Thursday 22 September 2011

Thursday

Soubriquet lost the battle for the lead early on and never really looked comfortable after that,the winner did it well but id be surprised if he can win again for a while now.No real strong views on the perth card today the novice chase obviously looks a pretty decent race with champion court making his chase debut after reportedly schooled well.No doubt he will end being the best of these longterm but I just get the impression he may struggle a little today against 2 horses that may just be a little more forward than him.
Advised Selections
5.00 fairyhouse first beauty 3/4pt each way 16/1 gen bog
I have to say this does not look the easiest race to solve but there are a couple here who have been hit pretty hard for recent wins where things have gone there way and at single figure prices they look worth taking on.
The selection finished behind black rock lake lto round Downpatrick but the winner that day looked a lot happier round the tricky course there and also arguably stole the race under a decent paul townend ride.Back on a more conventional track and with a decent enough weight turn around im hopeful first beauty can reverse that form.There is a case that she may need a little further but as long as they go a decent enough pace early and shes prominent when the pace quickens its should be no issue.
Running balance  -8.7pts

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