Been busy this morning since posting the advised selection on the snail and I hope a few took notice as this has now been a well supported into 5/1 and you could easily be sitting there with a nice free bet now.I expect him to run a big race today and he would be my stongest selection along with second brook who I want to get some money rolling onto in some way.I Like plenty today the issue ive had as always is prices though ive missed a couple who are blue all over oddschecker which is frustrating but the way it goes,I also like a couple on the flat and im confident of a decent day.
Advised Selections
2.35 ludlow shannons firth 1/4pt each way 20/1 vc bog
3.05 Ludlow Thumbs up 11/4 1pt win bet365 bog
3.35 ludlow havingotascoobydoo 9/4
4.35 ludlow second brook 9/2
1/2pt each way double bet365 bog
3.35 ludlow havingotascoobydoo 9/4
4.35 ludlow second brook 9/2
5.55 Cork raz de maree 3/1
1/4pt each way treble bet365 bog
3.50 leicester formulation 4/1
5.20 leicester Standpoint 13/2
1/2pt each way double bet 365g bog
Ludlow
2.35
Seren cwmtudu looks the likely winner if you reproduces the form she showed went winning 2 runs ago that form is solid with the 2nd winning since and she should have no issues with conditions today.Shannons firth is the only other one id be interested in she showed enough ability in 2 bumper runs to suggest she can be involved here, comes back from a fair lay off but if ready she could be the one and at decent odds I think is worth a small bet.
3.05
I think there is a good chance here that thumbs up can reverse the form with fahrisee here.Hopefully the cheek pieces will just keep him a little more interested mid race, back on a decent surface which I think is more to his liking and also not giving 7lbs today im hopeful of a good run.The price is borderline for me and I would not want shorter than 5/2
3.35
Interesting handicap would be happy taking mad moose on here put up a career best run last time but this is second run after a break and so many just don’t seem to run 2 races the same these days. There are plenty here you could give some chance to tom o tara has been running consistently this season he is more exposed than most of these and he is still on a higher mark than he has won off however I’ve been waiting for connections to step him up in trip on decent ground round a track like Ludlow and I can easily see him going well but just finding one to good I expect. Silver roque is another with claims showed promise upped in trip and first time in a handicap lto, his jockey went to early that day and whilst he still probably would not have won that was promising enough to suggest he can go well of his current mark.Kasbadali is interesting first time in a handicap with the blinkers now also applied he has hit flat spots during his races especially here 2 runs ago and if they help him travel better I can see him running a big race.Havingotascoobydoo is still the one to beat for me though, I highlighted this horse when he won over this cd 2 runs ago in comfortable fashion he has since ran respectably at sandown and despite the higher mark now I’m sure he is still capable of winning more races for his shrewd yard.
4.05
Easy to take a few out here Azulada bay needs a stiffer test and back from a break,Russian epic needs to improve for chasing and this is a stiff ask on debut,tyup pompey and leamington lad are both badly out of form,restezen d armor im sure is flattered by his run last time and is a better horse over 2 miles not convinced of higher mark now. Shake the barley had an easier chance than this to win last time at is another im happy to take on.
cruchian is a little more interesting as he is on a fair mark but tends to make mistakes at key times during his races. Man from highworth could run well but his run lto is solid and but he does not win often and the 2 that are of most interest to me are the ewan Williams pair.Akarshan has to be respected as he is well treated if he has now got his jumping together and finally gets to race over his optimum conditions today. The snail is however the one I’m most interested in firstly forget lto as the trip was too far and he tried to chase a too fast a pace I expect connections knew this and was all part of the plan to get this horse back to a workable mark if you look at the run previously he showed he was coming back to himself bang there 3 out until a mistake cost him and his run flattered out. All his best form is round here and I’m expecting a decent showing today.
4.35
Modest affair I’d be willing to take the newcomers on though bahr nothing showed a bit more lto round here and could improve again for this grade however he is giving plenty of weight to second brook who himself has shown a similar level of ability on his 3 runs. Trainer tends to have a winner now and again round here and especially is interesting when dropping horses down in grade like this and looks the one to beat.
Cork
5.55
Big field but not many with chances I don’t think here, doctor deejay has it to prove over this trip for me and at short odds I’d be happy to take on and I can only think that a lack of opportunities has prevented him running over 2 ½ firstly.Powerstations is respected as his claiming jockey makes him competitive here as plenty now have to race from outside the handicap however one that just gets in at the bottom is raz de mare and he is of some interest todasy.Just beaten by a stable companion ravage dor lto when he probably did not see his race out as strongly now I know despite ravage dor not running well at the festival he is thought of being capable of winning more races and that form is decent. The drier ground should be ok and could go well with Bryan cooper who won on him the time before back on board and claiming an extra 5 today.3/1 is hardly value but I do expect him to win.
Well the first flat mentions did not run to a badly with 2 out the 3 rewarding e/w supporters. Most notably obviously being spirit of Coniston who was available at 50/1 just before the off. The racing moves onto Leicester today and its hardly inspiring stuff again. Hughie Morrison is a trainer I follow with great interest and he runs formulation in the 3.50 here.Jimmy fortune is an interesting booking only ride of the day and the horse has ran his best races after a short break previously on his best form he looks fairly treated and I think any rain will aid his chances as well. Standpoint 5.20 has only ever won a maiden but he was consistent last season of a slightly higher mark and he showed plenty of promise back from a break recently he should go well.
Thursday, 31 March 2011
Early selection
Will explain reasoning on main update but it looks like this one is starting to get supported.
4.05 Ludlow the snail 1pt each way 10/1 vc hills bog
4.05 Ludlow the snail 1pt each way 10/1 vc hills bog
Wednesday, 30 March 2011
Wednesday
No Selections again for me today Ill be trying to create a few angles on the exchanges to trade the pre race markets then in running but nothing im confident enough to put up as an outright selection.We see the first turf flat card today and whilst I will always be more foccused on Jumps racing I will be taking an intrest through the flat season.I mainly focus on all age handicaps and group races as these tend to be the 2 areas I can have the most success with as the form tends to be more consistent.During the peak summer months I find the only way you can keep track of things is to focus on one or two areas only.I have found now that there are plenty others with the same views and im sure looking around the various blogs etc you can soon create a decent portfolio to keep you going through the season looking at the different types of flat races.
hereford
2.10
Furrows coming out of this race has slighlty spoilt things as I was keen on him today and he has also now taken the race down to the 7 runners.I think the best angle now is to seriously consider why dubai crest is a 5/4 shot against plenty horses here who all have similar claims.Swift lord is weighted to beat dubai crest from when they previously faced each other some will say the fav has improved since but the form book does not show that for me.Raya star has fallen on 2 occasions over hurdles from just the 4 starts and that has to be a concern but he should have no issues with conditions today and when he has compliated he has put up a couple of decnt events in arguably stronger races than dubai crest.Nobunaga did not
settle lto but ive seen plenty similar types run a decent race round here and can easily see him being involved as well.Dashing doc had also shown enough ability on the flat to not be out of his depth here if his hurdling is ok on debut as this ground should suit him.I would not be confident of finding the winner here so im going to be laying dubai crest as he seems to be very much priced up on connections.
2.40
Very poor handicap hurdle and I dont think you could be confident about any here.Chicago alley has plenty to rpove for me back from a long lay off and I would not be convinced with only hope the 2nd fav putting in another decent effort 2nd time around after a lay off.The outsiders all look very moderate which leave me with storm command who has showed a bit more promise on 2 of his last 3 runs and the step up in trip should suit now he is settling into his races better and he would be my choice.
3.40
Sizing ireland is respected here as his last run was promising enough and he should improve for that experience I much prefer his chances to reginaldinho who I think looks in need of more time and seems to have his own idea about things.Oscar close has not reporoduced his irish form yet and has it to prove for me currently.Cap falco is the most intresting one I think as there is still scope for improvement and there was a lot to like about the debut run over hurdles 17 days ago.This trip should suit and I dont think much improvement is needed to be involved here.
4.40
Another weak handicap this is a little more competeive however I think but that is probably down tyo the fact they all come with risks.Bertenbar has ran well on last 2 occasions but im not convinved the trip will suit round here.Paparadon could be the one if in the right mood as the track could be suited to his style and I could see him getting away from these.The bottom 2 have similar claims but at the current prices Id probably go with ro de guye who despite being on a 7lb higher mark than he has ever won of I think its more important that he showed he was coming back to himself a
little lto he looks the one most likely suited by conditions as well.
I have had a quick look at the catterick card and whilst I dont tend to get involved to heavily just yet.There are three horses that catch my eye at decent prices.spirit of coniston 2.20 is a better horse round catterick and is back on a decenet mark now draw the concern but is a big price.Politbureau 2.50 could be an old fasioned easterby touch here 3 runs for a mark shown enough claimer on board market seems to be keen.This time its Tim , trading 5.20 has shown enough during the spring last season had a run this time round back on turf off a fair mark in a poor event.
hereford
2.10
Furrows coming out of this race has slighlty spoilt things as I was keen on him today and he has also now taken the race down to the 7 runners.I think the best angle now is to seriously consider why dubai crest is a 5/4 shot against plenty horses here who all have similar claims.Swift lord is weighted to beat dubai crest from when they previously faced each other some will say the fav has improved since but the form book does not show that for me.Raya star has fallen on 2 occasions over hurdles from just the 4 starts and that has to be a concern but he should have no issues with conditions today and when he has compliated he has put up a couple of decnt events in arguably stronger races than dubai crest.Nobunaga did not
settle lto but ive seen plenty similar types run a decent race round here and can easily see him being involved as well.Dashing doc had also shown enough ability on the flat to not be out of his depth here if his hurdling is ok on debut as this ground should suit him.I would not be confident of finding the winner here so im going to be laying dubai crest as he seems to be very much priced up on connections.
2.40
Very poor handicap hurdle and I dont think you could be confident about any here.Chicago alley has plenty to rpove for me back from a long lay off and I would not be convinced with only hope the 2nd fav putting in another decent effort 2nd time around after a lay off.The outsiders all look very moderate which leave me with storm command who has showed a bit more promise on 2 of his last 3 runs and the step up in trip should suit now he is settling into his races better and he would be my choice.
3.40
Sizing ireland is respected here as his last run was promising enough and he should improve for that experience I much prefer his chances to reginaldinho who I think looks in need of more time and seems to have his own idea about things.Oscar close has not reporoduced his irish form yet and has it to prove for me currently.Cap falco is the most intresting one I think as there is still scope for improvement and there was a lot to like about the debut run over hurdles 17 days ago.This trip should suit and I dont think much improvement is needed to be involved here.
4.40
Another weak handicap this is a little more competeive however I think but that is probably down tyo the fact they all come with risks.Bertenbar has ran well on last 2 occasions but im not convinved the trip will suit round here.Paparadon could be the one if in the right mood as the track could be suited to his style and I could see him getting away from these.The bottom 2 have similar claims but at the current prices Id probably go with ro de guye who despite being on a 7lb higher mark than he has ever won of I think its more important that he showed he was coming back to himself a
little lto he looks the one most likely suited by conditions as well.
I have had a quick look at the catterick card and whilst I dont tend to get involved to heavily just yet.There are three horses that catch my eye at decent prices.spirit of coniston 2.20 is a better horse round catterick and is back on a decenet mark now draw the concern but is a big price.Politbureau 2.50 could be an old fasioned easterby touch here 3 runs for a mark shown enough claimer on board market seems to be keen.This time its Tim , trading 5.20 has shown enough during the spring last season had a run this time round back on turf off a fair mark in a poor event.
Tuesday, 29 March 2011
Tuesday
Just the one jumps card at Taunton today and yet again I can't find anything strong enough to warrant a selection.closest I probably came was foreign king.
Taunton
3.20
Trappy little event and you can make claims for most here.Posh emily I think should be involved asd despite
being exposed and above her highest handicap mark she is more consistent than a few of these and will handle conditions.Id want to see more again from giant o marchu of this higher mark and the trip is not guranteed to suit either.So that would probably leave me with teshali and foreign king as the most likely winner the drop in grade and and trip look ideal for teshali
But he does have to improve on what he has shown so far and I probably just prefer foreign king who looks to be fairly weighted on his best form and will like the decent ground.I can see this being ran at a decent clip though and im a little concerned about his jumping under pressure.he has been fairly well supported this morning already and it's seems a few like his chances should go well but there has to be more solid 5/1 shots.
3.50
As written before Id be more than happy to take earth planet as im just convinced with him the extra distance may suit but how he is fav here on what he has shown I do not know.my likely winner would be cold mountain who has plenty going for him back from a back hardly screaming a value punt though.
4.20
I cant see past shackelsborough here and whilst I cant really be rushing out to back him at the odds despite him drifting I also would not be keen to lay him here this ground is going to be in his favour I think and we should see an improved performance today his best form came over this course and a reproduction of that would still likely to be good enouhg to win the uncompetetive handicap.
March Running Balance -9.80pts
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Taunton
3.20
Trappy little event and you can make claims for most here.Posh emily I think should be involved asd despite
being exposed and above her highest handicap mark she is more consistent than a few of these and will handle conditions.Id want to see more again from giant o marchu of this higher mark and the trip is not guranteed to suit either.So that would probably leave me with teshali and foreign king as the most likely winner the drop in grade and and trip look ideal for teshali
But he does have to improve on what he has shown so far and I probably just prefer foreign king who looks to be fairly weighted on his best form and will like the decent ground.I can see this being ran at a decent clip though and im a little concerned about his jumping under pressure.he has been fairly well supported this morning already and it's seems a few like his chances should go well but there has to be more solid 5/1 shots.
3.50
As written before Id be more than happy to take earth planet as im just convinced with him the extra distance may suit but how he is fav here on what he has shown I do not know.my likely winner would be cold mountain who has plenty going for him back from a back hardly screaming a value punt though.
4.20
I cant see past shackelsborough here and whilst I cant really be rushing out to back him at the odds despite him drifting I also would not be keen to lay him here this ground is going to be in his favour I think and we should see an improved performance today his best form came over this course and a reproduction of that would still likely to be good enouhg to win the uncompetetive handicap.
March Running Balance -9.80pts
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Saturday, 26 March 2011
Saturday
Yesterdays selections all featured in the places so another small profit on the day.
I'm struggling to find any selections today I even found myself glancing over the meydan and the domestic flat cards last night.a couple of mentions but that's it from me today.
Bangor
420
I like both the Hobbs horses here but they both have risks a well decent prices but I'm just not confident. liberate if back to his best having these conditions will ho very close but his form has to be taken on trust. Zakatal is very well handicapped but that is because he is not straight forward one day im sure it will come together but you can not be confident.
Newbury
325 ogee is a horse I've followed for an age now and I'm sure he is very well treated again now of this revised mark conditions suit ideally and I expect him to go very close price of 5/2 is just to tight though and I wanted more around 7/2.
I'm struggling to find any selections today I even found myself glancing over the meydan and the domestic flat cards last night.a couple of mentions but that's it from me today.
Bangor
420
I like both the Hobbs horses here but they both have risks a well decent prices but I'm just not confident. liberate if back to his best having these conditions will ho very close but his form has to be taken on trust. Zakatal is very well handicapped but that is because he is not straight forward one day im sure it will come together but you can not be confident.
Newbury
325 ogee is a horse I've followed for an age now and I'm sure he is very well treated again now of this revised mark conditions suit ideally and I expect him to go very close price of 5/2 is just to tight though and I wanted more around 7/2.
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