Tuesday 9 November 2010

Tuesday

Bit disappointed with yesterday as for the first time since
starting the blog I feel I actually read a large majority of the
races incorrectly.Spent plenty time on today's action and hopefully
can pull things back today.

Exeter

120 cant really give out a selection here as so many unexposed but
does look an interesting race,Highland valley is well thought off
by connections and won a bumper last season in good style whilst
shrew investment is also expected to improving considerably on his
form from last season.Daring origyn obviously showed up well last
time out and sets the standard in a race where a few may come from.

150 five star wilsham 1pt win 3/1 gen

There is one doubt for me with fsw and that is if this race comes
to soon after last weeks effort if it does not I think he wins as
he should reverse form with victors serenade and I expect he can
hold scotsbrook cloud despite him showing improved form recently.
220 Much will depend on how soft the ground really is here im
convinced watamu bay will show much improved form when he gets real
heavy ground but voaramar two had some high class hurdle form last
season and I would probably have this priced as fav here.I cant get
involved though and again looks a race to watch for the future.

250 Will be suprised if royal charm does not win this pretty
impressively stable think he is exciting for this season was looked
after last year for this campaign.

350 Mares novice hurdles are not really my thing but I dont think
this will take much winning if Im honest and it would not surprise
me to see a much improved run from calico rose who was staying on
5th in a bumper last season.At 20/1 it may be worth a small
investment but not one really I can put up with any confidence.

Lingfield

310 Got this between captain tidds and vinmix de bessy but little
value in there prices and both have doubts still in fitness first
time up.

340 just one thing 1/2pt e/w 10/1 gen with bog 12/1 is available

Doubts and claims can be made for plenty of these here sagredo
finds little at the end of his races and is to short but does have
the best form on offer.mister matt I think is going back chasing
and may need this outing but has been supported this morning.Kinsya
if settles better could see this out and on one hurdle run looks
well in.Carrig an uisce is likely to run his race but may find 1 or
2 better handicapped.Just beware really runs 2 races the same
whilst denton royal is interesting but I dont think I can be
backing a 3yold against experienced handicappers that has not
convinced with the trip yet. Just one thing comes with his own
doubts obviously fitness being one of them but he improved with
experience last season and with his jockey taking 7lbs of him today
I dont think he look to badly treated nice price for a horse with
some potential this season.

sedgfield

100 ebony river 3/4pt e/w 8/1 fred wh bog

this is moving as I expected it would forget last run to keen not
wound up.Stable like this one a lot and looked a massive price
this morning still respectably now and will be disappointed if he
does not go close.

300 No doubt cranky corner has ability and looked overpriced at
forecast however half that price this morning and I really respect
the chances of bale oshea here who comes over from irleand in good
form and has ideal conditions, fav and a short price for a handicap
but that price may look ok after this as I think there are major
doubts about plenty here.

330 well oiled 1/2pt e/w 7/1 gen

Im against best horse in a big way here as I dont think he is good
enough and is poor value.Troodos jet is respected but is no value
which leaves me with schinken otto and well oiled who both have
similar claims to tj.schinken otto may need genuine decent ground
to be at his best so preference is for the latter horse not much
between them though.

400 authentic act 1/2 pt e/w 7/1 gen

Dont give many a chance here and have this as a clear fav .Few
are shorter due to there unexposed or big trainers profile yet this
one has form in the book to go close today goes well round here and
no issues with ground as it stands.

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