Wednesday, 16 March 2011

How many more Irish Winners???

Unlucky not to come out with 2 winners again with rock on ruby just not holding on ,Sizing Europe was my long term fancy for the queen mother and won well in the end nice when things work out like that and not much damage done on the day at all.

Jewson

Tricky start to the day mr garnder and robinson colonges look 2 both worth taking on and im also not to keen on any off the outsiders here.This leaves three but if im honest I cant split them wishful thinking has the best form according rpr but I think that may flatter him a little as a few ran below there best that day he does jump well though and is a worthy fav.Im a big fan of noble prince and have been waiting for the day they that he steps up in trip over fences on decent ground , ap should get on well with him and there is little to put me of his chances however 5/1 is a bit tight.Loosen my load is probably the value as there was a lot to like about his Cheltenham run over 2 miles in November,he tried to give ghizao weight that day and was just found out in the end by the trip and ground.Today he has perfect conditions , stable are flying this week and looks the best value now.

Pertemps

Respect both sivota and chatreux but single figure prices and they have not got that much in hand I don’t think.Alfie spinner Is probably still improving and is also respected but I have marginal prefrence for rivage dor who finally put it all together lto the quicker ground should not be a problem and im expecting a good showing again.Kay aramis loves Cheltenham and has his conditions again previous winner is back on a nice mark now and looks rock solid to be involved.Finally I want to have a small bet on queiros bleu as he may have just been lined up for this from a long way out and if some money comes then I may go in again.

Ryanair

Albertas run was my biggest pay out at last years festival and should run his race again this year if bouncing back to form, Poquelin is rock solid but no price really and jvyole has little to find with them on last years running of this race. Rubi light is an improver may not appreciate the ground but I will be covering my stake with him.

Stayers

Big bucks should win I think on this ground, not keen on the irish pair or grand crus now sure he needs softer to be at his best and price far to short if anything making big bucks a fair price and I may combine him with a 2 or 3 in jewson and ryanir as they don’t look to competitive.Zayanar and celestial halo are both proven on ground conditions and both won at previous festivals should not be the prices they are currently.

Plate

Quartz de thaix respected and prefer to aigle dor but neither proifile convincing.Matuhi will like conditions and can see him being held on to a little longer this time still ahs a good race in him.Gansey not ran well at previous festivals and intresting conections are bringing him back again could still be well treated on.2 I like at prices are bible lord who is a good horse when putting everything together and also aimigayle who is a tough mare who will be suited to these conditions needed run lto and well treated on old form.

Kim muir

Billie magern looks well treated here form has been franked should go well nice type for this race I think.Burren legend comes to himself this time of year loves decent ground and is well overpriced.Also give minella theatre and sherrif hutton chances but worried about them seeing the trip out.

Multiple

Loosen my load jewson
Jyvole ryanair
Big bucks stayers

½ pt each way treble

Jewson novice chase

1pt each way Loosen my load 7/1 gen bog

Pertemps

1pt each way Rivage dor 11/1 365 5places
1/2 pt each way Kayf aramis 20/1 365 5 places
1/2 pt each way Queiros bleu 33/1 365 5 places



Ryanair

1pt each way jyvole 7/1 gen bog

World hurdle

1/2pt each way Zaynar 20/1 365 bog
1/2pt each way Celestial halo 40/1 365 bog


Byrne group plate

1/2pt each way Gansey 25/1 vc bog
1/2pt each way Matuhi 25/1 vc bog
¼ pt each way Aimigayle 40/1 sj

Kim muir

1/2pt each way Billie Magern 20/1 boyle 5 places
1/2pt each way Burren legend 33/1 365 5 places

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