Im currently trying to get as much work done for cheltenham and my time currently is largely being spent foccussing around that.A few may have noticed the pages added on the blog for the festival and im hopefull of having some of my thoughts for the championship races posted on there over this coming weekend.With this in mind im limited on the top im spending on the daily racing,It will be a lot quiter for me in the next couple of weeks but I will be trying to fit in the better grade races and any of my noted horses.
1 race of interest today at taunton with a small selection.
Advised Selections
3.40 Taunton Spear thistle 1/2pt win 16/1 vc bog
Im keen to take the likely fav on here in the shape of Iolith.Hes an unexposed novice who is held in some regard by alan king and the feeling is he is going to turn out a lot better than his current mark,whilst I dont disagree with this he is very short this morning who has plenty to find on the form book taking on some decent solid handicappers.Organisteur was a selection for me lto but for me was beaten before the trip became an issue,we could see him bounce back to form today but hes had a few runs this season now and although he is intresting from a ratings perspective with his jockey taking off 10lbs im not certain he will run to his mark at the moment.Ciceron has been raised 9lbs for his last victory and this does look a little on the harsh side however that was a cd handicap of similar grade and he sets the standard here and is likely to run his race,It needs another career best to win though and 3/1 is poor value.numide is a horse ive got wrong this season when winning 2 runs ago but im sure he needs very testing ground now and has his own idea about things.Spear thistle is intresting here the negatives are he is racing from out the handicap and has to race of a slighlty higher mark than hge has won off previously.on his day though he is a hard horse to pass when getting his way in front, his record in smaller fields is good and I can see his jockey pushing on and trying to make plenty use of the horses stamina today.The ground has nopw turned on the soft side and anymore rain will help.Theres a couple of ways you can play this race for me laying iolith would be one at around 2/1 or below, I also think there is a decent angle in backing spear thistle then laying off in running.The latter is my likely play but for blog purposes its a small win bet.
Running balance Febuary + 22.95 pts
Hi,
ReplyDeleteI have added you to my blog links. Thanks for your support in highlighting HCE.
Regards,
Jason
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