Just the one jumps meeting today in England and whilst moderate racing the fields are a little bigger than recently I think there a few oppurtunities to be had today on overpriced horses.
The Flat selections are not really going to plan at the moment but like ive said prevously they are all much smaller selections and Im not to concerned at the moment anyway considering the prices I generally get involced at.
Advised Selections
6.00 towcester the strawberryone 3/4pt each way 11/2 pp vc bog
7.00 towcester rooftop rainbow 3/4pt each way 5/1 hills bog
7.30 towcester alfloramoor 3/4pt each way 7/1 gen bog
Flat Selections
no bet
5.30 towcester
I was intrested in goodtimetoby here who showed his first peice of real form lto out and with his trainer now hitting a bit of form he looked to have a fair bit of appeal,howver the price is genrally 5/2 this morning and I dont plan on getting involved off the back of 1 decent run in such a weak race.
6.00 towcester
Hard to split the henderson and king horse here and whilst they are both respected they are no world beaters and I dont expect either to improve to much on what they shown last time. There is not much depth to this and for that reson I think the strawberryone looks sure to be involved here.Has some decent course form in both bumpers and 1 hurdle race but more intresting for me is the step up in trip today is sure to suit I think,jumping has not been foot perfect yet but there is likely to be less pressure on that today than lto recieving weight she should be a 4/1 shot for me.
7.00 towcester
I was suprised rooftop rainbow was weak this morning and Im more than happy to take some of the 5/1 on offer here about a horse that as always going to be suited by the switch to fences.Showed enough ability over hurdles to suggest he can win of this mark.The dangers well if im honest I cant see many as they all come with some risk attached to them and im sure rr will prove to be a well treated horse in time.
7.30 towcester
Dissapointing that valid point has come out of this I think as i was happy to take him on after last times improved performance however turbo shandy now leads the amrket and he has to be taken on for the 5lb rise from his win here last time makes him risky.Peace corps and beech view are not out of things even if the latter maybe flattered by his run lto but alfloramoor claims are a little more solid for me.He finished behind turbo shandy and meridem lto but that was his first run after a decent break and we also get the cheekpieces back on today suggesting more to me that connections had left some improvement in him last time.I genrally dont like backing horses 2nd time up after a break so soon but he has ran well before given this profile and looks a fair price to reverse the form from last time.
8.20 roscommon
Bernabeau is worth a quick look new trainer but has his condiitons today is on a winable mark and has bits of form fresh to suggest he can run well.Not a 25/1 shot for me but a little bit to risky in a tough race to be putting up.
3.50 redcar
Ghost is the kind of horse that can make you look stupid at times he has more than enough ability to win a race of around this mark though and the step up in trip will suit today im sure dandy will find the key to him but this looks a decent race for the grade and they may wont him down a few more lbs yet.
Monday, 9 May 2011
Friday, 6 May 2011
Friday
Well nice to hit the mark again yesterday and hopefully a few managed to grab the early value afetr being backed from 14/1 into a 6/1 shot at the off.
I don't want to make a habit of this but it's just selections today as I'm short of time today for a write up.the flat pair are all about course form while shoreacres has a race i'n him off his mark and culcabook is exposed but overpriced and consistent.
Advised Selections
4.55 punch shoreacres 1/2pt each way 20-1 365 bog
8.00 aint culcabock 1/2pt each way 11/1 vc bog
Flat Selections
4.40 chester invincible force 1/2pt each way 9/1 gen bog
5.10 chester oriental cavalier 1/2pt each way 5/1 gen bog
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I don't want to make a habit of this but it's just selections today as I'm short of time today for a write up.the flat pair are all about course form while shoreacres has a race i'n him off his mark and culcabook is exposed but overpriced and consistent.
Advised Selections
4.55 punch shoreacres 1/2pt each way 20-1 365 bog
8.00 aint culcabock 1/2pt each way 11/1 vc bog
Flat Selections
4.40 chester invincible force 1/2pt each way 9/1 gen bog
5.10 chester oriental cavalier 1/2pt each way 5/1 gen bog
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Thursday, 5 May 2011
Thursday
Nice winner yesterday with scotsirish my view was that he was always going to get there and the leader at the time looked like a tired fall for me.Credit to ruby who sat of the fast pace and let his horse creep into things.The flat horses did not really show much spark but at the prices im playing at long losing spells will happen with these.
Punchestown is very tricky I think today and similar can probably be said about a fair bit of the racing today I like a few at newton abbot though and 2 are double figure prices so it was an easy choice to go with these pair.
Advised Selections
3.05 newton abbot kylenoe fairy 1/2pt each way 14/1 gen bog
4.10 newton abbot carhue princess 1/2pt each way 14/1 365 bog
Flat Selection
5.10 chester norman opera 1/2pt each way 12/1 365 bog
1.55 newton abbot
getaway driver has a race in him judging by the promise shown so far.Stable going well and I expect a decent showing my concern is the lack of experience.
305 newton abbot
This looks a decent handicap a few come here of the back of decent efforts and I expect we may see a few more winners come out of this.A fast pace looks a gurantee and I think that could just play to my slection here as long as she does not get herself to out of things.kylenoe fairy has showen more than enough promise on teh last 2 occasions to suggest this is a winning mark the newbury run was especially intresting and its a bonus we have a capable jockey taking an extra 5lbs off here.
3.35 newton abbot
master somerville is worth amention here has been a previous blog selection and a horse I know well.With a clear round off this mark ms wins today it that simple I think.This is easier for him as well so If he is going to put it all together I expect today will be the day.At 5/1 I think im happy to let this one go though.
4.10 newton abbot
glen lady will be a tough one to beat here but shes no certainty to repeat that run of lto 2nd time after a break and offers little value.carhue princess Showed a bit more promise lto afetr a break and was not knocked about suggesting that run was always going to be needed she had some ok novice hurdle form in better grades than this and I think she looks to be on a fair mark.
5.10 chester
The front 2 in the betting are obvious ones here and I expect they both will prove to be better than there handicap marks in time my concern with them both though is this is going to be a lot different than maiden company and they could just find this to tough at this stage especially as I think there are plenty other well treated horses in here and its a race I would be looking at for future winners in the coming weeks.I dont want to let norman opera run unsupported though now stepped up in trip should handle the course and as long as the breaks come I think this one should go close.Jockey has had a few winners and plenty experience now so I think the claim will balance that out and again a double figure price makes the risk worthwhile.
Punchestown is very tricky I think today and similar can probably be said about a fair bit of the racing today I like a few at newton abbot though and 2 are double figure prices so it was an easy choice to go with these pair.
Advised Selections
3.05 newton abbot kylenoe fairy 1/2pt each way 14/1 gen bog
4.10 newton abbot carhue princess 1/2pt each way 14/1 365 bog
Flat Selection
5.10 chester norman opera 1/2pt each way 12/1 365 bog
1.55 newton abbot
getaway driver has a race in him judging by the promise shown so far.Stable going well and I expect a decent showing my concern is the lack of experience.
305 newton abbot
This looks a decent handicap a few come here of the back of decent efforts and I expect we may see a few more winners come out of this.A fast pace looks a gurantee and I think that could just play to my slection here as long as she does not get herself to out of things.kylenoe fairy has showen more than enough promise on teh last 2 occasions to suggest this is a winning mark the newbury run was especially intresting and its a bonus we have a capable jockey taking an extra 5lbs off here.
3.35 newton abbot
master somerville is worth amention here has been a previous blog selection and a horse I know well.With a clear round off this mark ms wins today it that simple I think.This is easier for him as well so If he is going to put it all together I expect today will be the day.At 5/1 I think im happy to let this one go though.
4.10 newton abbot
glen lady will be a tough one to beat here but shes no certainty to repeat that run of lto 2nd time after a break and offers little value.carhue princess Showed a bit more promise lto afetr a break and was not knocked about suggesting that run was always going to be needed she had some ok novice hurdle form in better grades than this and I think she looks to be on a fair mark.
5.10 chester
The front 2 in the betting are obvious ones here and I expect they both will prove to be better than there handicap marks in time my concern with them both though is this is going to be a lot different than maiden company and they could just find this to tough at this stage especially as I think there are plenty other well treated horses in here and its a race I would be looking at for future winners in the coming weeks.I dont want to let norman opera run unsupported though now stepped up in trip should handle the course and as long as the breaks come I think this one should go close.Jockey has had a few winners and plenty experience now so I think the claim will balance that out and again a double figure price makes the risk worthwhile.
Wednesday, 4 May 2011
Wednesday punchestown day2 and don't forget Chester
Yesterdays selections all ran reasonable races an there was points when it looked like we may get a result but it was not to be.hopefully some took the advise with quato de la roque though.I think the cards today whilst look good are very tricky at the same time.I think the jump selection is sure to run his race and today may be his day whilst the flat horses are more unlikely sorts but just have to be supported at there prices for me.
Advised Selections
6.40punch scotsirish 3/4pt each way 8/1 hills bog
Flat Selctions
2.55 chester swingkeel 1/2pt each way 33/1 bog 365
3.30 chester green park 1/2pt each way 16/1 hills bog
4.20 punch
I lime street entertainer here but he has it to prove at the price i'n this grade considering the jumping an issues we sore a glimpse of last time.I think he could be way above these though.
4.55 punch
Battle group is improving now over right conditions I don't think this is much harder than lto but price not really there.
5.30 punch
My view here is similar to Quito de la roque yesterday as kauto stat is now becoming a backache price he has plenty i'n his favour against horses who had question marks to answer if he hits 6/4 I think that is more than fair.
6.40 punch
Scotsirish deserves to win a decent race has ruby back on board which will help no doubt consistent type an should be shorter than osana over this trip.
2.55 chester
swingkeel is far to big a price yes has a dreadful draw but surely he can't hit as much trouble as he did i'n this race last year the faster they go the better.
3.30 chester
green park has it to prove a little now of this mark and i'n this grade but he may have a little more left i'n him yet especially as he loves Chester and has a good draw.he should not be the price he is this morning.
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Advised Selections
6.40punch scotsirish 3/4pt each way 8/1 hills bog
Flat Selctions
2.55 chester swingkeel 1/2pt each way 33/1 bog 365
3.30 chester green park 1/2pt each way 16/1 hills bog
4.20 punch
I lime street entertainer here but he has it to prove at the price i'n this grade considering the jumping an issues we sore a glimpse of last time.I think he could be way above these though.
4.55 punch
Battle group is improving now over right conditions I don't think this is much harder than lto but price not really there.
5.30 punch
My view here is similar to Quito de la roque yesterday as kauto stat is now becoming a backache price he has plenty i'n his favour against horses who had question marks to answer if he hits 6/4 I think that is more than fair.
6.40 punch
Scotsirish deserves to win a decent race has ruby back on board which will help no doubt consistent type an should be shorter than osana over this trip.
2.55 chester
swingkeel is far to big a price yes has a dreadful draw but surely he can't hit as much trouble as he did i'n this race last year the faster they go the better.
3.30 chester
green park has it to prove a little now of this mark and i'n this grade but he may have a little more left i'n him yet especially as he loves Chester and has a good draw.he should not be the price he is this morning.
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Tuesday, 3 May 2011
Tuesday - Punchestown Day 1
Well nice to have some high quality jumps action back again today for me punchestown is gaining a little more importance year on year and im sure there will be more than a couple horses who show improved form these next few days after being put away for this meeting.
Advised Selections
4.20 punc il fenomeno 20/1 3/4pt win 365 bog
4.55 punc grey soldier 12/1 1/2pt each way bet fred bog
6.50 exeter beauchamp viking 1/2pt win 5/1 gen bog
5.00 fakenham marie de laufon 3/4pt win 7/1 betfred bog
Flat selections
7.00 catt mandalay king 1/2pt each way 13/2 gen bog
3.40 punch
The front 3 in the betting are all obviously respected here and its not really my type of betting race anyway but I think not to pushed is worth a quick mention as he was not going to badly in this last year has experience over the banks and showed up well lto only a 7yold so may have a bit more scope in him and I dont think hes a 20/1 shot.
4.20 punch
Im willing to be proven wrong here but this is going to prove a weak grade 1 race im sure,Im can easily take on most here at the prices as I think there is little between them all and most have question marks whether being ground hurdling or simply not good enough.For that reason I want to take a chance with il fenemeno who showed up well 8 days ago on his first try over hurdles and I think its intresting connections bring him out again so quickly what adds further intrest is the stables record in this arce and also im sure noel meade would have had another couple of horses he could have ran here.Group 3 winner on the flat and has had plenty of rcaing in that sphere so inexperience will not be so much of an issue for me and at the prices he is worth a small bet I think
4.55 punch
Well the front 2 are very poor value here of the 2 nearest the pin proabbly has less than wee giant to prove and would be my pick of them.Im not saying wee giant cant win this either and at the forcast of 10/1 I was intrested in this horse as im sure he is one of thoose who is going to improve a fair bit but backing horses like this at these prices does not appeal.Grey soldier is the one I want to be with as im sure there is a decent handicap in him when things drop right, the biggest concern today is his jumping but if it does hold up then I think he should go well as there is plenty back in his favour.Cheletenham was anon event for him as he made a bad mistake and was also hampered when beaten the run before was on ground totally unsuitable.Im sure they will go a decent pace here and that on decent ground is exactly what he needs over this trip.
5.30 punch
For what its worth Sizing europe is my likely winner I see no reason to oppose him here but its not a race im going to be getting involed in at the prices.
6.40 punc
Plenty of tehse have doubts about them I think a couple have stamina question marks and plenty have jumping issues and for that reason im starting to think quito de la roque despite not having his ideal ground will be a very tough horse to beat again today his overall record is excellent theres support for a couple here this morning and if its posibble to get some 3/1 latter I expect I will get involved.
6.50 exeter
This is not going to take much winning.misamon does not have a bad win record for a horse of his ability but back from a break without the usual headgear im happy to take.Overall I think this is a match between bushwacker and beachump viking what makes it wasy is the fact they ran against each other just 7 days ago over similar conditions.Beauchump viking is twice the price and has a better chance at teh weights today so its an easy decision to say he is the better value pick today.
5.00 fakenham
Little carmella is the obvious one to beat but is a poor price for a horse that does not win that often.petit fleur has been more consitent recently but looks held overall of this mark.Marie de laufon makes a fair bit of appeal though here, if you look at the 2 uttoxeter runs last season they are more than fair enough runs to suggest she can be competieve of this mark.Shes also proven on 2 occasions she can go well fresh and this trip looks well within here especially over a sharo tarck like this.
7.00 catterick
I had this down to a couple of noted horses here but happily one of thoose has now came out the race and despite mandalay king being a hard horse to win with I think there is plenty about his chances today to suggest he could get his head in front.7f catterick decent ground fast pace stronger jockey are what I have down for this horse and I think we can happily say there is a good chance we are going to get all these today, he will still need a little luck in running being the horse he is but apart from the john quinn and nichols horse I dont see much else in this.
8.30 catt
wicked wilma is worth a mention she may just need this run but I think she can still be involved and im dissapointing the race has cut up now as Expect she will be in the first 3,im sure she has a race like this in her of this mark,the fav will be hard to beat now back to form but I would not want here running unsupported at decent odds,she races prominent and I expect she may trade shorter than here starting odds before I hope just needing the run in the final furlong.
Advised Selections
4.20 punc il fenomeno 20/1 3/4pt win 365 bog
4.55 punc grey soldier 12/1 1/2pt each way bet fred bog
6.50 exeter beauchamp viking 1/2pt win 5/1 gen bog
5.00 fakenham marie de laufon 3/4pt win 7/1 betfred bog
Flat selections
7.00 catt mandalay king 1/2pt each way 13/2 gen bog
3.40 punch
The front 3 in the betting are all obviously respected here and its not really my type of betting race anyway but I think not to pushed is worth a quick mention as he was not going to badly in this last year has experience over the banks and showed up well lto only a 7yold so may have a bit more scope in him and I dont think hes a 20/1 shot.
4.20 punch
Im willing to be proven wrong here but this is going to prove a weak grade 1 race im sure,Im can easily take on most here at the prices as I think there is little between them all and most have question marks whether being ground hurdling or simply not good enough.For that reason I want to take a chance with il fenemeno who showed up well 8 days ago on his first try over hurdles and I think its intresting connections bring him out again so quickly what adds further intrest is the stables record in this arce and also im sure noel meade would have had another couple of horses he could have ran here.Group 3 winner on the flat and has had plenty of rcaing in that sphere so inexperience will not be so much of an issue for me and at the prices he is worth a small bet I think
4.55 punch
Well the front 2 are very poor value here of the 2 nearest the pin proabbly has less than wee giant to prove and would be my pick of them.Im not saying wee giant cant win this either and at the forcast of 10/1 I was intrested in this horse as im sure he is one of thoose who is going to improve a fair bit but backing horses like this at these prices does not appeal.Grey soldier is the one I want to be with as im sure there is a decent handicap in him when things drop right, the biggest concern today is his jumping but if it does hold up then I think he should go well as there is plenty back in his favour.Cheletenham was anon event for him as he made a bad mistake and was also hampered when beaten the run before was on ground totally unsuitable.Im sure they will go a decent pace here and that on decent ground is exactly what he needs over this trip.
5.30 punch
For what its worth Sizing europe is my likely winner I see no reason to oppose him here but its not a race im going to be getting involed in at the prices.
6.40 punc
Plenty of tehse have doubts about them I think a couple have stamina question marks and plenty have jumping issues and for that reason im starting to think quito de la roque despite not having his ideal ground will be a very tough horse to beat again today his overall record is excellent theres support for a couple here this morning and if its posibble to get some 3/1 latter I expect I will get involved.
6.50 exeter
This is not going to take much winning.misamon does not have a bad win record for a horse of his ability but back from a break without the usual headgear im happy to take.Overall I think this is a match between bushwacker and beachump viking what makes it wasy is the fact they ran against each other just 7 days ago over similar conditions.Beauchump viking is twice the price and has a better chance at teh weights today so its an easy decision to say he is the better value pick today.
5.00 fakenham
Little carmella is the obvious one to beat but is a poor price for a horse that does not win that often.petit fleur has been more consitent recently but looks held overall of this mark.Marie de laufon makes a fair bit of appeal though here, if you look at the 2 uttoxeter runs last season they are more than fair enough runs to suggest she can be competieve of this mark.Shes also proven on 2 occasions she can go well fresh and this trip looks well within here especially over a sharo tarck like this.
7.00 catterick
I had this down to a couple of noted horses here but happily one of thoose has now came out the race and despite mandalay king being a hard horse to win with I think there is plenty about his chances today to suggest he could get his head in front.7f catterick decent ground fast pace stronger jockey are what I have down for this horse and I think we can happily say there is a good chance we are going to get all these today, he will still need a little luck in running being the horse he is but apart from the john quinn and nichols horse I dont see much else in this.
8.30 catt
wicked wilma is worth a mention she may just need this run but I think she can still be involved and im dissapointing the race has cut up now as Expect she will be in the first 3,im sure she has a race like this in her of this mark,the fav will be hard to beat now back to form but I would not want here running unsupported at decent odds,she races prominent and I expect she may trade shorter than here starting odds before I hope just needing the run in the final furlong.
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