew 5/1 gen
Badly needed run last time but on run before that looks well handicapped Harry challenger back on board big run expected.
245 thought I had found a decent priced horse with a chance here untill I clicked on oddschecker this morning and found hot tottie priced at 5/1 obviously can't be touched at that price but expect her to go very close looks extremely well i'n on Exeter run last season.
Carlisle
120 does not look the best of novice chases I like papa Caruso here who showed up nicely on first run this season looks more a chasing type but has no form on heavy so has to be left
225 hockenheim 1/2pt ew 7/1 Fred lad bog
I would not want below 6/1 here if I'm honest 10/1rp was massive for a horse thy loves these conditions has a good course record and goes extremelly well fresh.diamond frontier sotovik far to short i'n these conditions.
300 1/2pt win hunters ploy 11/1 wh 365 bog
This is a little bit outside the box but all these horse come with big doubts.we have no idea on fitness for any of these.hey big spender may need shorter at this trip nice horse though.Massasoit is quirky.prince de beauchene looks to short on level of form shown.big fella thanks may need race more than rest which leaves me with hunters ploy who basically has plenty to find on form but no way should be this price most unexposed runner i'n race and stable gen has runners well forward and I worth a small bet.
330 like master Sebastian here but price as gone really it want looks a competitive little race
Southwell
1240 aboukir bay 1/2pt win 12/1gen
Has started to be supported.does not not look badly weighted on best form last season needed run recently over hurdles.
110 one more dinar 1/2pt ew 5/1 gen
Badly needed run last time but on run before that looks well handicapped Harry challenger back on board big run expected.
245 thought I had found a decent priced horse with a chance here untill I clicked on oddschecker this morning and found hot tottie priced at 5/1 obviously can't be touched at that price but expect her to go very close looks extremely well i'n on Exeter run last season.
Carlisle
120 does not look the best of novice chases I like papa Caruso here who showed up nicely on first run this season looks more a chasing type but has no form on heavy so has to be left
225 hockenheim 1/2pt ew 7/1 Fred lad bog
I would not want below 6/1 here if I'm honest 10/1rp was massive for a horse thy loves these conditions has a good course record and goes extremelly well fresh.diamond frontier sotovik far to short i'n these conditions.
300 1/2pt win hunters ploy 11/1 wh 365 bog
This is a little bit outside the box but all these horse come with big doubts.we have no idea on fitness for any of these.hey big spender may need shorter at this trip nice horse though.Massasoit is quirky.prince de beauchene looks to short on level of form shown.big fella thanks may need race more than rest which leaves me with hunters ploy who basically has plenty to find on form but no way should be this price most unexposed runner i'n race and stable gen has runners well forward and I worth a small bet.
330 like master Sebastian here but price as gone really it want looks a competitive little race
Sunday 7 November 2010
Sundays selections
Nice winner yesterday pulls a bit back for the month.
Few comments on yesterday.
Ashkazar ran a good race off a very fast pace as expected I think he can still win off his current mark.
Was nice to see kauto star win and I'm sure he will improve on that to me sizing europe needs to settle a little better still which I think is a possibility my bigger concern is i get the feeling he is a better horse going left handed.meanus dandy did the job but I don't really think he is one to follow far to many horses never jumped or travelled to me and I can see a few of the more staying types bouncing back to form next time.
General ting was to fresh really and did well to finish so close whilst alasi ran nothing close to her mark and obviously needed the outing.
Ffos las
320 money order 1/2pt ew 365 bog sj looks weak this morning and anything above 5/1 is fair to me.
Have this one clear on my ratings before jockeys claim comes into it.sjoukd have no issues with conditions the return is a little concerning as stable can be tricky to read but has gone well fresh and looks a little overpriced.
Hereford
305 ruthenoise 1pt win 3/1 wh 365 bog sj
Babilu was a Winner for me lto but needs softer ground to show his best form. Conditions look perfect for the selection and his stable do well these types I can see her improving slowly during season an wi not finish on this mark.far to fresh on reappearance but even repeating that run will see her go close yet we should see improvement as well.
340 like inside dealer here who showed much improved display last time 7/2 this morning is just to tight though so will just be watching.
November balance -2.40pts
Few comments on yesterday.
Ashkazar ran a good race off a very fast pace as expected I think he can still win off his current mark.
Was nice to see kauto star win and I'm sure he will improve on that to me sizing europe needs to settle a little better still which I think is a possibility my bigger concern is i get the feeling he is a better horse going left handed.meanus dandy did the job but I don't really think he is one to follow far to many horses never jumped or travelled to me and I can see a few of the more staying types bouncing back to form next time.
General ting was to fresh really and did well to finish so close whilst alasi ran nothing close to her mark and obviously needed the outing.
Ffos las
320 money order 1/2pt ew 365 bog sj looks weak this morning and anything above 5/1 is fair to me.
Have this one clear on my ratings before jockeys claim comes into it.sjoukd have no issues with conditions the return is a little concerning as stable can be tricky to read but has gone well fresh and looks a little overpriced.
Hereford
305 ruthenoise 1pt win 3/1 wh 365 bog sj
Babilu was a Winner for me lto but needs softer ground to show his best form. Conditions look perfect for the selection and his stable do well these types I can see her improving slowly during season an wi not finish on this mark.far to fresh on reappearance but even repeating that run will see her go close yet we should see improvement as well.
340 like inside dealer here who showed much improved display last time 7/2 this morning is just to tight though so will just be watching.
November balance -2.40pts
Saturday 6 November 2010
No further bets saturday
No further bets I've taken the 5/1 with sportingbet for asigh pearl 155 but it's only that price with them and is 3/1 i'n places so would be a little unfair to claim.do expect her to go very close though.
Sent from my iPhone
Sent from my iPhone
Saturday
Have no laptop at the moment so I'm sorry but things will e brief of the next few days from a write up side of things i still have all the tolls required to do my form studying so hopefully won't be much of an inconvenience to things.
Will be a further update for down royal
Once the bookies decide to price up.
Sandown
220 like alesandro Mantegna but non runner has taken it down to 7 runners and taken a fair chunk out the market
255 general ting 1pt each way 11/2 365 pp bog
Put this one up last time at Cheltenham ran a very eye catching race untill fitness/stamina ran out this stiff 2mile should suit even though I think the horse will need further i'n time .he is clearly weighted to win on his form shown so far and with the likely hood of further improvement I expect a big run.
Winc
140 alasi 1/2pt ew 5/1 gen
This to me is a 3 horse race all closely matched all could improve alasi shoul prob finish 2nd to keradi if they all run to form but we know things are never that simple and just looks a bet to nothing here
210
Nightmare race i want to e against Australia day which is my angle think he was flattered last tine and a bit of hype round him at the moment I have black jack blues clear despite the rise i'n the weights but I'm concerned with them all going to fast and setting this up for something like leslingtaylor.they would be my 2 against the field but I don't want to split stake due to there prices and I just can't find a angle to bet really at the moment.
320 meanus dandy 1/2pt ew 8/1 lad wh bog
This looks weighted to win a decent race.good record with jockey like the application of headgear an should have no issues with conditions. My danger I imcloudnine who showed improved form last time out an sable is i'n excellent form.
Will be a further update for down royal
Once the bookies decide to price up.
Sandown
220 like alesandro Mantegna but non runner has taken it down to 7 runners and taken a fair chunk out the market
255 general ting 1pt each way 11/2 365 pp bog
Put this one up last time at Cheltenham ran a very eye catching race untill fitness/stamina ran out this stiff 2mile should suit even though I think the horse will need further i'n time .he is clearly weighted to win on his form shown so far and with the likely hood of further improvement I expect a big run.
Winc
140 alasi 1/2pt ew 5/1 gen
This to me is a 3 horse race all closely matched all could improve alasi shoul prob finish 2nd to keradi if they all run to form but we know things are never that simple and just looks a bet to nothing here
210
Nightmare race i want to e against Australia day which is my angle think he was flattered last tine and a bit of hype round him at the moment I have black jack blues clear despite the rise i'n the weights but I'm concerned with them all going to fast and setting this up for something like leslingtaylor.they would be my 2 against the field but I don't want to split stake due to there prices and I just can't find a angle to bet really at the moment.
320 meanus dandy 1/2pt ew 8/1 lad wh bog
This looks weighted to win a decent race.good record with jockey like the application of headgear an should have no issues with conditions. My danger I imcloudnine who showed improved form last time out an sable is i'n excellent form.
Friday 5 November 2010
Friday - no bet
Both selections ran good races with one beaten on the line yesterday.no selections for me today had a luck at the racing last night but nothing really stands out so will be taking a break today.
Thursday 4 November 2010
Thursday
Yesterdays selection was well supported yet again but ran no race jumping really let him down from an early stage.
2 selections today tight on time so analysis brief but just concentrating on these 2 races so hopefully will get a result today.
Haydock
205 maktu 1/2pt ew 7/1gen with bog bookmakers bigger us available
Had this as fav i'n my Market.improved with racing last year I think mark is ok no issue with conditions.
240 dr livingstone 1/2pt ew 11/1 vc coral bog 12/1 Boyle
Quirky sort but weighted to win on his best form and stable i'n cracking firm at the moment any further rain will suit.
2 selections today tight on time so analysis brief but just concentrating on these 2 races so hopefully will get a result today.
Haydock
205 maktu 1/2pt ew 7/1gen with bog bookmakers bigger us available
Had this as fav i'n my Market.improved with racing last year I think mark is ok no issue with conditions.
240 dr livingstone 1/2pt ew 11/1 vc coral bog 12/1 Boyle
Quirky sort but weighted to win on his best form and stable i'n cracking firm at the moment any further rain will suit.
Wednesday 3 November 2010
Wednesday
No joy yesterday All the selections were generally well supported and ran ok races so as long as I keep beating the Market like that then things should be ok.ace high looks one for the future but will probably be a short price next time.it will be interesting to see where somersby goes now It looks like it's the tingle creek then I expect a step up i'n trip which is then likely to show us if we have a top class horse.
Today's cards are full of big fields and unexposed types found the one horse to have a go with that just looks over priced this morning
200war vasodilator 1/2pt ew 9/1bog 365 hills
This is closely matched with the fav here and even though he is more unexposed I can't see why these won't finish near each other the step back i'n trip will suit didn't stay last time and ground should be no issue.mm takes an extra 5lbof this time and he just looks overpriced.
Running total November -4.05pts
Today's cards are full of big fields and unexposed types found the one horse to have a go with that just looks over priced this morning
200war vasodilator 1/2pt ew 9/1bog 365 hills
This is closely matched with the fav here and even though he is more unexposed I can't see why these won't finish near each other the step back i'n trip will suit didn't stay last time and ground should be no issue.mm takes an extra 5lbof this time and he just looks overpriced.
Running total November -4.05pts
Tuesday 2 November 2010
Tuesday
Plenty of interest today in what looks a good card.
135 ace high 1/2pt e/w 12/1 coral bog , sb
Front 3 obviously likely to be fighting out the finish here but all are priced up accordingly and all come with serious doubts.Ace high firstly showed a similar level of form to mr Hudson in his sole bumper run, He is certain to appreciate this extra distance and the stable generally does well with its runners around here and usually bring a nice horse to this meeting.
235 somersby 2pt win 9/4 gen now
This is going to be run at some pace I think which as long as hadden frost does not panic and gets his mount jumping then I can see this being set up perfectly.I really think Somersby will take high rank as a chaser this season and will be very disappointed if he cant win this on these favourable terms despite being his first run of the season,Price is getting a bit tight but I had this priced up shorter still and lets hope he can change my luck with the shorter priced selections.
305
I want to be with phidippides but whilst writing up this morning the 3/1 has gone its now 9/4 gen which is just to tight for race like this.If he does drift later then I will be backing this horse probably to around 1pt on my staking as simply I think this is a very exciting novice chaser for the season and has been looked after for this campaign.Qozak would be the main danger over rock noir. I will try to update if I back this selection later.
335 clyffe hanger 1/2pt e/w 10/1 gen with the bog bookmakers
Vamizi and swing bill should run there races but I cant see much else in this.clyffe hanger may look like a odd selection as he has not won for years but he showed plenty last time until staying on one paced likes the course and despite a rise in the weights still looks on a nice chase mark.At the price I think he looks a nice value price against a few others in the market who have big doubts.
405 dingat 1/2pt e/w 13/2 fred vc coral bog
Stuck between 2 here the selection and johns gift Im going with the class angle from dingats last run and also concerned johns gift is looking a bit difficult to win with.Plenty unexposed in this but these are the ones I like taking on and the selection has the best form to offer in this race and still has some scope to improve over this trip.
Monday 1 November 2010
Monday
Good days racing in what looks like it could be an ok week 2 selections to start the month.
Kempton
130 molanna view looks a nice type and stable are in good form at the moment emma lavelle places here horses very well and is still an underrated trainer at the moment.Looks certain to appreciate this extra distance and I expect him to run a lot sharper race than last time out.3/1 is a bit tight though with many other potential improver's in the race.
240 always bold 1/2pt e/w 9/1 lad boyle pp bog (is being supported)
This looks a nice race working title is far to short on a 12lb higher Mark and no claim this time out.
Kings forest could run well back at kempton but im not convinced with him overall.Alderlucks record fresh and around kempton is clear for everyone to see and would go down as my main danger to the selection.Always bold has not enjoyed his time over fences but back over hurdles off a light weight here im hoping the horse bounces back to form if he does he is clearly weighted to take this.his best form has been shown on a sharpishright handed track like kempton,no issues with ground and I see the blinkers as a positive.
310 will be fascinating to see how riverside theatre gets on but not a betting race
420 I like mayberry here with the jockey taking extra weight off.Im concerned about here jumping though and at 4/1 she looks to short.
Plumpton
155 dormouse 1/2pt e/w 6/1 365 chand bog 13/1 sj
switched off could be well in here but your getting 7/4 about a horse who you are backing on potential to translate flat form to hurdles and more of these I tend to find don't over the season.A few others who are potential improver's but I like dormouse here who has ran 2 good races recently since cheekpieces have been
added.I have him top rated on form shown and with his jockey taking a few extra lbs off I can see him going close.
Kempton
130 molanna view looks a nice type and stable are in good form at the moment emma lavelle places here horses very well and is still an underrated trainer at the moment.Looks certain to appreciate this extra distance and I expect him to run a lot sharper race than last time out.3/1 is a bit tight though with many other potential improver's in the race.
240 always bold 1/2pt e/w 9/1 lad boyle pp bog (is being supported)
This looks a nice race working title is far to short on a 12lb higher Mark and no claim this time out.
Kings forest could run well back at kempton but im not convinced with him overall.Alderlucks record fresh and around kempton is clear for everyone to see and would go down as my main danger to the selection.Always bold has not enjoyed his time over fences but back over hurdles off a light weight here im hoping the horse bounces back to form if he does he is clearly weighted to take this.his best form has been shown on a sharpishright handed track like kempton,no issues with ground and I see the blinkers as a positive.
310 will be fascinating to see how riverside theatre gets on but not a betting race
420 I like mayberry here with the jockey taking extra weight off.Im concerned about here jumping though and at 4/1 she looks to short.
Plumpton
155 dormouse 1/2pt e/w 6/1 365 chand bog 13/1 sj
switched off could be well in here but your getting 7/4 about a horse who you are backing on potential to translate flat form to hurdles and more of these I tend to find don't over the season.A few others who are potential improver's but I like dormouse here who has ran 2 good races recently since cheekpieces have been
added.I have him top rated on form shown and with his jockey taking a few extra lbs off I can see him going close.
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