Thursday 24 February 2011

Thursday

Little interest for me at Ayr today but thurles and huntingdon both have something to offer. The opening race at thurles should go to quiscover fontaine who looks favourably treated at these weights the rp forecast of 15/8 got me very interested last night but in reality it was never likely to be available this morning and is now more a gen 4/6 shot. Later in the card bishopfurze is trying to get some more experience over hurdles as so far he has been less than convincing in his style, there are a couple more here that are still improving and he is no sure fire winner for me today. The card at Huntingdon has a mix of decent grade novice events and competitive handicaps, the obvious starting point is with starluck making his debut over fences, it will be very interesting to see how he gets on here and he has been supported this last couple of days since the news of ap riding for the arkle, I’d much rather make a decision after seeing the horse jump and have to take shorter odds than getting involved beforehand. My opinion of minella class at the moment is he just won’t be suited to Cheltenham on what I’ve seen so far he is more of a traditional winter horse, that view may change today as I do like the impression captain kirkton has made this season and this will be a decent test today. Going for one selection today in the novice handicap it’s not my most confident selection ever made and probably not the most likely winner of the race but on the balance of things he looks more than fair value.

Advised Selections

2.30 hunt Easton clump 1/2pt e/w 11/1 vc bog

230 hunt
Thuderstorm the likely fav could be very well treated here, there are plenty of ifs and buts though and he has got to step up dramatically on what he has shown so far, I’ll take these types on every day of the week as his price is all about connections and potential. Laterly has showed promise on his runs over hurdles but again the mark is not exactly generous and whilst again could improve especially with his solid flat form he needs to be opposed until showing more at current odds. Mayolyn beat the selection lto at level weights now EC is weighted to turn that form around today, there is a doubt about EC needed a stiffer test but is that a bigger enough doubt to have such a big price gap, for me it’s not and it would not surprise me to see connections make plenty use of him today and try to make this a decent test, he could just be hard to peg back.

440 hunt
I expect today maybe the day for me fein here, showed promise on one run at this course over hurdles then had 3 runs on heavy ground this drying ground should suit and of bottom weight in a low grade it could be his day today. Can’t start putting these types up though as so much does depend on the market support and there are couple more most notably drummers drumming who could also be lined up for big improvement now

No comments:

Post a Comment