Tuesday, 15 February 2011

Tuesday

Low grade racing today had a good look through the cards though and going with 2 small selections not over confident about either but think prices are fair on both.

Advised Selections
3.10 Newcastle Tooman lane 1/2pt win 15/2 vc bog
4.40 Newcastle Tinseltown 1/2pt each way 8/1 pp bog

Folkestone
3.30 giant o murchu is interesting prospects in a weak race from a good stable price has gone this morning though but expect a good run.
4.30 felt a few of these could be competitive here and its look a tough little handicap to solve for the grade captain smoothly would probably be the most likely winner for me but I would be surprised to see Thompson run better than his odds suggest as on bits of his form he does look fairly treated.
Newcastle
1.40 luck sunny should be fav here for me showed enough in recent runs to suggest can win a race of this grade and no issue with conditions for me.
2.10 catholic hill could run a race here may be flattered on his run lto but current mark does look a winnable one.6/1 not really the price im after though when you have a few with claims.
3.10 tooman lane is a bit of a risky one here and I get the feeling we will know the fate here soon into the race. Showed nothing really on his debut run in this country but it is most likely he needed that outing badly, these conditions are the ones he did well in when raced in Ireland and on the pick of his form he looks a well-treated horse if able to bounce back to form.
3.40 kings chrosister im sure can win a race of his current mark in the form he is in at the moment, however he has decent lord to beat here which is going to be very difficult and kc is not the most straightforward so little value at the moment.
4.10 itsteescomponents looks the most likely winner for me has been brought along slowly I think this season, showed a bit more lto course distance winner and looks on a fair mark now.
4.40 tinseltown is worth a small investment for here as he has shown more than enough on his last 2 hurdles runs to suggest he can win a handicap of around this mark. Stayed on late through beaten horses last time over similar conditions to today and a reproduction of that run put gives him place claims at minimum in a race where not many have claims, take into consideration he may now have some improvement in him then I think the price this morning is generally a fair one. From the top 2 im more concerned about night in Milan and he is the stand out danger for me here.

Febuary running Balance + 31.90 pts

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