Wednesday

I was short of time yesterday and looking at the results I was pretty happy I ended up swerving sedgfield as the horses I was considering did not really feature.With jumps racing untill monday now and a few intresting horses entered up things should pick up over the weekend but for now its back over to ireland.

Paddy o dee is going to find this race a little easy than the one he contested last time and with the return to a right handed course a big benefit I can easily see him getting involved against a few suspect market leaders.He is likely to try and make all and with a few of these likely to let him get on with things whilst looking after themselves in the early parts he may just get away.

Ardglen has to be respected seeking the fourtimer but there is good reason to think island peak can get a little closer this time.He showed more last time up that being his second  run after a break and im hopeful that will have brought him on a bit more again.His form in points and hunter chases last season give him a decent chance at these weights now.


Advised Selections

5.05 sligo paddy o dee 1pt each way 12/1 365 bog

6.05 sligo island peak 1pt each way 7/1 365/pp bog

Running balnace -13.95pts

Monday

In the end the money came for tico and it looked for a while that he  might just have picked the winner up yesterday but it was not to be.Im sure he will win a race over 3mile on slighlty better ground but his hand has been shown now.
Dashing ruby ran a solid enough race to finish third he needs a little help with his mark.
Again no jumps in england so its off over to ireland for one today.
Tinakellyland comes back from nearly a year off but having gone well enough first time after a break before im not to concerned about this.The stable have not had to many winners over the summer but they never tend to in recent years and thats not really a worry.There are a couple here who have done well recently but they will certainly find this race tougher off higher marks whilst this is the selections easiest race for some time and im hopeful he can take advantage today.


Advised Selections

5.35 roscommon Tinakellylad 1pt win 8/1 gen bog

Running balance -12.95pts

Sunday

Ive not had chance to watch yesterdays racing yet  but only the one 2nd place meaning a fairly dissapointing day big enough prices not to worry to much but I probably did make a mistake with ostland.No english jumps racing today but I have a couple at clonmel .Tico is a horse ive had noted for a while and despite me thinking there would probably be a bit more confidence in the market for him I dont want to let him run over this trip unsupported ,the jockey booking is no negative either.Dashing ruby is certainly worth a bet later on as the 2 market leaders both look plenty short enough for what they have achieved and the selction may have a bit more to come over fences.I dont know much about his jockey but he seems to have a fair bit of experience and has rode a chase winner under rules.

4.00 clonmel Tico 1pt win 10/1 gen bog

5.05 clonmel dashing ruby 1/2pt each way 10/1 gen bog

Running balance -12.7pts

Saturday

I'm short on time today so no write up but despite Market rasen being pretty low on my list of courses to have a bet at there is a few that i think represent a bit of value today and I don't really want to be letting them run unsupported

Advised selections

150 crazy bold  3/4pt each way 20/1 gen bog
220 tarkari 3/4pt each way 33/1 vc lad bog
250 ostland 2pt win 8/1gen bog buck mulligan 1/2pt each way 20/1 gen bog
325 Marc aurele 7/1 1pt win gen bog

Thursday

Soubriquet lost the battle for the lead early on and never really looked comfortable after that,the winner did it well but id be surprised if he can win again for a while now.No real strong views on the perth card today the novice chase obviously looks a pretty decent race with champion court making his chase debut after reportedly schooled well.No doubt he will end being the best of these longterm but I just get the impression he may struggle a little today against 2 horses that may just be a little more forward than him.

Advised Selections

5.00 fairyhouse first beauty 3/4pt each way 16/1 gen bog

I have to say this does not look the easiest race to solve but there are a couple here who have been hit pretty hard for recent wins where things have gone there way and at single figure prices they look worth taking on.

The selection finished behind black rock lake lto round Downpatrick but the winner that day looked a lot happier round the tricky course there and also arguably stole the race under a decent paul townend ride.Back on a more conventional track and with a decent enough weight turn around im hopeful first beauty can reverse that form.There is a case that she may need a little further but as long as they go a decent enough pace early and shes prominent when the pace quickens its should be no issue.

Running balance  -8.7pts