Saturday Early Thoughts

Early selections

Champion hurdle 1pt each way walkon 33/1 bet365 non runner no bet
3.35 newbury Drill sergant 1/2pt each way 40/1 365 5 places bog
3.35 newbury Tarkari 3/4pt each way 25/1 365 pp 5 places bog

Newbury
1.20
This looks to be between the top 2 on hurdles form shown and it will also be interesting to see how the highly rated flat horse oasis knight gets on especially as he receives up to 10lbs from his main 2 rivals. Kid Cassidy has 2 rock solid runs round this course even if there is an argument to say he did not progress as expected last time out and sets the standard and despite having to give weight away looks sure to be involved. AL ferof is receiving weight from his main opponent and its interesting connections are dropping him back in distance here, for me things have not really gone to plane so far for him over hurdles but he likes it round here and he is my idea of the winner receiving weight from kc.
1.55
Sangfroid is the benchmark horse here for me and helps me analysis the race through my ratings he’s not out of it either today but his consistency makes it very difficult for him to win.Ackertrac needs to find some improvement to win this that’s not probably out of the question but my call would be to take him on. awesome Freddie and no principles all unexposed and could show more again however they are all up in grade and 2 are racing off much higher marks than winning lto and would rather be against these. Valentine vic is interesting and not totally out of it from this mark for me, I don’t know a great deal about the horse but it looks like he has had a few problems and I do recall him having a breathing problem, it will be interesting to see what the early morning vibes are. The shortlist for me at the time of writing are warnes way , sir keezbah and cappagh.Warnes way has ran funny races the last 2 occasions losing ground both times before then staying on to good effect, I think he is up to this grade of race and its interesting connections now step him up in trip his best form has come when there is plenty of give in the ground and that has to be slight worry. Sir keezbah looks generally exposed but his latest 2 runs for me are both pieces of rock solid handicap form for this level, the 3 mile looks an interesting option now and his racing style suggest this will not be a problem decent claimer taking 7lbs off is sure to help and I can see him running well. Cappagh looks on a fair mark here on the overall balance of his form looks unexposed as a hurdler over this trip still and despite me thinking he has to have a few things drop right for him you can hardly argue with his win to run record.
2.25
I can see this being a true test with both ogee and fair along taking each other on at the front of the field here.Id hope ogee runs a respectably race as im sure he has a race in him at the right level but he will more than likely be outclassed here near the finish. What a friend is the most solid horse for me as he has the most solid profile over this trip he has to give weight to an unexposed type though in riverside theatre that for me was always going to improve over this trip. Kempton clearly suits him well but there is nothing to suggest he is just a Kempton specialist for me and receiving weight he is going to be a hard horsed to beat. The only other for me worth mentioning is noland as it would not surprise me to see him return to form here and if he does you have to say he holds claims receiving weight from his main 2 opponents. I think he has shown enough over shorter distances on heavy ground to suggest this trip on decent ground will not be a problem and the issue is obviously more about his current form. A small play on noland his current odds could be the call for me.
3.00
With woolcombe folly coming out of this the race has now opened up considerably. French opera is now fav and with the ground now much more in his favour you have to expect a big showing and he looks the one to beat. Cornas is a likeable type but I think last time out was his day and he may just struggle giving weight away now. It’s not impossible to think thcicho polis is going to be ridden very positively with ap on board and make this a solid test he has ran well on left handed course but for me he is at is best going right handed and I don’t think a solid test will cause a problem to French opera either and he did beat tp at ayr over 20f last season.Oiseau de nuit is a horse I had decent hopes for at the start of the season but he has not really gone on as expected I would not rule him out in small field but he does have it to prove at the moment. Sport line is interesting here for me especially with Timmy murphy taking over on a horse who I think will suit his style of riding he had some decent from in Ireland last season and although he does not always find a great deal he could still be a little unexposed at this level. Imsingingtheblues has ran respectably in races this season that he has had little chance of winning he was unsuited by the ground lto and receiving weight today he also comes into it for me.In summary at the moment this looks more open than the market suggests and it would not surprise me to see one of the so called outsiders go close with French opera being the most likely winner from the head of the market.
3.35
Now doesn’t this look simple. This is my type of race I love trying to solve, the shortlist for me is in no particular order is walkon, the betchworth kid , tarkari , drill sergeant , and rebel dancer.The betchworth kid and rebel dancer meet here a couple of runs back on similar terms and that is the price of form which says to me they can both involved again here.Tbk may be slightly better suited by the way this is likely to be ran and he could come out on top this time but it would be a marginal call.Drill sergant is likely to try and get on with things from the front which is going to be some task in a race of this nature, he was unsuited by the trip and riding style lto and I do think even though he has his own idea about things he is on fair mark for a horse of his ability.henry brooke is not a bad 7lb claimer and he can make this light weight I can see him running better than his odds suggest.Tarkari is joint top rated on my figures here, for me he is an ideal type for this race as he is best coming off a very fast pace,Maybe a little flattered by his run last week but his overall profile suggest he is ahead of the handicapper for me.Walkon is a horse Im a big fan off,top class juvenile who returned this season with an excellent run at ascot.I cant see connections risking him here if he was not hundred percent,trainer expected him to improve from last time,this race will be run to suit and this tough type is a rock solid favourite for me here.
4.05
Poor turnout as often is the case in novice chases this time of year. Aiteen thirtythree is a horse going places for me and I would be looking no further.
Leopardstown
1.10
Indain daudale and unaccompanied have to improve again obviously this is likely but id rather be against at the prices.sailors warn did things nicely lto has no issue with these conditions and for me has the best form here.chaperoned could run a better race then her odds suggest especially if this is ran at a strong pace.
1.45
This is a more suitable test for mikeal d` haguenet and I expect him to bounce back to form and take this.
2.45
Plenty of unexposed potential improvers here zaidpour is a nice prospect but far to short for me overall form is good but needs to improve again.hidden universe is interesting but is another priced up on connections and has to improve again. Shot from the hip was a big fancy for me in chelt bumper last season and has slowly improved over hurdles he is a classy horse on his day and I could see him being involved however the one that stands out for me at the moment is Oscars well who is 2 from 3 this season and has not stopped improveing with every run.Lto he won easily again and comes here for me with the best form the drop back in trip should be ok on this very testing ground and I expect him to go close.
3.15
Not much between a few of these which makes joncol a bad price and money trix the value out the front 2.Would be really nice to the listener run a good race here and he has not got to find a great deal on his run lto to be involved.Should be fitter today and he and money trix looks the best at the odds.
3.50
Competitive handicap 2 that stand out for me are sounds of Jupiter and might be magic who are very closely matched on there recent runs.mutaderak was a selection lto but has more on his plate today and with sounds of Jupiter now being having a 5lb claimer on board he would be my choice.
Warwick
1.40
The quantum kid showed up well for a good while when looking like needing the run a step up on that form is needed but he is unexposed and a good run would not surprise.
2.10
Few of these have chances on there best for fiendish flame is genrally consistent and this looks a more suitable test today.
2.40
Finnians rainbow is the obvious one but it would not surprise me to see stagecoach pearl run him close here.
3.10
Red mile is a noted horse for me and im sure there are races in him off this mark.calpsyo bay is the solid one and should be thereabouts.
3.45
Alfie sherrin will need to be near his best to give weight to a couple of these,he is a nice unexposed type tough who is well suited to this trip.
4.20 little between the emma lavelle horses here and tey should both be involved.penny max should enjoy the step up in trip and is preferred.
4.55
Interesting bumper elegant touch sets the form standard but theatre guide is well though off by connections and should go well.