Thursday 7 April 2011

Thursday

Advised Selections

230 aintree Palawi 1/2pt each way 25/1 pp bog

340 aintree moncadou 3/4pt each way 11/1.  365 bog

415 aintree begars cap 1/2pt each way 25/1 365 bog

525 aintree patese 3/4pt each way 11/1  inventor 1/2pt each way 33/1both 365 bog




2.00 Great to see big bucks and grand crus take each other on again I dont know why but big bucks does not seem to run so well here and it would not suprise me to see grand crus just get the upperhand this time.A race to sit back an enjoy though.

2.30 Again nice to see zarkander and grandeout taking each other on.I think the truimph can take plenty out of a horse though and it would not suprise me to see a couple of these run below that form.Im intrested in palawi at a price has taken time to come to himself over hurdles but has improved recently solid win lto at stratford very well suited by this type of course and conditions look ideal could see him take some catching from front.

3.05 This looks like denmans race to lose if im honest,if he does not run his race the I expect caroles legacy will be the likely one to take advantage dont think there is much value in the price though.

3.40
I think baby run will struggle over these fences with his inexperienced jockey you could see what was going to happen at cheltenham before it did.turko has fallen over these as well so happy to take him on as well at current odds.Moncadou has been aimed at this all season again comes here fresh and well with solid previous experience and stands out for me.Fort view is a nice improveing type which cant be said about most of these and I will be having a small saver.


415 leos lucky star has the perfect profile of previous winners and looks to be progressing well.solid run lto and should be more to come over a track which will suit him more than cheltenham.The other pipe horse is the problem here as mamlook despite being out the weights could be well treated with decnet jockey taking 5lbs off.Showed he was getting his act together over fences last time and likely more to come now.both are not value at there prices though so of the bigger priced runners I give beggars cap a decent chance won over this cd and comes here fresher than most.is out the weights but he is the most likely to cause a surprise for me. I cant have sports line not shown enough this season dont like the nicholls pair at the prices,im deliah can make mistakes whilst oiseau de nuit will probably struggle now of this mark.

5.25
pateese has been a solid performer this season and there could be more to come now stepped up in trip over a sharp course looks betetr treated then the horses around him and his run in the imperial cup looks rock solid.inventor is a little more risky but if he jumps well i can see him going well at decent price.tongue tie on likes course trip should suit now and on a fair mark if putting it all together.

1 comment:

  1. Glad to see we've both gone for PALAWI, tho' I'm going to play the "place-only" market.

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