Tuesday, 20 September 2011

Tuesday - Newton Abbott

Well Sunday did not really go to plan in the end despite finding one winner from the 4 selections.It was a similar story to the the blog selections last seasons with price changes on one selection meaning I wanted to get the blog posted up quickly and then non runners confusing matters further. Lets hope for an improvement today.

Advised Selections

2.10 newton abbott combustable lady 1pt each way 12/1 gen bog
4.10 newton abbott transvestite 3/4pt each way 10/1 gen bog
4.40 newton abbott wait no more 2pt win 11/2 gen bog
5.10 newton abbott another katie 2pt win 5/1 vc pp bog

2.10
Dream function looks the obvious place to start and id have preference for her over the ones with penalties who all look beatable.Combustible lady showed enough promise lto staying on through beaten horses from a long way back despite not having a hard time of things.That will have probably been a good experience for the mare and this slightly longer trip looks in her favour, she looks like she can out run her odds here.
2.40
Im sure there will be plenty happy to oppose nearby today as he obviously has not ran upto expectations yet over fences however his 2 runs so far are easily better than what his opposistion today have achieved and at evens+ id rather be with than against.
3.10
Bobs law is likely to have plenty use made of him but I can still see him getting caught out here back in trip round a course like this and with him now trading around the 5/4 mark id certainly be against. Of the Tim Vaughan pair I prefer the big freeze who managed to win a bumper round here lto despite looking in need of further,a nice enough type he should take to hurdling well.Run along boy is the other obvious one who is having his first run in this country he looks just the type dougie Costello does well on I think he potentially has a little more speed than a few of these and im sure he will come the travelling well and trade shorter in running,what he finds under pressure is open to question but he would be my choice in a tighter race than the market suggests.
3.40
I was keen on qhilimar last night but after halving in odds early today the race looks best left alone now
4.10
0-19 over hurdles and plenty of seconds is not really the obvious winner finding profile but so many of these have doubts about them for whatever reason and I just think at the prices Transvestite looks worth a small investment.
4.40
Wait no more has been running pretty consistently recently and should again be able to dictyate matters here.3 of his main opponents are all coming back from a breaks and id be happy to ta take gunner rose on looking for the hat trick.nesnaas has been a little out of sorts recently but may just able to travel better over this trip now and could be involved at decent odds.
5.10
4 recent winners here and 2 round this course but if the same Another kate turns up here today im sure she is going to take some beating,she looked last time to have plenty more progression in her and I don’t think the 8lb rise looks to unfair.caddie master is the other who is likely to be open to improvement but looks priced around connections.

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