Todays allready looking like its going to be a difficult day I had at least 3 more selctions planned today and apartman at wetherby was likely to be fairly well staked but in the time of writing up and going through oddschecker once more I see the price has crashed from 16/1 into 9/1 gen now.There have been smaller moves in prices on a couple more this morning and Id rather wait now untill this afternoon and hope a couple maybe drift out if it tipping services that are putting these up then maybe a chance this could happen.Anyway Ive ended up with just the one flat selection on a horse I selected last time out.
Flat Selection
4.00hay charlie cool 1/2pt each way 9/1 gen bog
2.00weth
winter alchemy makes a fair bit of appeal here showed enough over a trip to short for him over hurdles and it was no suprise to see him well supported on chase debut last time when stepped up in distance.Things did not really go to plan that day with him eventually unseating his rider.Back over hurldes now in a easier race I think he should go close little value as a 5/1 shot in a race of this nature though.
4.15weth
Well this is the most frustrating one of day that ive missed apartman has not shown a great deal since winning a juvenile event a couple of seasons he was outclassed after that win and then clearly did not take to fences,back with his old stable he started to show a lot more promise last time out over 1/2mile further leading untill 2 out before finding the trip to much.That was a much more promising effort and I expect him to race handily today and I expect a big run.
4.45weth
I was tempted to put dawn ride up today back round wetherby but having another look at things I think his jumpings getting worse and despite the excellent brian hughes on board again im not totally convinced hes value at his current odds.
1.50hay
I always keep a close on the easterby horses and silvery moon showed enough promise last time to suggest it would be only a matter of time before he would be taking a handicap or 2.It was priced a couple of points bigger this morning and its no suprise to see him being supported.Theres a chance he could be better over further and maybe also want slighlty easier ground and whilst Id have been happy taking the chace at a double figure price im not at his odds now.
4.00hay
No suprise here and charlie cool is an easy selection hes running back into form now and is on a winnable mark,showed more agin lto and its intresting connections have him in at ripon as well in a few days a course that suits well.The faster they go the better today and a good pace looks likely.
6.30sal
Philip makin does with fillies and especially sprint ones and he seems to have sweetend adventure story up looking at her run lto.It will not suprise me to see her go close but she does not look that well treated to warrant support at 5/1.
8.15sal
Im sure I had seen deceptive priced at 6/1 in a place this morning but its no suprise to see that did not last.No doubt he is going to end up better than this mark and also this trip is going to help bring out some more improvement today.9/2 is a little to short for a horse that has plenty to learn still and may find 1 or 2 more streetwise today.
8.45sal
I think there are worse 6/4 shots than experimentalist whilst plenty of these have the potential still to improve I dont think they have shown enough to warrant marks around 70 and the main danger for me has now actually been withdrawn.This looks easier than lto and he should improve on that showing anyway.
I agree with you that Charlie Cool has a good chance in todays race, as he'll get the strong pace he needs, and he's coming into form (as he did this time last year).
ReplyDeleteI haven't put him up as a selection tho' (see my blog at http://waywardlad.blogspot.com/) as I think this race is just too competitive and I was hoping to get longer odds than 9/1.
All the best.